Connect with us

Forex

Forex Weekly Outlook September 25-29

Published

on

aussie
  • Forex Weekly Outlook September 25-29

The US Federal Reserve left interest rate unchanged last week, but announced the commencement of its $4.5 trillion balance sheet normalization in October and revised up economic growth forecast from 2.2 percent to 2.4 percent in 2017. Stating that continuous job creation and improved economic outlook will further aid the labor market and lower jobless rate in 2018 and 2019 to 4.1 percent. However, with the strong economic projection, the US dollar failed to sustain its earlier gains after Donald Trump’s comments on North Korea at the United Nations General Assembly.

In Japan, the Bank of Japan also kept the interest rate at -0.1 percent but maintained the ongoing quantitative easing program. A decision one of the Monetary Committee disagreed with and insisted that the current policy won’t pressure prices enough to attain the central bank’s 2 percent inflation target.

This week, EURJPY, AUDUSD, CADJPY, and NZDJPY picked last week top my list.

EURJPY

The Euro-area economy continued to improve amid growing business confidence. The manufacturing sector expanded by 58.2 in September, while the services sector grew by 55.6. Another indication of a healthy economy and increased business activities.

Adding this positive economic data to Angela Merkel wins in Germany, further validate the Euro bullish position and the continuous gain is expected to attract enough buyers to boost the EURJPY towards our target.

EURJPYWeekly

Also, the anti-U.S. rally staged in North Korea over the weekend would weigh on Japanese Yen this week and increase political uncertainty in the country. Again, a sustained break above the 21-month price level, as shown above, affirm bullish continuation. Therefore, I remain bullish on this pair with 136.25 as the target as explained last week.

AUDUSD

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s dovish statement impacted Australian dollar’s outlook. However, the uncertainties in the U.S. are weighing on the U.S. dollar attractiveness and with the Anti-U.S. rally staged in the North Korea over the weekend, investors are likely to avoid the U.S. assets to avert volatility.

Forex Weekly Outlook September 25-29

Technically, the two pin bars above the ascending trendline indicates waning upside strength, but a close below the trendline and the 20-day moving average confirmed bearish continuation. But the increasing uncertainties in the U.S., including the Obamacare repeal vote due this week, could halt progress. Therefore, while I am bearish on  AUDUSD as I believe the Australian dollar is currently overpriced, I will be staying neutral to monitor geopolitical events in relation to price action.

CADJPY

The Canadian consumer prices improved in August to 1.4 percent on rising gasoline costs. Although it was below the 1.5 percent predicted by economists, it was higher than the 1.2 percent from preceding month. Yet the Canadian dollar dipped last week following Donald Trump’s comments. This is because Canada’s largest trading partner, the U.S., exert a certain effect on the economy.

CADJPYWeekly

This week, I will expect the gain in commodity prices and Japan’s uncertainty to boost this pair attractiveness for 93.15 resistance levels as explained last week.

NZDJPY

As stated last week, This pair closed above the 20-day moving average last week. However, a close above the 81.02 resistance level is needed to validate bullish continuation. Therefore, this week I will look to buy this pair above 81.02 resistance level and expect a sustained break to boost its demand towards 83.81 targets.

Forex Weekly Outlook September 25-29

This week, I remain bullish on this pair for two reasons: Haven assets and emerging currencies would likely be the focus this week. Two, the Yen is expected to slide further amid political uncertainty.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Continue Reading
Comments

Forex

ABCON President Announces Blueprint for Unified Retail Forex Market

Published

on

Naira Dollar Exchange Rate - Investors King

The President of the Association of Bureaux De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), Aminu Gwadabe, has revealed plans to establish a unified retail end forex market structure.

This strategic initiative seeks to address volatility and streamline operations across the Bureaux De Change (BDC) sub-sector.

Gwadabe outlined the objectives of ABCON’s blueprint and the need to integrate operators from various segments of the market.

Central to the plan is the inauguration of state chapters to facilitate coordination, integration, and administration of a united market structure.

ABCON intends to extend its automation policies and platforms to all BDC operators nationwide, upgrading its Business Process Platform to enhance efficiency and transparency.

The proposed unified retail end forex market will feature a centralized, democratized, and liberalized online real-time trading platform.

This innovation aims to provide market participants with greater accessibility and transparency while fostering regulatory compliance and government oversight.

Speaking on the vision for the unified market, Gwadabe highlighted the importance of collaboration with regulatory agencies, security operatives, and government bodies to ensure a secure and thriving forex market environment.

Gwadabe reiterated the benefits of a realistic and vibrant retail forex market, aligning with the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) objectives of achieving true price discovery for the naira and balancing international obligations.

Also, the unified market structure aims to provide market intelligence reports, enhance the image of BDCs, and stimulate employment generation.

Furthermore, ABCON’s initiative aims to combat the proliferation of unlicensed forex platforms by creating a transparent and competitive market environment. By digitizing retail forex transactions and ensuring regulatory compliance, the association aims to capture revenues for the government and curb illicit financial activities.

ABCON, as a self-regulatory body representing all CBN-licensed BDCs, acknowledges the importance of maintaining integrity and adherence to regulatory standards within the sector.

Continue Reading

Forex

Yen Hits 34-Year Low Against Dollar Despite Bank of Japan’s Inaction

Published

on

aussie

The Japanese yen plummeted to a 34-year low against the US dollar, sending shockwaves through global financial markets.

Despite mounting pressure and speculation, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) chose to maintain its key interest rate.

The yen’s relentless slide, extending to 0.7% to 156.66 against the dollar, underscores deep concerns about Japan’s economic stability and the efficacy of its monetary policies.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s remarks at a post-meeting news conference did little to assuage fears as he acknowledged the impact of foreign exchange dynamics on inflation but downplayed the yen’s influence on underlying prices.

Investors, already on edge due to the yen’s dismal performance this year, are now bracing for further volatility amid speculation of imminent intervention by Japanese authorities.

The absence of decisive action from the BOJ has heightened uncertainty, with concerns looming over the potential repercussions of a prolonged yen depreciation.

The implications of the yen’s decline extend far beyond Japan’s borders, reverberating across global markets. The currency’s status as the worst-performing among major currencies in the Group of Ten (G-10) underscores its significance in the international financial landscape.

Policymakers have issued repeated warnings against excessive depreciation, signaling a commitment to intervene if necessary to safeguard economic stability.

Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated the government’s readiness to respond to foreign exchange fluctuations, emphasizing the need for vigilance in the face of market volatility.

However, the lack of concrete action from Japanese authorities has left investors grappling with uncertainty, unsure of the yen’s trajectory in the days to come.

Market analysts warn of the potential for further downside risk, particularly in light of upcoming economic data releases and the prospect of thin trading volumes due to public holidays in Japan.

The absence of coordinated intervention efforts and a clear policy stance only exacerbates concerns, fueling speculation about the yen’s future trajectory.

The yen’s current predicament evokes memories of past episodes of currency turmoil, prompting comparisons to Japan’s intervention in 2022 when the currency experienced a similar downward spiral.

The prospect of history repeating itself looms large, as market participants weigh the possibility of intervention against the backdrop of an increasingly volatile global economy.

As Japan grapples with the yen’s precipitous decline, the stakes have never been higher for policymakers tasked with restoring stability to the currency markets. With the world watching closely, the fate of the yen hangs in the balance, poised between intervention and inertia in the face of unprecedented challenges.

Continue Reading

Naira

Dollar to Naira Black Market Today, April 25th, 2024

As of April 25th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,300 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

Published

on

Naira to Dollar Exchange- Investors King Rate - Investors King

As of April 25th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,300 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

For those engaging in currency transactions in the Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market), buyers purchase a dollar for N1,260 and sell it at N1,250 on Wednesday, April 24th, 2024 based on information from Bureau De Change (BDC).

Meaning, the Naira exchange rate declined when compared to today’s rate below.

This black market rate signifies the value at which individuals can trade their dollars for Naira outside the official or regulated exchange channels.

Investors and participants closely monitor these parallel market rates for a more immediate reflection of currency dynamics.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Today in the Black Market?

Kindly be aware that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not acknowledge the existence of the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market.

The CBN has advised individuals seeking to participate in Forex transactions to utilize official banking channels.

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate

  • Buying Rate: N1,300
  • Selling Rate: N1,290

Continue Reading
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending