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Fresh Hurdles for 9mobile

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  • Fresh Hurdles for 9mobile

The last few months, if you will, have been very eventful for Emerging Markets Telecommunication Services Limited (EMTS) which previously traded as ‘Etisalat Nigeria.’ The company passed through the mill in its quest to literally rescue its drowning baby from the murky waters!

Yes, Etisalat Nigeria passed through some kind of evil days and almost fated but for the quick intervention of the Central Bank of Nigeria.

A horse of recall

Etisalat Nigeria had in 2013, obtained a seven-year loan facility of $1.2billion from 13 local banks and their foreign counterparts to refinance a $650 million loan as well as the expansion of its network but the company had missed the payment due to a dollar shortfall in Nigeria’s financial system.

The loan, which involved a foreign-backed guaranty bond, was for Etisalat to finance a major network rehabilitation and expansion of its operational base in Nigeria.

The 13 local banks involved in the loan deal include: Zenith Bank, GT Bank, First Bank, UBA, Fidelity Bank, Access Bank, Ecobank, FCMB, Stanbic IBTC Bank, Union Bank.

Subsequently, Abu Dhabi state investment fund Mubadala, the second-largest shareholder in the business, had in April presented a final restructuring plan to the banks which they flatly rejected. The banks further gave a one month window for repayment which lapsed in May 31st, 2017.

But following its inability to redeem its payment, the banks issued Etisalat a default notice and sought to take over the company before the Central Bank of Nigeria now intervened.

A comeback bid

But like the proverbial phoenix, it does appear that the fourth largest network is literally trying to get back its life on an even keel what with its new name and brand essence.

At the end of a crucial management meeting of the telecom firm in Lagos, penultimate Thursday, it rallied to move away from the shadows of its troubles by taking a new brand name.

9mobile was unanimously adopted by the company as its new brand name, a move that may have been preempted by the chief executive of Etisalat International, Hatem Dowidar who said Etisalat Group would, in the next three weeks, phase out the brand name in Nigeria.

The decision followed Emirates Telecommunications Group (Etisalat Group) withdrawal of further involvement in the ownership of the Nigerian subsidiary.

Until June 15, the United Arab Emirates, UAE, group was a major shareholder in Etisalat Nigeria, along with United Arab Emirates Sovereign Wealth Fund through Mubadala Development Company, Abu Dhabi.

The two affiliates controlled a combined 85 per cent equity in the telecom firm, with Myacinth holding 15 per cent stake through Emerging Markets Telecommunications Services, EMTS Holding BV, owned by former United Bank for Africa, UBA, Chairman, Hakeem Bello-Osagie.

Opting to part ways with the company followed the crisis in the wake of the $1.2 billion (N377.4 billion) syndicated loan the telecom firm took in 2013 from a consortium of 13 Nigerian banks.

Etisalat Nigeria, Emirates Group disclosed in a filing with the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange it had transferred 100 per cent of its shares with EMTS Holding BV, a special purpose vehicle established in Netherlands, to United Capital Trustees Limited, legal trustees of the banks.

However, following the resignation a fortnight ago of its immediate past Chairman, Mr. Bello-Osagie, and last week’s reconstitution of the company’s Board of directors, the issue of the trading name the embattled firm would carry brought fresh headache to its management.

EMTS Vice President Regulatory and Corporate Affairs, Ibrahim Dikko, had weighed in with an explanation that the company had a valid and subsisting agreement with its former parent company, to continue using the Etisalat brand regardless of the recent restructuring of the Company.

Mr. Dikko gave a hint as to what the new name of the company could be. He recalled that at the launch of EMTS in Nigeria in 2008, “0809ja” was adopted, to affirm the “Nigerianness” of its origin and the company’s sphere of influence.

Blessed assurance

Following Thursday’s announcement of the new brand name, our correspondent learnt that all staff of the company nationwide were sent notices of the change of name.

Expectedly, on Wednesday the company officially unveiled its new brand identity, 9mobile, with a new logo and website.

The event which was shorn of the usual razzmatazz at such occasion had top members of staff in attendance.

The Chief Executive Officer of 9mobile, Mr Boye Olusanya who addressed reporters at the news conference in Lagos, said with the migration to a new name and brand, 9mobile promised to sustain and continuously provide innovative and value-adding propositions, which it had delivered since inception nine years ago.

He said the new brand identity reflected the bold and creative attributes which the company shared with its valued subscribers.

According to him, the rebranding will enable the company to connect more with its subscribers, especially the youth.

“In our nine years of operations, we have remained at the forefront of innovation and take pride in consistently delivering superior experiences to our subscribers.

“We continue to establish meaningful partnerships with our customers and partners by providing platforms that support their goals and aspirations,’’ he said.

The CEO said that the new name and brand were a deliberate representation and confirmation of its Nigerian heritage.

He said that the new identity was another phase of the telecommunications company’s evolution over nine years of operations in Nigeria.

Olusanya said that though the company’s name and brand changed, the values on which it operated remained the same.

He said that the new logo represented resilience and continuity, particularly of digital technology and continued impact on communication and human interactions.

According to him, being a number-themed logo reflects the network’s futuristic slant.

“With the launch of our new brand, our commitment to providing our subscribers with best-in-class telecommunications services continues. We live in a digitalised world and 9mobile is positioned to deliver more platforms, products and services, using the power of technology.”

Olusanya said that over the years, the telecommunications company had built a strong network, which better-positioned 9mobile to continue delivering innovative solutions.

He said that the values of innovation, customer-centricity and quality of service remained its guiding principles, even as the new management focused on driving efficiency and steering growth.

The CEO while acknowledging that the task to get the changes under way was no doubt easy, however attributed the seamlessness of the task to the responsiveness of its staff, who according to him made the difference.

The tasks ahead

It is however instructive to note that the telco still faces a number of challenges ahead, which may make or mar its growth plans if not addressed headlong.

Speaking with a cross-section of industry experts they told our correspondent that the telecoms network needs to step up its game in its quest to remain relevant in the sector.

Speaking in an interview, Mr. Olusola Teniola, National President, Association of Telecommunications Companies of Nigeria (ATCON) said, “Full rebranding of Etisalat over the period under new management can be from $100m and above. However, if 9mobile is viewed as a temporary brand name that is in transition awaiting another buyer, then in my estimates, a figure much lower than $100m can be used to rebrand 9mobile over all its customer care centers and kiosks, stationary, bill boards and a very light touch of below the line awareness that doesn’t include SIM card / recharge card rebranding.”

The ATCON boss was also quick to add that the potential in the industry is enormous and any new investor has the opportunity to define and shape the future of this dynamic industry.

Echoing similar sentiment, the Managing Director/CEO Prima Garnet Africa, Laolu Akinwunmi who acknowledged the fact that the cost of rebranding the network could not be summed up without proper due diligence analysis, said depending on the scope and breadth, a rebranding exercise will not come really cheap.

Akinwunmi who is also former Chairman Advertising Practitioners Council of Nigeria (APCON) however admitted that the cost of rebranding will be in the region of several millions of dollars.

Besides funding, The Nation gathered that the company may also faced the arduous task of maintaining its steady subscribers on its network as existing and prospective subscribers are pulling out.

At the last count, the number of subscribers that have abandoned the network, following the crisis it had as a result of its inability to repay a $1.2 billion loan facility it obtained from a consortium of banks, has increased to over 3.5 million.

It was gathered that the event on the new brand unveiling, held at its Lagos headquarters, was a departure from the flamboyant nature with which the telco was known when having similar major events in the past nine years of its operations in Nigeria.

From over 22 million subscribers in the past months, Etisalat subscribers has crashed to 18.5 million, this represents a loss of over 15 per cent of its total active subscribers as at May, this year, data obtained from the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) revealed.

Also, 9mobile’s (as Etisalat Nigeria is now known) market share, which had reached 15 per cent dropped to 12.76 per cent, at the end of May.

MTN currently has 54.9 million subscribers; Globacom, 37.3 million while Airtel has 34.1 million with their market shares standing at 37.8 per cent, 25.7 per cent and 23.5 per cent respectively.

Already, Chief Executive Officer, 9mobile, Mr. Boye Olusanya, has confirmed the poor financial state of the telecoms company, little wonder he said, the telco ‘is still open for investors’ in order to put the company fully back on track, even as he disclosed that the company is now positioned to offer more value to subscribers still remaining on its network while working to attract new customers.

With the migration to a new name and brand, Olusanya said 9mobile was seeking to sustain and continuously provide innovative and value-adding propositions which it has delivered since inception nine years ago.

On the growing fears over job security, Akinwunmi said this may not be much of a problem. The new management, he noted, “Is very solid and as you can see from their prompt response to the name change, also competent. However, at the end of the day, the decision on what to do with jobs is with the board and senior management.”

While commenting on the public acceptability, he said this will be a function of many factors. “It will be at different levels. Quality of services is one. If the customers continue to enjoy the same quality of call services, VAS etc there will be no problems I am sure the public will accept the new brand.”

Lending credence to Akinwunmi’s point, Teniola while noting that the customer is king in this industry and the segment of the market that spoke to Etisalat’s success would and should be the area that 9mobile should hold dear to its strategic intent. “It is our view in ATCON that all our members adhere to a Business Code of Ethics that treats the consumer in a proper manner and if EMTS rebranded as 9mobile adheres to these sets of principles we believe public acceptance will continue to exist.”

In the view of Teniola, “Once the new management is able to return the underlying operations of EMTS to a profitable position that allows its financial performance to cover its full current obligations to its creditors, especially in the form of ‘interest rate coverage’ then the issue of job losses may be kept to a minimum.”

On addressing investor apathy, Teniola said it could be addressed if the new crop of management plays by the rules. “The CEO of 9mobile has stated that the company is open to willing investors. This statement demonstrates that the lenders controlling the company are willing to enter into discussions with new investors willing to turnaround this promising company. The potential in the industry is enormous and any new investor has the opportunity to define and shape the future of this dynamic industry. A lot of innovative solutions are waiting to be introduced to totally transform the way the existing value chain has been created to address the voice market and needs to be changed to truly address the digital realm.”

In his own assertion, Oluwadare Ogunyombo, a marketing communication expert also holds the view and very strongly that the telco needs to gird up its loins so as to turn the tide. This, he said, becomes inevitable if the idea is to remain relevant. Pray, is someone listening?

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Crude Oil

Oil Prices Rebound After Three Days of Losses

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Crude oil - Investors King

After enduring a three-day decline, oil prices recovered on Thursday, offering a glimmer of hope to investors amid a volatile market landscape.

The rebound was fueled by a combination of factors ranging from geopolitical developments to supply concerns.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigeria oil is priced, surged by 79 cents, or 0.95% to $84.23 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 69 cents, or 0.87% to $79.69 per barrel.

This turnaround came on the heels of a significant downturn that had pushed prices to their lowest levels since mid-March.

The recent slump in oil prices was primarily attributed to a confluence of factors, including the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates and concerns surrounding stubborn inflation, which could potentially dampen economic growth and limit oil demand.

Also, unexpected data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealing a substantial increase in U.S. crude inventories added further pressure on oil prices.

“The updated inventory statistics were probably the most salient price driver over the course of yesterday’s trading session,” said Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM.

Crude inventories surged by 7.3 million barrels to 460.9 million barrels, significantly exceeding analysts’ expectations and casting a shadow over market sentiment.

However, the tide began to turn as ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas gained traction, offering a glimmer of hope for stability in the volatile Middle East region.

The prospect of a ceasefire agreement, spearheaded by Egypt, injected optimism into the market, offsetting concerns surrounding geopolitical tensions.

“As the impact of the U.S. crude stock build and the Fed signaling higher-for-longer rates is close to being fully baked in, attention will turn towards the outcome of the Gaza talks,” noted Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights.

The potential for a resolution in the Israel-Hamas conflict provided a ray of hope, contributing to the positive momentum in oil markets.

Despite the optimism surrounding ceasefire talks, tensions in the Middle East remain palpable, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterating plans for a military offensive in the southern Gaza city of Rafah.

The precarious geopolitical climate continues to underpin volatility in oil markets, reminding investors of the inherent risks associated with the commodity.

In addition to geopolitical developments, speculation regarding U.S. government buying for strategic reserves added further support to oil prices.

With the U.S. expressing intentions to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) at prices below $79 a barrel, market participants closely monitored price movements, anticipating potential intervention to stabilize prices.

“The oil market was supported by speculation that if WTI falls below $79, the U.S. will move to build up its strategic reserves,” highlighted Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, owned by Nissan Securities.

As oil markets navigate a complex web of geopolitical uncertainties and supply dynamics, the recent rebound underscores the resilience of the commodity in the face of adversity.

While challenges persist, the renewed optimism offers a ray of hope for stability and growth in the oil sector, providing investors with a semblance of confidence amidst a volatile landscape.

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Gold

Gold Soars as Fed Signals Patience

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Gold emerged as a star performer as the Federal Reserve adopted a more patient stance, sending the precious metal soaring to new heights.

Amidst a backdrop of uncertainty, gold’s ascent mirrored investors’ appetite for safe-haven assets and reflected their interpretation of the central bank’s cautious approach.

Following the Fed’s decision to maintain interest rates at their current levels, gold prices surged toward $2,330 an ounce in early Asian trade, building on a 1.5% gain from the previous session – the most significant one-day increase since mid-April.

The dovish tone struck by Fed Chair Jerome Powell during the announcement provided the impetus for gold’s rally, as he downplayed the prospects of imminent rate hikes while underscoring the need for further evidence of cooling inflation before considering adjustments to borrowing costs.

This tempered outlook from the Fed, which emphasized patience and data dependence, bolstered gold’s appeal as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.

Investors interpreted the central bank’s stance as a signal of continued support for accommodative monetary policies, providing a tailwind for the precious metal.

Simultaneously, the Japanese yen surged more than 3% against the dollar, sparking speculation of intervention by Japanese authorities to support the currency.

This move further weakened the dollar, enhancing the attractiveness of gold to investors seeking refuge from currency volatility.

Gold’s ascent in recent months has been underpinned by a confluence of factors, including robust central bank purchases, strong demand from Asian markets – particularly China – and geopolitical tensions ranging from conflicts in Ukraine to instability in the Middle East.

These dynamics have propelled gold’s price upwards by approximately 13% this year, culminating in a record high last month.

At 9:07 a.m. in Singapore, spot gold was up 0.3% to $2,326.03 an ounce, with silver also experiencing gains as it rose towards $27 an ounce.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index concurrently fell by 0.3%, further underscoring the inverse relationship between the dollar’s strength and gold’s allure.

However, amidst the fervor surrounding gold’s surge, palladium found itself trading below platinum after dipping below its sister metal for the first time since February.

The erosion of palladium’s long-standing premium was attributed to a pessimistic outlook for demand in gasoline-powered cars, highlighting the nuanced dynamics within the precious metals market.

As gold continues its upward trajectory, investors remain attuned to evolving macroeconomic indicators and central bank policy shifts, navigating a landscape defined by uncertainty and volatility.

In this environment, the allure of gold as a safe-haven asset is likely to endure, providing solace to investors seeking stability amidst turbulent times.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Steady as Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Talks Offer Hope, Red Sea Attacks Persist

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Amidst geopolitical tensions and ongoing conflicts, oil prices remained relatively stable as hopes for a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas emerged, while attacks in the Red Sea continued to escalate.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, saw a modest rise of 27 cents to $88.67 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained 30 cents to $82.93 a barrel.

The optimism stems from negotiations between Israel and Hamas with talks in Cairo aiming to broker a potential ceasefire.

Despite these diplomatic efforts, attacks in the Red Sea by Yemen’s Houthis persist, raising concerns about potential disruptions to oil supply routes.

Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights, emphasized the importance of a concrete agreement to drive market sentiment, stating that the oil market awaits a finalized deal between the conflicting parties.

Meanwhile, investor focus remains on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy review, particularly in light of persistent inflationary pressures.

Market expectations for any rate adjustments have been pushed out due to stubborn inflation, potentially bolstering the U.S. dollar and impacting oil demand.

Concerns over demand also weigh on sentiment, with ANZ analysts noting a decline in premiums for diesel and heating oil compared to crude oil, signaling subdued demand prospects.

As geopolitical uncertainties persist and market dynamics evolve, observers closely monitor developments in both the Middle East and global economic policies for their potential impact on oil prices and market stability.

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