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Market Sheds 0.3% on Profit Taking

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Market Sheds 0.3% on Profit Taking

The Nigerian stock market closed on a negative note last week as profit taking halted a four week rally. The market had in the previous week hit a record high following an unprecedented surge in investors’ appetite for risk assets. While the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index surged 7.46 per cent, the market capitalisation added N676 billion.

However, attempts by some investors to realise part of the capital gains recorded the previous week led to a decline in the benchmark index closing the week 0.28 per cent lower at 28,113.38, while market capitalisation ended at N9.719 trillion.

Similarly, all other indices finished lower except the NSE Premium, NSE Main Board, NSE Banking, NSE Insurance and the NSE Pension indices that appreciated by 3.05 per cent, 0.23 per cent, 0.38 per cent and 0.97 per cent while the NSE ASeM Index closed flat.

The negative close notwithstanding, analysts at Cordros Capital Limited, said: “Fundamentally, the market remains strong, particularly in light of improved stability and liquidity in the currency space, and the government’s recent progress in creating and harnessing growth and stability in the Nigerian economy.”

Daily Market performance

The first day of the week saw investor besiege the market to lock in profits recorded in the previous week. Consequently, the NSE ASI declined by 2.41 per cent to close at 27,513.69, while market capitalisation shed N234.6 billion to close lower at N9.5 trillion.

Activity level also fell with volume and value shares traded declining by 36.9 per cent and 13.9 per cent to 671.0 million units and N7.9 billion respectively.

There were only 10 price gainers and 41 price losers. Law Union and Rock Insurance Plc led the price gainers, trailed by Presco Plc with 4.2 per cent appreciation. Dangote Cement Plc chalked up 4.16 per cent, while Linkage Assurance Plc and UAC of Nigeria Plc rose 3.85 per cent ND 3.04 per cent respectively among others.

The price losers’ table was led by Oando Plc with a decline of 9.6 per cent followed by Eterna Plc, which went down by 9.5 per cent. Fidson Healthcare Plc, Diamond Bank Plc and Zenith Bank Plc shed 9.3 per cent, 9.0 per cent, and 5.6 per cent in that order.

Analysts at Meristem Securities Limited, said: “We attribute the day’s loss to the much expected profit-taking activities on counters that had gained in the market’s recent rally. The day’s loss was tempered by the 4.16 per cent price appreciation of Dangote Cement Plc, as the market would have fared worse, ex-Dangote Cement (-4.88 per cent),” they said.

In terms of sectoral performance, all the sectors ended the day in red led by the NSE Oil & Gas Index that fell by 3.8 per cent following losses in Oando (-9.6 per cent) and Seplat (-5.0 per cent). The NSE Consumer Goods Index shed 3.7 per cent, while the NSE Banking Index, NSE Industrial Goods Index and Insurance Index went down by 3.3 per cent, 1.1 per cent and 1.0 per cent respectively.

However, the market rebounded on Tuesday with the benchmark index appreciated 0.4 per cent to settle at 26,609.67. Similarly, investors gained N33.2 billion as market capitalisation increased to N9.5 trillion. Performance across sectors was mixed as three of the five indices advanced. The NSE Consumer Goods Index appreciated the most, rising by 1.3 per cent on account of price appreciation in Nigerian Breweries (+2.4 per cent), Nestle (+0.3 per cent) and Flour Mills of Nigeria (+3.2 per cent). The NSE Banking Index followed, advancing 0.9 per cent on the back of gains in GTBank (+1.7 per cent), Access Bank (+2.4 per cent) and Zenith Bank (+0.6 per cent). In the same in vein, the NSE Industrial Goods Index trended 0.2 per cent northwards due to gains in CAP Plc (+4.4 per cent). On the negative side, the NSE Oil and Gas Index fell 3.4 per cent on the back of continuous profit taking in Seplat (-9.0 per cent) and Total (-1.5 per cent) while AIICO Insurance (-1.9 per cent) dragged the Insurance index (-0.1 per cent) southwards.

The bulls retained their hold on the market lifting the as the index rose 1.05 per cent to close higher at 27,900.44, while market capitalisation added N100.5 billion to close at N9.645 trillion. A total of 25 stocks appreciated compared with 13 that declined in value.

Bellwethers such as Nestle Nigeria, GTBank Plc, Nigerian Breweries were among the price gainers. However, Oando Plc led the table, chalking up 9.9 per cent. May & Baker Nigeria Plc closed as the second highest price gainer with 9.8 per cent, while Linkage Assurance Plc and Redstar Express Plc added 7.4 per cent and 4.9 per cent respectively.

Conversely, C & Leasing Plc led the price losers, shedding 8.2 per cent close at N0.67, trailed by Law Union and Rock Insurance Plc and Livestock Feeds Plc with 4.7 per cent apiece. Union Bank of Nigeria Plc and African Prudential Registrars Plc declined by 2.9 per cent and 2.1 per cent in that order.

The bulls dominated the equity market on Thursday with the index appreciating by 0.72 per cent to close at 28,101.63. The appreciation recorded in the share prices of FBN Holdings, GTBank, Nestle, Zenith Bank and UBA were mainly responsible for the gain recorded in the Index.

Similarly, the market capitalisation appreciated by 0.73 per cent to close at N9.71 trillion, compared with the appreciation of 1.05 per cent recorded on Wednesday.

Investors traded 353.14 million shares worth N9.16 billion, up by 162.48 per cent from N3.49bn recorded the previous day. The most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (249.18 million), Consumer Goods(34.80 million) and Conglomerates (30.86 million), while the three most actively traded stocks were: Zenith Bank (63.20 million), FBNH (35.74 million) and Transcorp (30.52 million)

Market turnover

By the end of the week, investors traded 2.271 billion shares worth N32.647 billion in 20,710 deals compared to a total of 3.255 billion shares valued at N28.738 billion that exchanged hands the previous week in 25,370 deals.

As usual, the Financial Services Industry remained the most active he activity chart with 1.843 billion shares valued at N17.715 billion traded in 12,119 deals; thus contributing 81.19 per cent and 54.26 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Oil and Gas Industry followed with 119.755 million shares worth N5.198 billion in 2,599 deals. The third place was occupied by Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 119.281 million shares worth N273.785 million in 1,109 deals.

Trading in the top three equities namely – Access Bank Plc, Zenith Bank Plc and FBN Holdings Plc accounted for 998.849 million shares worth N10.412 billion in 4,831 deals.

Also traded during the week were a total of 1,470 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N10,128.30 executed in two deals compared with a total of 948 units valued at N16,591.16 transacted the previous week in 14 deals.

A total of 6,308 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N5.481million were traded last week in three deals, compared with a total of 5,201 units valued at N5.400 million transacted last week in three deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

Meanwhile, 30 equities appreciated in price last week, lower than 57 equities of the previous week, while 31 equities depreciated in price, higher than 13 equities of the previous week.

May & Baker Nigeria Plc led the price gainers with 14.8 per cent to close at N1.47 per share. Linkage Assurance Plc trailed with a gain of 11.5 per cent. United Bank for Africa Plc, Oando Plc and Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc garnered 9.6 per cent, 7.7 per cent and 7.5 per cent.

Other top price gainers were: N.E.M Insurance Plc(6.1 per cent); FCMB Group Plc(5.4 per cent); Transcorp Plc(5.2 per cent); GTBank and Red Star Express (5.0 per cent apiece).

Conversely, Newrest ASL Nigeria Plc led the price losers with 13.2 per cent, trailed by C & I Leasing Plc with 11.8 per cent. Diamond Bank Plc shed 11 per cent, while Eterna Plc and Cement Company of Northern Nigeria Plc depreciated by 8.7 per cent and 8.1 per cent in that order.

Other top price losers were: Seplat (8.1 per cent); Jaiz Bank Plc (8.0 per cent); Livestock Feeds Plc (7.8 per cent); UPDC (7.6 per cent); Fidson Healthcare (6.7 per cent.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Dangote Mega Refinery in Nigeria Seeks Millions of Barrels of US Crude Amid Output Challenges

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Dangote Refinery

The Dangote Mega Refinery, situated near Lagos, Nigeria, is embarking on an ambitious plan to procure millions of barrels of US crude over the next year.

The refinery, established by Aliko Dangote, Africa’s wealthiest individual, has issued a term tender for the purchase of 2 million barrels a month of West Texas Intermediate Midland crude for a duration of 12 months, commencing in July.

This development revealed through a document obtained by Bloomberg, represents a shift in strategy for the refinery, which has opted for US oil imports due to constraints in the availability and reliability of Nigerian crude.

Elitsa Georgieva, Executive Director at Citac, an energy consultancy specializing in the African downstream sector, emphasized the allure of US crude for Dangote’s refinery.

Georgieva highlighted the challenges associated with sourcing Nigerian crude, including insufficient supply, unreliability, and sometimes unavailability.

In contrast, US WTI offers reliability, availability, and competitive pricing, making it an attractive option for Dangote.

Nigeria’s struggles to meet its OPEC+ quota and sustain its crude production capacity have been ongoing for at least a year.

Despite an estimated production capacity of 2.6 million barrels a day, the country only managed to pump about 1.45 million barrels a day of crude and liquids in April.

Factors contributing to this decline include crude theft, aging oil pipelines, low investment, and divestments by oil majors operating in Nigeria.

To address the challenge of local supply for the Dangote refinery, Nigeria’s upstream regulators have proposed new draft rules compelling oil producers to prioritize selling crude to domestic refineries.

This regulatory move aims to ensure sufficient local supply to support the operations of the 650,000 barrel-a-day Dangote refinery.

Operating at about half capacity presently, the Dangote refinery has capitalized on the opportunity to secure cheaper US oil imports to fulfill up to a third of its feedstock requirements.

Since the beginning of the year, the refinery has been receiving monthly shipments of about 2 million barrels of WTI Midland from the United States.

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Oil Prices Hold Steady as U.S. Demand Signals Strengthening

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Oil prices maintained a steady stance in the global market as signals of strengthening demand in the United States provided support amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, holds at $82.79 per barrel, a marginal increase of 4 cents or 0.05%.

Similarly, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude saw a slight uptick of 4 cents to $78.67 per barrel.

The stability in oil prices came in the wake of favorable data indicating a potential surge in demand from the U.S. market.

An analysis by MUFG analysts Ehsan Khoman and Soojin Kim pointed to a broader risk-on sentiment spurred by signs of receding inflationary pressures in the U.S., suggesting the possibility of a more accommodative monetary policy by the Federal Reserve.

This prospect could alleviate the strength of the dollar and render oil more affordable for holders of other currencies, consequently bolstering demand.

Despite a brief dip on Wednesday, when Brent crude touched an intra-day low of $81.05 per barrel, the commodity rebounded, indicating underlying market resilience.

This bounce-back was attributed to a notable decline in U.S. crude oil inventories, gasoline, and distillates.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a reduction of 2.5 million barrels in crude inventories to 457 million barrels for the week ending May 10, surpassing analysts’ consensus forecast of 543,000 barrels.

John Evans, an analyst at PVM, underscored the significance of increased refinery activity, which contributed to the decline in inventories and hinted at heightened demand.

This development sparked a turnaround in price dynamics, with earlier losses being nullified by a surge in buying activity that wiped out all declines.

Moreover, U.S. consumer price data for April revealed a less-than-expected increase, aligning with market expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

The prospect of monetary easing further buoyed market sentiment, contributing to the stability of oil prices.

However, amidst these market dynamics, geopolitical tensions persisted in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Palestinian factions. Israeli military operations in Gaza remained ongoing, with ceasefire negotiations reaching a stalemate mediated by Qatar and Egypt.

The situation underscored the potential for geopolitical flare-ups to impact oil market sentiment.

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Shell’s Bonga Field Hits Record High Production of 138,000 Barrels per Day in 2023

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oil field

Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company Limited (SNEPCo) has achieved a significant milestone as its Bonga field, Nigeria’s first deep-water development, hit a record high production of 138,000 barrels per day in 2023.

This represents a substantial increase when compared to 101,000 barrels per day produced in the previous year.

The improvement in production is attributed to various factors, including the drilling of new wells, reservoir optimization, enhanced facility management, and overall asset management strategies.

Elohor Aiboni, Managing Director of SNEPCo, expressed pride in Bonga’s performance, stating that the increased production underscores the commitment of the company’s staff and its continuous efforts to enhance production processes and maintenance.

Aiboni also acknowledged the support of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and SNEPCo’s co-venture partners, including TotalEnergies Nigeria Limited, Nigerian Agip Exploration, and Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria Limited.

The Bonga field, which commenced production in November 2005, operates through the Bonga Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) vessel, with a capacity of 225,000 barrels per day.

Located 120 kilometers offshore, the FPSO has been a key contributor to Nigeria’s oil production since its inception.

Last year, the Bonga FPSO reached a significant milestone by exporting its 1-billionth barrel of oil, further cementing its position as a vital asset in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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