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FG Records N3.1bn Revenue Shortfall in 2015

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FIRS
  • FG Records N3.1bn Revenue Shortfall in 2015

The Fiscal Responsibility Commission says the Federal Government recorded a revenue shortfall of N3.1bn at 33.34 per cent of its gross federally-collected revenue in 2015.

This was contained in the 2015 Annual Report and Audited Accounts of the commission released on Tuesday in Abuja.

It said that N9bn was anticipated as federally-collected revenue in 2015, but only N6.1bn was actually collected.

He said, “In relation to the previous year, the 2015 budget was 90.04 per cent of the N10bn budgeted for 2014.

“The 2015 actual revenue performance of N6.1bn was below the performance of N9.3bn or 93.0 per cent, achieved in 2014.”

It, however, said that the oil slump and shortfall in oil production, due to oil theft and pipelines vandalism, accounted for the sharp revenue decline.

Giving a detailed analysis, the report said that for oil revenue, the performance averaged 69.11 per cent in 2015 against 93.98 per cent in 2014, a shortfall of 44.26 per cent.

The total oil revenue (gross) received for 2015 was N3.75bn, while that of 2014 was N6.73bn.

The non-oil revenue received for 2015 was also much lower than what was received in 2014.

Detailed analysis of non-oil revenue (gross) revealed that all its components performed below the budget and equally lower than 2014 receipts.

It said that the Value Added Tax receipts was N778.7bn in 2015 against N794bn in 2014, while Company Income Tax receipts was N1bn in 2015 against N1.2bn in 2014.

Customs and excise duties generated N514bn in 2015 against N566bn in 2014.

The report said that the low non-oil revenue performance suggested the ineffectiveness of the measures geared toward revenue increase as a result of the revenue diversification being pursued.

“These measures have to be re-invigorated in subsequent years to block revenue leakages and evasion of taxes and customs duties,’’ it said.

The report said that oil and non-oil contribution of net distributable funds were 52.95 per cent and 47.05 per cent, respectively, adding that there was no contribution from solid minerals as budgeted.

For the Excess Crude Account (ECA) created to serve as a stabilisation and savings fund, to augment budgets, the report showed that only N48.9bn was transferred into it in 2015 compared with N796.7bn in 2014.

It also said that N458.1bn was withdrawn from the ECA in 2015, while N927.3bn was withdrawn from it in 2014.

“Other than the distribution of N98.1bn shared among the three tiers of government, the withdrawal of N359.3bn for the payment of petroleum products subsidy, was in violation of Section 35 of Fiscal Responsibility Act (FRA) 2007.

“Such payment was clearly outside the scope of the ECA.’’

Giving an analysis of returns from Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) the report showed that N4.9bn independent revenue was remitted to the treasury by 25 MDAs in 2015 against N7.7bn remitted by 20 MDAs in 2014.

It said that only 15 MDAs submitted their Internally Generated Revenue returns for the four quarters of 2015, while eight made submissions for three quarters, and over half did not make any submissions at all.

The commission blamed non-compliance with the FRA as a major setback in collecting what was due to the treasury from the MDAs.

The FRA 2007 was enacted to promote prudent management of the nation’s resources, ensure long-term macro-economic stability and transparency in fiscal operations of the nation’s economy.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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