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Oil Tarries Around $50 as Bearish U.S. Crude Supply Report Looms

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  • Oil Tarries Around $50 as Bearish U.S. Crude Supply Report Looms

Oil hovered around $50 a barrel as traders awaited weekly storage data that may show the longest expansion of U.S. crude inventories in almost half a year.

Futures were little changed in New York a day ahead of a government report that’s expected to show a 3.4 million-barrel increase in U.S. oil held in storage, according to a Bloomberg survey. The bearish supply outlook erased gains earlier in the session driven by Iraqi Oil Minister Jabbar al-Luaibi’s advocacy of deeper production cuts among OPEC member states and allied oil producers.

“We are going to tread water ahead of the inventory report. There is a sense that we may have a bit of an upside surprise in the crude inventory number,” John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC, a New York-based hedge fund, said by telephone. “We continue to have the OPEC folks trotting the globe and continuing to talk up either longer cuts, deeper cuts. The market is rewarding that to a degree.”

While the U.S. benchmark has climbed above $50 this month, prices have struggled to close above that level as rising output from American shale fields hinders efforts by OPEC, Russia and other major sources of supply to erode a stubborn glut. The Energy Information Administration sees shale-oil production reaching a record high in October.

Iraq’s suggestion “has a minor influence on prices — if it would have come from Saudi Arabia, it would probably have had a bigger impact,”’ said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich.

West Texas Intermediate for October delivery, which expires Wednesday, rose 15 cents to $50.06 a barrel at 10:21 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Total volume traded was about 6 percent below the 100-day average.

Brent for November settlement fell 4 cents to $55.44 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The global benchmark traded at a premium of $5.04 to November WTI.

At least 13 fuel-making plants from Louisiana to Montana, including the largest U.S. refinery operated by Motiva Enterprises LLC in Texas, are postponing autumn maintenance for weeks or months, according to company statement and people familiar with the situations. Some plants are churning out more fuel to take advantage of strong profit margins, while others are understaffed because workers were dispatched to help Gulf Coast facilities recover from Hurricane Harvey.

Crude imports arriving at Gulf Coast ports probably fell by 295,300 barrels a day last week to 1.9 million, according to calculations based on U.S. Customs and Border Protection bills of lading and vessel-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg.

The Energy Information Administration is scheduled to disclose its weekly tallies of oil, gasoline and other petroleum products on Wednesday. The industry-funded American Petroleum Institute will release its inventory data on Tuesday.

Oil-market news:

  • Caribbean island nations still recovering from Irma are bracing for a third storm strike in two weeks as Maria charts a course toward Puerto Rico.
  • Saudi Aramco plans to expand its trading business by buying and selling non-Saudi crude as the world’s biggest exporter prepares for what could be a record initial public offering.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Rebound on OPEC+ Output Delay Talks and U.S. Inventory Drop

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Oil prices made a modest recovery on Thursday on the expectations that OPEC+ may delay planned production increases and the drop in U.S. crude inventories.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, rose by 66 cents, or 0.9% to $73.36 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by 64 cents or 0.9% to $69.84 per barrel.

The rebound in oil prices was a result of the American Petroleum Institute (API) report that revealed that the U.S. crude oil inventories had fallen by a surprising 7.431 million barrels last week, against analysts 1 million barrel decline projection.

The decline signals better than projected demand for the commodity in the United States of America and offers some relief for traders on global demand.

John Evans, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates, attributed the rebound in crude oil prices to the API report.

He said, “There is a pause of breath and light reprieve for oil prices.”

Also, discussions within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, are fueling speculation about a potential delay in planned output increases.

The group was initially expected to increase production by 180,000 a day in October 2024.

However, concerns over softening demand in China and potential developments in Libya’s oil production have prompted the group to reconsider its strategy.

Despite the recent rebound, analysts caution that lingering uncertainties around global oil demand may continue to weigh on prices in the near term.

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Energy

Power Generation Surges to 5,313 MW, But Distribution Issues Persist

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Nigeria’s power generation continues to get better under the leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

According to the latest statement released by Bolaji Tunji, the media aide to the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, power generation surged to a three-year high of 5,313 megawatts (MW).

“The national grid on Monday hit a record high of 5,313MW, a record high in the last three years,” the statement disclosed.

Reacting to this, the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, called on power distribution companies to take more energy to prevent grid collapse as the grid’s frequency drops when power is produced and not picked by the Discos.

He added that efforts would be made to encourage industries to purchase bulk energy.

However, a top official of one of the Discos was quoted as saying that the power companies were finding it difficult to pick the extra energy produced by generation companies because they were not happy with the tariff on other bands apart from Band A.

“As it is now, we are operating at a loss. Yes, they supply more power but this problem could be solved with improved tariff for the other bands and more meter penetration to recover the cost,” the Disco official, who pleaded not to be named due to lack of authorisation to speak on the matter, said.

On Saturday, the ministry said power generation that peaked at 5,170MW was ramped down by 1,400MW due to Discos’ energy rejection.

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Again NNPC Raises Petrol Price to N897/litre

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Petrol - Investors King

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has once again increased the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) from N855 per litre on Tuesday to N897 on Wednesday.

The increase was after Aliko Dangote, the Chairman of Dangote Refinery, announced the commencement of petrol production at its refinery.

The continuous increase in pump prices has raised concerns among Nigerians despite the initial excitement from the refinery announcement.

According to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), the 650,000 barrels per day refinery will supply 25 million litres of petrol to the Nigerian market daily this September.

This, NMDPRA said will increase to 30 million litres per day in October.

However, the promise of increased fuel supply has not yet eased the situation on the ground.

Tunde Ayeni, a commercial bus driver at an NNPC station in Ikoyi, said “I have been in the queue since 6 a.m. waiting for them to start selling, but we just realised that the pump price has been changed to N897. This is terrible, and yet they still haven’t started selling the product.”

The price hike comes as NNPC continues to struggle with sustaining regular fuel supply.

On Sunday, the company warned that its ability to maintain steady distribution across the country was under threat due to financial strain.

NNPC cited rising supply costs as the cause of its difficulties in keeping up with demand.

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