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The Current Position of the Yuan

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Yuan
  • The Current Position of the Yuan

Investors across the globe have been keeping an eye on the Yuan owing to the tumultuous performance it has had in the past few years.

The Chinese currency has been on a downward trend, which has affected forex trading on various fronts. Being a big player in the global forex market, traders must gain a better understanding of the state of the Yuan and its outlook before trading on an online platform like CMC Markets. The latest news on the Asian currency is that the government may seek a new approach to maintain the stability of the currency.

A Different Stance

Speaking on Sunday, 5th March 2017 at the National People’s Congress, China’s Premier Li Keqiang said that the plan was to liberalise the renminbi exchange rate further. Keqiang was presenting the government work report, which included ‘maintaining the Yuan’s stable position in the world’s monetary system’ as one of its tasks. It is the first time a government report has contained this statement, which is different from the traditional ‘keeping the Yuan’s level reasonable and balanced’. Analysts speculate that this new wording in the report indicates that the Chinese government will be more open-minded about the Yuan’s move against the U.S dollar, not to mention a decrease in its involvement in the forex exchange market.

Causes for Concern

There have been indications that Beijing may take a different approach to its exchange rate policies in light of the rapid rate rise from the U.S. Fed Reserve. Any aggressive action from the Federal Reserve is expected to impact global currencies negatively, and the Yuan is in no position to deal with uncertainties at the moment. A second rate hike may not be too far away, following a statement by Fed Chair, Janet Yellen in mid-February that an interest hike should not take too long. She hinted that a rate increase might be appropriate when the Fed has its next meeting on March 14-15.

An increase U.S dollar value will put the renminbi under tremendous pressure. Compared to a few years ago, the Yuan is more dependent on the performance of the dollar; hence, the concern. U.S. and China interest differentials can cause capital flights, which is why the Chinese central bank has to act decisively. So far, the PBOC has not altered the benchmark interest rates or deposit reserve ratios for Chinese banks as it aims to keep monetary policy even- not too loose and not too tight.

Beijing is also worried about threats from President Trump to institute more protectionist measures, which are bound to result in trade wars between the two global market leaders. Political uncertainties in Europe as France, Germany and Holland head to elections are also huge concerns for Beijing. The possibility of ‘Black Swan’ results can have unfavourable consequences for China and other Asian markets. Not to forget the exit of Britain from the EU, which may not be smooth sailing.

The Future

There have been accusations from the U.S president that Beijing has been manipulating the Yuan. He claimed that the manipulation was aimed at increasing the competitiveness of Chinese exports. China has been trying to prop up the renminbi, which has not been easy. In 2 ½ years, the government dipped into its foreign exchange reserves to a tune of $1 trillion in an effort to strengthen the Yuan.

Financial experts such as Yu Yongding, a former adviser to the central bank, have been urging the government to let the currency devalue if the market wants it to. Vice-governor of the Chinese central bank, however, said that the government would never devalue the Yuan to promote exports. He added that China is responsible and will never stage a currency war.

chartDuring Sunday’s National People Congress, Keqiang stated that the government was aiming at a 6.5% economic growth for the year. In 2016, the rate of increase was 6.7%, higher than the targeted 6.5-7%. An improvement in China’s economic growth means good news for the Yuan; and consequently, for investors. Investors have come to view the Chinese currency as less appealing as its international status keeps falling.

The Chinese government is also focusing on keeping the Yuan stable as the country goes through a leadership transition later in the year. The latest government report also insisted that monetary policy will remain ‘neutral and prudent’. Investors only have to wait and see how the new approach to the stabilisation of the Yuan works out.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Forex

ABCON President Announces Blueprint for Unified Retail Forex Market

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Naira Dollar Exchange Rate - Investors King

The President of the Association of Bureaux De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), Aminu Gwadabe, has revealed plans to establish a unified retail end forex market structure.

This strategic initiative seeks to address volatility and streamline operations across the Bureaux De Change (BDC) sub-sector.

Gwadabe outlined the objectives of ABCON’s blueprint and the need to integrate operators from various segments of the market.

Central to the plan is the inauguration of state chapters to facilitate coordination, integration, and administration of a united market structure.

ABCON intends to extend its automation policies and platforms to all BDC operators nationwide, upgrading its Business Process Platform to enhance efficiency and transparency.

The proposed unified retail end forex market will feature a centralized, democratized, and liberalized online real-time trading platform.

This innovation aims to provide market participants with greater accessibility and transparency while fostering regulatory compliance and government oversight.

Speaking on the vision for the unified market, Gwadabe highlighted the importance of collaboration with regulatory agencies, security operatives, and government bodies to ensure a secure and thriving forex market environment.

Gwadabe reiterated the benefits of a realistic and vibrant retail forex market, aligning with the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) objectives of achieving true price discovery for the naira and balancing international obligations.

Also, the unified market structure aims to provide market intelligence reports, enhance the image of BDCs, and stimulate employment generation.

Furthermore, ABCON’s initiative aims to combat the proliferation of unlicensed forex platforms by creating a transparent and competitive market environment. By digitizing retail forex transactions and ensuring regulatory compliance, the association aims to capture revenues for the government and curb illicit financial activities.

ABCON, as a self-regulatory body representing all CBN-licensed BDCs, acknowledges the importance of maintaining integrity and adherence to regulatory standards within the sector.

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Forex

Yen Hits 34-Year Low Against Dollar Despite Bank of Japan’s Inaction

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The Japanese yen plummeted to a 34-year low against the US dollar, sending shockwaves through global financial markets.

Despite mounting pressure and speculation, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) chose to maintain its key interest rate.

The yen’s relentless slide, extending to 0.7% to 156.66 against the dollar, underscores deep concerns about Japan’s economic stability and the efficacy of its monetary policies.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s remarks at a post-meeting news conference did little to assuage fears as he acknowledged the impact of foreign exchange dynamics on inflation but downplayed the yen’s influence on underlying prices.

Investors, already on edge due to the yen’s dismal performance this year, are now bracing for further volatility amid speculation of imminent intervention by Japanese authorities.

The absence of decisive action from the BOJ has heightened uncertainty, with concerns looming over the potential repercussions of a prolonged yen depreciation.

The implications of the yen’s decline extend far beyond Japan’s borders, reverberating across global markets. The currency’s status as the worst-performing among major currencies in the Group of Ten (G-10) underscores its significance in the international financial landscape.

Policymakers have issued repeated warnings against excessive depreciation, signaling a commitment to intervene if necessary to safeguard economic stability.

Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated the government’s readiness to respond to foreign exchange fluctuations, emphasizing the need for vigilance in the face of market volatility.

However, the lack of concrete action from Japanese authorities has left investors grappling with uncertainty, unsure of the yen’s trajectory in the days to come.

Market analysts warn of the potential for further downside risk, particularly in light of upcoming economic data releases and the prospect of thin trading volumes due to public holidays in Japan.

The absence of coordinated intervention efforts and a clear policy stance only exacerbates concerns, fueling speculation about the yen’s future trajectory.

The yen’s current predicament evokes memories of past episodes of currency turmoil, prompting comparisons to Japan’s intervention in 2022 when the currency experienced a similar downward spiral.

The prospect of history repeating itself looms large, as market participants weigh the possibility of intervention against the backdrop of an increasingly volatile global economy.

As Japan grapples with the yen’s precipitous decline, the stakes have never been higher for policymakers tasked with restoring stability to the currency markets. With the world watching closely, the fate of the yen hangs in the balance, poised between intervention and inertia in the face of unprecedented challenges.

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Naira

Dollar to Naira Black Market Today, April 25th, 2024

As of April 25th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,300 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

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Naira to Dollar Exchange- Investors King Rate - Investors King

As of April 25th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,300 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

For those engaging in currency transactions in the Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market), buyers purchase a dollar for N1,260 and sell it at N1,250 on Wednesday, April 24th, 2024 based on information from Bureau De Change (BDC).

Meaning, the Naira exchange rate declined when compared to today’s rate below.

This black market rate signifies the value at which individuals can trade their dollars for Naira outside the official or regulated exchange channels.

Investors and participants closely monitor these parallel market rates for a more immediate reflection of currency dynamics.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Today in the Black Market?

Kindly be aware that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not acknowledge the existence of the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market.

The CBN has advised individuals seeking to participate in Forex transactions to utilize official banking channels.

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate

  • Buying Rate: N1,300
  • Selling Rate: N1,290

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