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High Costs Slash Business Activity in Nigeria, PMI Drops to 49.2 in July

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Business activity in Nigeria has taken a significant hit as steep price pressures have driven the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) down to 49.2 in July, the lowest level in eight months.

The latest monthly report by Stanbic IBTC Bank reveals that the headline index has dipped below the crucial 50.0 no-change mark for the first time since November 2023, indicating a contraction in the private sector.

The PMI, which measures the performance of Nigeria’s private sector through a survey of 400 companies across various industries, showed that the ongoing inflationary pressures have severely impacted demand.

With rising costs, customers are increasingly unwilling or unable to commit to new projects, resulting in renewed reductions in both business activity and new orders.

Three of the four broad sectors covered by the report saw a decline in business activity in July, with the manufacturing sector being the sole exception, where production managed to increase.

This decrease in business activity is largely attributed to the continued surge in input costs and selling prices, although there were some signs of a softer pace of output price inflation as companies made efforts to secure sales.

“Input costs and selling prices continued to rise rapidly, further straining businesses,” said Muyiwa Oni, Head of Equity Research West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank. “While some companies have tried to attract customers by lowering charges, the overall impact of sharp price increases has been negative.”

The report noted that the rise in employee expenses remained in line with previous months as companies continued to support workers facing higher living costs, particularly in transportation.

However, the ongoing currency depreciation and higher raw material costs have only exacerbated the situation, pushing purchase price inflation to a four-month high.

Business confidence has also been affected, reaching its lowest level since the survey began. Despite some optimism about long-term growth and expansion plans, the immediate outlook remains challenging for many Nigerian businesses.

The PMI is a composite index based on five individual indexes: new orders, output, employment, suppliers’ delivery times, and stock of items purchased.

The index is a key indicator of the economic health of the private sector, and its decline signals growing concerns about Nigeria’s economic stability amid persistent inflationary pressures.

As the year progresses, experts are closely monitoring whether the inflationary effects of fuel subsidy removal and currency depreciation will begin to ease.

However, for now, Nigerian businesses are bracing for continued challenges as they navigate an increasingly difficult economic landscape.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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How Public-Private Partnership Projects Attracted $500m Investment – FG

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Nigeria investment

Public-private partnership (PPP) projects appear to be of great benefit to Nigeria, particularly within the last year.

Within this period, these projects have attracted over $500 million worth of investment, according to the Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission (ICRC).

The Director-General of the ICRC, Dr. Jobson Ewalefoh made this known during his courtesy visit to the Minister of Interior, Hon. Olubunmi Tunji-Ojo.

During the visit, Ewalefoh felicitated with Dr. Tunu-Ojo as the latter was honoured with the PPP Icon Award.

According to him, the $500 million in investments through various PPP projects wouldn’t have been possible without Dr. Tunji-Ojo.

To ensure compliance with statutory requirements, Ewalefoh detailed that the commission will carry out a performance audit of all PPP projects

To him: “We have mechanisms in place to begin auditing PPP agreements, not to terminate them but to optimize them for national benefit. Compliance with the insurance policy is key to protecting our national assets under these partnerships.”

Minister Ojo received praise from Dr. Ewalefoh for his efforts in revenue generation and the continuation of abandoned projects.

Ewalefoh revealed that the past year has the highest number of PPP projects presented to the Federal Executive Council (FEC), a development he attributed to the efforts of the Ministry of Interior.

On the other hand, Minister Tunji-Ojo said the government is more focused on fostering private-sector participation.

To him, this will help bridge resource gaps and create a conducive environment for investments.

Key PPP initiatives within the Ministry include the e-gate system, the Advanced Passenger Information System, and the upcoming Gap Management System, as detailed by the minister.

Minister Ojo signifies that the $500 million investment recorded in the past year is just the beginning of the many benefits of the PPP initiative.

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Makinde Moves to Make Ibadan South-West Business Hub With N41bn Ibadan Airport Upgrade 

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Business metrics - investors king
With a view to making Ibadan, the Oyo State capital the business hub of South West region, Governor Seyi Makinde has officially flagged off the N41bn upgrade of the Ibadan airport, renamed Samuel Ladoke Akintola Airport.
Speaking at the the ground-breaking ceremony for the project held at the airport premises in Ibadan, Makinde said his administration is focused on eradicating poverty in the state saying tye airport is an investment in the future.
Disclosing that the project is expected to be completed within a year, the governor noted that the project has been prioritised by his government since 2019, emphasising his commitment to transforming Ibadan into a regional business hub in the Yoruba region.
The governor stressed that the vision of his  administration is fighting poverty and not the poor, admitting that there is hardship in the country of which the project, when completed, would partly contribute in tackling.
Governor Makinde posited that the airline initiative would enhance transportation and attract businesses, tourists, and investors to the region.
For the governor, the upgrade would facilitate modern touch to the airport, of which is essential for connecting the state to the global economy and drawing economic activities to Oyo.
According to him, the airport upgrade will cost N41 billion and that it is expected to enhance air travel operations and provide a reliable transportation network for both business and leisure travelers, positioning the state for economic growth and development.
Meanwhile, the Osun State Governor, Ademola Adeleke, who was the special guest at the event, described Makinde as one who actualises development projects.
He expressed willingness to collaborate with the state to explore mutually beneficial opportunities for both states.
Governor Adeleke reiterated his assurance to completing the 12 years Osun Airport project which his administration inherited, saying it would soon become a reality.

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Nigerians Lost ₦42 Billion To POS, Mobile Phone Frauds In 3 Month – Report

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cybercrime - Investors King

The Financial Institutions Training Centre (FITC) has expressed concerns over the increasing cases of fraud in Nigeria.

This is as the institution reveals that it recorded a total of 11,532 fraud cases only in the second quarter of 2024.

In a latest report, FITC revealed that many of these frauds were linked to computers, mobile devices, and point-of-sale (POS) systems.

Also, the report revealed that these frauds did not start now.

It started in 2023 and now, like a deadly plague, it has crawled into the first quarter of 2024.

In the second quarter, the total value of fraud stood at ₦56.3 billion, a significant increase from the ₦34.8 billion reported in the first quarter of the year.

Despite efforts by financial institutions to recover the stolen funds, only ₦13.7 billion was salvaged leaving fraudsters smiling home with a whooping ₦42.6 billion.

When we talk about Mobile fraud, we mean fraud carried out via mobile apps and internet banking.

This fraud scheme accounted for 33.4% of the total cases in the report, making it the largest category.

Fraudsters who operate via POS did not disappoint.

They contributed 24.6% of the cases.

Web-based fraudsters were well represented, holding 16.9% of the total fraud incidents.

Meanwhile, via the report, FITC decried the increase in computer-based fraud as a growing concern.

The report reveals how bank branches counted their losses, with 95% of the total fraud value occurring at the branch level.

Of a truth, there have been many advancements and upgrades in technology.

Yet, fraudsters continue to excel.

We cannot help but blame this on the insiders who betrayed their organizations.

During the quarter in question, 49 employees were dismissed for their involvement in fraudulent activities.

The report also brought to light a new kind of fraud.

It is called fraud by magnitude.

Fraud by magnitude caused bank branches to lose approximately ₦54 billion.

That amount signifies a staggering 95.63% of the overall fraud amount.

Web-based fraud followed closely with losses of ₦1.2 billion (2%).

POS and mobile fraud each contributed around 1%, resulting in ₦651 million and ₦547 million losses, respectively.

On the bright side, there was a 31.8% decline in card-related fraud, but cheque and cash fraud surged significantly.

This rise in cash-related fraud reaffirms that criminals are also updating their skills as the days go by.

The big question is, what is the way forward?

For FITC the use of advanced technology, including artificial intelligence may be worth a shot.

Also, attention must be paid to proactive measures, such as bolstered security systems and continuous training of staff, as critical to reducing fraud.

As detailed in the report, fraudsters have stolen a total of ₦42.6 billion from commercial banks between April and June 2024.

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