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FG’s Revenue Rises by 20.4% in February

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Nigeria investment
  • FG’s Revenue Rises by 20.4% in February

Nigeria’s gross federally-collected revenue rose by 20.4 per cent in February 2017 to N545.05 billion, as against the N433.86 billion recorded in January 2017, the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) economic report for February 2017 has shown.

The increase relative to the preceding month level was attributed to the rise in receipts from both oil and non-oil components.

But, the revenue receipt recorded in February, fell short of the 2017 provisional monthly budget estimate of N792.71 billion by 31.2 per cent, according to the report.

Gross oil receipts, at N292.82 billion or 53.7 per cent of total revenue, fell below the provisional monthly budget estimate by 0.6, but was 37.9 per cent higher than the receipts in January 2017. The increase in oil revenue relative to the preceding month reflected the significant rise in receipts from domestic crude oil/gas sales and PPT/Royalties.

According to the report, at N252.24 billion or 46.3 per cent of the total revenue, gross non-oil revenue was below the 2017 provisional monthly budget estimate of N498.14 billion by 49.4 per cent. It, however, exceeded the receipts in January 2017 by 4.9 per cent. The poor performance relative to the provisional budget reflected the shortfall in most of the components due to the low economic activities in the country during the review period. The estimated federal government retained revenue for the month of February 2017, at N194.38 billion, was below the 2017 provisional monthly budget estimate of N337.48 billion and the receipts in January 2017 by 42.4 per cent and 5.9 per cent, respectively. Of the total receipt, federation account accounted for 68.5 per cent, while Exchange Gain, FGN Independent Revenue, VAT, Excess Crude, and NNPC refund accounted for 11.6, 6.5, 5.4, 4.7, and 3.3 per cent, respectively.

Similarly, the estimated total expenditure of the federal government, at N599.30 billion, exceeded both the 2017 provisional monthly budget estimate of N522.64 billion and January 2017 level of N552.74 billion by 14.7 and 8.4 per cent, respectively. Recurrent and capital expenditure, accounted for 64.9, and 30.5 per cent, respectively, while transfers accounted for the balance of 4.6 per cent of the total expenditure. A breakdown of the recurrent expenditure showed that non- debt obligation was 79.3 per cent of the total, while debt service payments accounted for the balance of 20.7 per cent.

“Increased domestic crude oil production recorded in the last two months continued in the review month as government and other stakeholders sustained effort at curtailing vandalism in the Niger-Delta region. Consequently, Nigeria’s crude oil production, including condensates and natural gas liquids stood at an average of 1.65 mbd or 46.2 million barrels in February 2017.

“This represented an increase of 0.08 mbd or 5.10 per cent over the average of 1.57 mbd or 48.67 million barrels (mb) recorded in January 2017. Crude oil export was estimated at 1.20 mbd or 33.60 mb, representing an increase of 7.14 per cent, compared with 1.12 mbd or 34.72 mb recorded in the preceding month. Allocation of crude oil for domestic consumption remained at 0.45 mbdor 12.60 mb during the review period,” it added.

Furthermore, the report showed that the external sector marginally strengthened in February 2017 following the increase in domestic oil production and international crude oil prices as well as improved inflow through autonomous sources.

Increase in crude oil prices followed the deal reached by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) members to cut production. However, foreign exchange supply shortages continued to constrain import of raw materials which suppressed domestic production. Consequently, non-oil export receipts declined in the review period.

Also, Foreign exchange inflow through the CBN, at US$2.37 billion, fell by 8.9 per cent, relative to the level in the preceding month, but was 94.4 per cent above the level in the corresponding period of 2016. The development reflected the significant decline in non-oil receipts due to lack of interbank swap transactions and fall in Treasury Single Account and third party receipts during the review month.

On the other hand, aggregate outflow through the CBN, at US$0.98 billion, declined by 7.3 per cent and 4.6 per cent below the levels in the preceding month and the corresponding period of 2016, respectively. The development was attributed to the decline in drawings on Letters of Credits (L/Cs), external debt service, foreign exchange special payment (NSA), other official payments and 3rd party MDA transfers. Overall, a net inflow of US$1.40 billion was recorded, compared with US$1.55 and US$0.20 in January 2017 and the corresponding period of 2016, respectively.

“Total non-oil export earnings, at US$0.31 billion, fell by 7.0 per cent, below the level in January 2017. This resulted from the 50.0 per cent, 41.6 per cent, 36.4 per cent and 32.3 per cent decline in receipts from transport, food products, agricultural and industrial subsectors, respectively. The manufactured product and minerals sub-sector, however, grew by 209.8 per cent and 5.0 per cent, respectively, above the levels in the preceding month to US$60.28 million and US$135.13 million,” it added.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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