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Senate to go Ahead With Subsidy Payment Probe

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  • Senate to go Ahead With Subsidy Payment Probe

The Senate on Wednesday rejected the report by its Committee on Petroleum (Downstream), which probed the current scarcity of Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) in the country.

Many senators, who spoke on the report, which was presented by the Chairman of the committee, Senator Kabiru Marafa, said it was silent on the payment of subsidy on the commodity without the approval of the National Assembly.

Officials of the government had confirmed that the landing cost of petrol was N171 per litre but the official pump price was N145.

The President of the Senate, Bukola Saraki, based on the criticisms of the lawmakers, reassigned the investigation to the Committee on Public Accounts.

Saraki, however, asked the Marafa-led committee to investigate the allegation in the report that a surplus of 5.9 billion litres of petrol could not be accounted for. The committee was also mandated to review its recommendations on the solutions to the lingering fuel scarcity.

At the investigative hearing conducted by the committee, Mafara had barred the Minister of Petroleum Resources, Ibe Kachikwu; and the Group Managing Director, Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, Maikanti Baru, from answering questions on the alleged illegal subsidy payment.

Few days earlier, the senator had vowed that the Federal Government would be made to account for the payment of the differential between the landing cost and the pump price.

Speaking on the report on Wednesday, Senator Ali Aidoko observed that the fundamental issue, according to the oil marketers, was that of subsidy, “but the committee is telling us they did not discuss subsidy.”

“There were differentials and the committee was silent on it. This looks like a report of the NNPC,” he added.

Senator Nafada Bayero also faulted all the recommendations in the report except the one calling for full deregulation of the downstream sector.

“It looks like a report that was imported to the Senate. The committee should go back and bring its own report, not the one written for it,” Nafada said.

Similarly, Senator Dino Melaye stated that the report, if adopted, would strengthen the corruption that was already going on in the oil industry.

“It is unlawful for any government to spend government money without appropriation. As we speak, monies are being released without appropriation. Go back, sit down and do a holy exercise,” he said.

The Minority Leader, Senator Godswill Akpabio, Senator Solomon Adeola and Senator Stella Oduah also criticised the report.

Saraki asked Marafa to respond to the issues raised against the report.

Marafa said the report, which was signed by 13 out of the 23 members of the committee, was an interim one, and that the probe into subsidy payment was not one of its mandates.

He also maintained that probing alleged fuel consumption volume fraud was most critical to ascertaining the quantity for which subsidy might have been paid by the NNPC.

He explained that the NNPC was importing 1,206,900,000 litres of petrol monthly at an average consumption of 35 million litres daily.

Quoting from the report, he said, “The NNPC said the country consumed between 27 million and 30 million litres per day from January to September and 30 million to 40 million litres per day from September to December.

“The marketers, on the other hand, received from the government about N1,669,180,182 at the Central Bank of Nigeria’s rate of N305 to a dollar to import the PMS from January to August 2017. This means that the marketers were supposed to bring into the country about 3.8 billion litres of the PMS at a landing cost of N133. In other words, marketers’ supplies were supposed to serve the country for about 109 days at 35 million litres daily in 2017.”

Saraki recommended that the issue of subsidy should be separated from volume fraud and the scarcity, which still persists in some parts of the country.

After the plenary, Marafa told journalists that the insistence on probing the subsidy payment was political.

He said, “I respect their opinions, but the chamber is home to different shades and manners of persons, but I stand by my report. Today, the APC (All Progressives Congress) is in power and some people are not happy about it. You cannot be talking about N26 subsidy when you do not even know what you consume.

“I thank them for their contributions and condemnation, but it’s all politics. Today, because the APC is in power, everybody wants to talk about it (subsidy); I will not do it. I will establish the volume first.”

The House of Representatives also on Wednesday summoned Kachikwu and Baru over the reintroduction of subsidy on petrol.

The House described the development as an illegality, having been done without recourse to the National Assembly.

A motion moved by a member from Kogi State, Mr. Karimi Sunday, on the floor of the House, indicated that the NNPC spent “over N300bn” on subsidy from January to December 2017.

Karimi informed the House that in the first three months of the year, the oil corporation had already recorded an “under recovery” of N46.86bn.

“This trend continued at an increasing rate all through 2017. As of December, over N300bn had been expended on petrol subsidy for 2017 alone. This trend continues till date,” the lawmaker added.

He recalled that Vice-President Yemi Osinbajo and Kachikwu had admitted in December 2017 that the Federal Government, through the NNPC, was paying N26 on each litre of petrol to soak up the difference between the landing cost of N171 and the official pump price of N145.

“This happened despite the fact that the Executive said that it had removed subsidy. Besides, there was no parliamentary approval for subsidy payment in the 2017 Appropriation Act,” Sunday told the House.

Members, however, noted that the subsidy paid out in 2017 was not only illegal but was also unclear who collected it since the NNPC was the sole importer of petrol last year.

A member from Kwara State, Mr. Pattegi Ahman, asked whether the NNPC, a government corporation, was paying itself subsidy.

The Chairman, House Committee on Petroleum Resources (Downstream), Mr. Joseph Akinlaja, confirmed that the government truly paid over N300bn on fuel subsidy in 2017.

However, he informed his colleagues that when his committee made some inquiries, the information it got was that the money was used to clear arrears of subsidy owed marketers.

Kachikwu and Baru are to appear before the joint Committees on Finance/Petroleum Resources (Downstream) to explain who earned the N300bn subsidy.

The session, which was presided over by the Speaker, Mr. Yakubu Dogara, also recommended that the government “should make provision for subsidy payment in the 2018 Appropriation Bill should it deem it fit to continue subsidy payment under any guise whatsoever.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

President Tinubu Defends Tough Economic Decisions at World Economic Forum

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Bola Tinubu

President Bola Tinubu stood firm in defense of Nigeria’s recent tough economic decisions during his address at the World Economic Forum in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Speaking to a gathering of global business leaders, Tinubu justified the removal of fuel subsidies and the management of Nigeria’s foreign exchange market as necessary measures to prevent the country from bankruptcy and reset its economy towards growth.

In his speech, Tinubu acknowledged the challenges and drawbacks associated with these decisions but emphasized that they were in the best interest of Nigeria.

He described the removal of fuel subsidies as a difficult yet essential action to avert bankruptcy and ensure the country’s economic stability.

Despite the expected difficulties, Tinubu highlighted the government’s efforts to implement parallel arrangements to cushion the impact on vulnerable populations, demonstrating a commitment to inclusive governance.

Regarding the management of the foreign exchange market, Tinubu emphasized the need to remove artificial value elements in Nigeria’s currency to foster competitiveness and transparency.

While acknowledging the turbulence associated with such decisions, he underscored the government’s preparedness to manage the challenges through inclusive governance and effective communication with the public.

Moreover, Tinubu used the platform to call on the global community to pay attention to the root causes of poverty and instability in Africa’s Sahel region.

He emphasized the importance of economic collaborations and inclusiveness in achieving stability and growth, urging bigger economies to actively participate in promoting prosperity in the region.

Tinubu’s defense of Nigeria’s economic policies reflects the government’s commitment to making tough but necessary decisions to steer the country towards sustainable growth and development.

As the world grapples with geopolitical tensions, inflation, and supply chain disruptions, Tinubu’s message at the World Economic Forum underscores the importance of collaborative action and inclusive governance in addressing critical global challenges.

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Economy

IMF: Nigeria’s 2024 Growth Outlook Revised Upward – Coronation Economic Note

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IMF - Investors King

In its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO), the IMF revised its global growth forecast for 2024 upward to 3.2% y/y from 3.1% y/y projected in its January ’24 WEO.

Meanwhile, the growth outlook for 2025 was unchanged at 3.2% y/y. It is worth highlighting that global growth projections for 2024 and 2025 remain below the historical (2000-2019) average of 3.8%.

Persistence inflationary pressure, turbulence in China’s property sector, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and financial stress continue to pose downside risk to global growth projection.

There was an upward growth revision for United States to 2.7% y/y from 2.1% y/y. The upward revision can be partly attributed to a stronger than expected growth in the US economy in Q4 ‘23 bolstered by healthier consumption patterns; stronger momentum is expected in 2024.

Growth in China remains steady at 4.6% y/y. This is consistent with the projection recorded in its January ’24 WEO, as post pandemic boost to consumption and fiscal stimulus eases off amid headwinds in the property sector. We expect a loosening or a hold stance in the near-term as China continues to seek ways to bolster its economy.

On the flip side, GDP growth was revised downward (marginally) for the Eurozone to 0.8% y/y from 0.9% y/y (in its January ’23 WEO) for 2024. The growth projection for the United Kingdom was also revised downwards to 0.5% y/y from 0.6% y/y.

Russia’s growth forecast was revised upward to 3.2% y/y from 2.6% y/y (in its January ’24 WEO) for 2024. This revision was largely due to high investment and robust private consumption supported by wage growth.

The projection for average global inflation was revised upward to 5.9% y/y for 2024 from 5.8% y/y (in its January ’24 WEO), with an expectation of a decline to 4.5% y/y in 2025.

This is reflective of the cooling effects of monetary policy tightening across advanced and emerging economies.

Based on IMF projections, we anticipate a swifter decline in headline inflation rates averaging near 2% in 2025 among advanced economies before the avg. inflation figure for developing economies returns to pre-pandemic rate of c.5%.

This is driven by tight monetary policies, softening labor markets, and the fading passthrough effects from earlier declines in relative prices, notably energy prices.

We understand that moderations in headline inflation have prompted central banks of select economies to slow down on further policy rate hikes.

For instance, the US Federal Reserve may consider rate cuts three times this year if macro-indicators align with expectations. Also, the UK and ECB are likely to reduce their level of policy restriction if they become more confident that inflation is moving towards the 2% target.

The growth forecast for sub-Saharan Africa remains steady at 3.8% y/y for 2024. The unchanged projection can be partly attributed to expectations around growth dynamics in Angola, notably contraction in its oil sector, which was offset by an upward revision for Nigeria’s GDP growth estimate.

For Nigeria, IMF revised its 2024 growth forecast upward to 3.3% y/y from 3.0% y/y (in its January ’24 WEO). This revision partly reflects the elevated oil price environment. Bonny Light has increased by 14.6% from the start of the year to USD89.3/b (as at April 2024).

Other upside risks include relatively stable growth in select sectors, improved fx market dynamics as well as ongoing restrictive monetary stance by the CBN.

Nigeria’s headline inflation has steadily recorded upticks (currently at 33.2% y/y as of March ‘24). Our end-year inflation forecast (base-case scenario) is 35.8% y/y. The ongoing geopolitical tension could exacerbate supply chain disruptions, driving commodity prices, and exerting pressure on purchasing
power.

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Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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