Connect with us

Forex

Forex Weekly Outlook August 28 – September 1

Published

on

One-hundred euro, from top, U
  • Forex Weekly Outlook August 28 – September 1

The three key Central Banks’ Governors, Janet Yellen, Mario Draghi and Haruhiko Kuroda on Friday agreed that weak global inflation and poor wage growth are impeding central banks from reducing monetary accommodation. Suggesting top global banks are not in a hurry to hike rates just yet.

Also, global uncertainties remain high after North Korea fired 3 short range missiles on Saturday. This is coming amid U.S. political unrest and Brexit ongoing negotiation.

Again, the Bank of Japan Governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, believed the 4 percent economic growth rate recorded by the world’s third largest economy in the second quarter is unsustainable and vowed to maintain an accommodative policy for some time.

Overall, the weak wage growth and low consumer prices remain a concern for central banks. However, growing job creation and moderate domestic spending have helped sustain growth in most nations.

This week, GBPJPY, NZDJPY, USDCAD, and GBPUSD.

GBPJPY

Since I first mentioned this pair two weeks ago, it has plunged by another 69 pips. However, the volume of trade remains low. But with the U.K consumer spending waning and economic growth stagnant at 0.3 percent, the lowest among Group seven nations. It is right to expect a further decline of the British pound —especially as the third leg of Brexit negotiation commences this week.

Forex Weekly Outlook August 28 - September 1

Technically, since this pair closed below the ascending channel two weeks ago, it has failed to break 142.42 resistance level and has remained below the 20-day moving average.

This week, I remain bearish on this pair as long as 142.42 resistance holds.

NZDJPY

As explained last week, this pair dropped 79 pips to hit our first target at 78.83. But failed to closed below key support level to validate bearish continuation after the Bank of Japan Governor, Haruhiko Kuroda said inflation rate is far from BOJ’s 2 percent target and wage growth remains low even with recent progress, therefore, he is not looking at unwinding balance sheet or raising rates until these imbalances normalized. This statement weakened the Yen outlook marginally, however, the rising global uncertainties continued to boost Yen attractiveness because of its haven status and growing economy.

NZDJPYWeekly

Therefore, this week I will look to sell this pair below 78.83 support levels that double as the ascending channel as seen above for 76.25 support, our target 2.

USDCAD

The USDCAD closed slightly below our key support (five weeks ago target 1) to reaffirm bearish continuation. Again, while the US dollar attractiveness is weighed upon by uncertainties, the Canadian dollar strength is also impacted by the growing US uncertainties, its largest trading partner.

Forex Weekly Outlook August 28 - September 1

However, the Canadian fundamentals just like the US are solid but with minimal domestic headwinds, the economy continued to create new jobs and the rising housing cost has been curbed. Making the Canadian dollar more attractive to investors than the US dollar, especially after the Bank of Canada raised rates for the first time in 7 years.

This week, I remain bearish on this pair and will look to sell below 1.2494 resistance for 1.2217 targets, our second target 5 weeks ago.

GBPUSD

The weak US dollar is aiding the British Pound, even though the U.K economic data shows the economy has started slowing down ahead of Brexit negotiation. The pound is likely to gain against the US dollar just like other major currencies are expected to surge as the Donald Trump administration looks to access the damage of Harvey continuous rain damage, estimated at $24 billion and the danger of North Korea 3 short range missiles.

Forex Weekly Outlook August 28 - September 1

While I remain bearish on this pair, I will be standing aside this week to watch price action as I expect the US dollar to dip further this week. However, on a sustained break of 1.2785 support level, I will look to sell for 1.2602 targets.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Continue Reading
Comments

Forex

ABCON President Announces Blueprint for Unified Retail Forex Market

Published

on

Naira Dollar Exchange Rate - Investors King

The President of the Association of Bureaux De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), Aminu Gwadabe, has revealed plans to establish a unified retail end forex market structure.

This strategic initiative seeks to address volatility and streamline operations across the Bureaux De Change (BDC) sub-sector.

Gwadabe outlined the objectives of ABCON’s blueprint and the need to integrate operators from various segments of the market.

Central to the plan is the inauguration of state chapters to facilitate coordination, integration, and administration of a united market structure.

ABCON intends to extend its automation policies and platforms to all BDC operators nationwide, upgrading its Business Process Platform to enhance efficiency and transparency.

The proposed unified retail end forex market will feature a centralized, democratized, and liberalized online real-time trading platform.

This innovation aims to provide market participants with greater accessibility and transparency while fostering regulatory compliance and government oversight.

Speaking on the vision for the unified market, Gwadabe highlighted the importance of collaboration with regulatory agencies, security operatives, and government bodies to ensure a secure and thriving forex market environment.

Gwadabe reiterated the benefits of a realistic and vibrant retail forex market, aligning with the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) objectives of achieving true price discovery for the naira and balancing international obligations.

Also, the unified market structure aims to provide market intelligence reports, enhance the image of BDCs, and stimulate employment generation.

Furthermore, ABCON’s initiative aims to combat the proliferation of unlicensed forex platforms by creating a transparent and competitive market environment. By digitizing retail forex transactions and ensuring regulatory compliance, the association aims to capture revenues for the government and curb illicit financial activities.

ABCON, as a self-regulatory body representing all CBN-licensed BDCs, acknowledges the importance of maintaining integrity and adherence to regulatory standards within the sector.

Continue Reading

Forex

Yen Hits 34-Year Low Against Dollar Despite Bank of Japan’s Inaction

Published

on

aussie

The Japanese yen plummeted to a 34-year low against the US dollar, sending shockwaves through global financial markets.

Despite mounting pressure and speculation, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) chose to maintain its key interest rate.

The yen’s relentless slide, extending to 0.7% to 156.66 against the dollar, underscores deep concerns about Japan’s economic stability and the efficacy of its monetary policies.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s remarks at a post-meeting news conference did little to assuage fears as he acknowledged the impact of foreign exchange dynamics on inflation but downplayed the yen’s influence on underlying prices.

Investors, already on edge due to the yen’s dismal performance this year, are now bracing for further volatility amid speculation of imminent intervention by Japanese authorities.

The absence of decisive action from the BOJ has heightened uncertainty, with concerns looming over the potential repercussions of a prolonged yen depreciation.

The implications of the yen’s decline extend far beyond Japan’s borders, reverberating across global markets. The currency’s status as the worst-performing among major currencies in the Group of Ten (G-10) underscores its significance in the international financial landscape.

Policymakers have issued repeated warnings against excessive depreciation, signaling a commitment to intervene if necessary to safeguard economic stability.

Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated the government’s readiness to respond to foreign exchange fluctuations, emphasizing the need for vigilance in the face of market volatility.

However, the lack of concrete action from Japanese authorities has left investors grappling with uncertainty, unsure of the yen’s trajectory in the days to come.

Market analysts warn of the potential for further downside risk, particularly in light of upcoming economic data releases and the prospect of thin trading volumes due to public holidays in Japan.

The absence of coordinated intervention efforts and a clear policy stance only exacerbates concerns, fueling speculation about the yen’s future trajectory.

The yen’s current predicament evokes memories of past episodes of currency turmoil, prompting comparisons to Japan’s intervention in 2022 when the currency experienced a similar downward spiral.

The prospect of history repeating itself looms large, as market participants weigh the possibility of intervention against the backdrop of an increasingly volatile global economy.

As Japan grapples with the yen’s precipitous decline, the stakes have never been higher for policymakers tasked with restoring stability to the currency markets. With the world watching closely, the fate of the yen hangs in the balance, poised between intervention and inertia in the face of unprecedented challenges.

Continue Reading

Naira

Dollar to Naira Black Market Today, April 25th, 2024

As of April 25th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,300 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

Published

on

Naira to Dollar Exchange- Investors King Rate - Investors King

As of April 25th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,300 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

For those engaging in currency transactions in the Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market), buyers purchase a dollar for N1,260 and sell it at N1,250 on Wednesday, April 24th, 2024 based on information from Bureau De Change (BDC).

Meaning, the Naira exchange rate declined when compared to today’s rate below.

This black market rate signifies the value at which individuals can trade their dollars for Naira outside the official or regulated exchange channels.

Investors and participants closely monitor these parallel market rates for a more immediate reflection of currency dynamics.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Today in the Black Market?

Kindly be aware that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not acknowledge the existence of the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market.

The CBN has advised individuals seeking to participate in Forex transactions to utilize official banking channels.

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate

  • Buying Rate: N1,300
  • Selling Rate: N1,290

Continue Reading
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending