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Global Stock Selloff Deepens Amid US Economic Concerns and Tech Weakness

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

A global stock selloff intensified on Friday as investors grappled with mounting concerns over the health of the US economy and the performance of major tech firms.

The decline was exacerbated by expectations of further monetary tightening in Japan, leading to a sharp drop in Japanese shares and setting a grim tone for markets worldwide.

Asian Markets Take a Hit

The Topix index in Japan fell by 6.1%, marking its worst single-day performance since 2016. The Japanese yen strengthened significantly, trading near its highest level since March, which negatively impacted Japan’s export-driven economy.

Major Asian markets, including South Korea and Hong Kong, also saw substantial declines. Notably, AI chipmaker SK Hynix Inc. experienced a dramatic drop, tumbling as much as 10.6%.

Tech Sector Woes

In the US, disappointing earnings reports from tech giants such as Intel Corp. and Amazon.com Inc. contributed to the broader market malaise.

Intel’s projection of lower-than-expected third-quarter revenue and Amazon’s profit forecast that fell short of analysts’ estimates sent both companies’ shares down in after-hours trading.

The broader US stock market reflected these tech sector troubles, with S&P 500 futures falling 0.7% and Nasdaq 100 futures declining 1.3%.

This followed data showing US weekly unemployment claims had reached an almost one-year high and manufacturing had contracted, further stoking fears of an economic downturn.

European Markets Follow Suit

The Euro Stoxx 50 futures slid by 0.9%, indicating a similar trend in European markets. Investors are increasingly worried about the potential for a hard landing in the US economy, which would have significant repercussions for global markets.

Monetary Policy and Economic Data

The selloff was compounded by the outlook for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to hike interest rates further following its recent policy shift. According to a former BOJ executive director, another interest rate hike in October is highly likely, with the potential for quarterly increases thereafter.

The yen’s recent appreciation has particularly impacted Japanese exporters, eroding the value of their overseas earnings.

In the US, Treasury yields fell as traders bet on the Federal Reserve cutting rates more aggressively in response to economic data.

The two-year yield touched a 14-month low, and the 10-year yield dropped below 4%, reflecting increased demand for safe-haven assets.

Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment

“The recent strengthening of the Japanese yen coupled with tech sector weakness is poised to significantly impact the Asian stock market,” said Manish Bhargava, a fund manager at Straits Investment Holdings in Singapore. “Japanese exporters are particularly vulnerable to the yen’s appreciation, as it erodes the value of their overseas earnings.”

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined by as much as 3.6%, the most in over three years, with tech and industrial companies among the top losers.

The broader risk-off tone across global markets underscores the growing unease among investors about the economic outlook.

Economic and Corporate Outlook

Looking ahead, the focus will shift to the US government’s July employment report, due later today. Economists expect a moderation in job growth, with the unemployment rate anticipated to remain steady at 4.1%.

However, if job additions fall short of expectations, it could exacerbate fears of a looming recession.

Elsewhere in Asia, a Chinese central bank policy adviser issued a rare critique of Beijing’s economic policies, urging the government to ramp up fiscal stimulus and promote inflation to counteract economic sluggishness.

In the corporate world, Apple Inc. is pressuring Tencent Holdings Ltd. and ByteDance Ltd. to make fundamental changes to China’s most popular apps, a move that could further inflame tensions in the world’s largest smartphone market.

Commodities and Safe Havens

In commodities, oil prices rose after a decline on Thursday, against the backdrop of concerns that Middle East tensions might impact supply.

Gold climbed, reflecting stronger demand for safe-haven assets amid market volatility.

The global stock selloff highlights the interconnected nature of today’s markets, where economic indicators and corporate earnings reports can have far-reaching impacts.

As investors navigate these turbulent times, the focus remains on central bank policies, economic data, and corporate performance to gauge the future direction of the markets.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Stock Investors Gain N131 Billion on Tuesday

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Nigeria’s equities market opened the holiday-shortened trading week in green as investors bought banking and consumer goods stocks despite record profit taking in insurance, industrial, oil & gas stocks.

“Looking forward, the equities market is expected to retain its buy interest as investors cherry-pick undervalued stocks. However, given the sentiment that rates might have peaked in the fixed income and money markets and investors locking in on current rates, we expect some bearish undertone to persist in the equities market,” according to United Capital research analysts.

The analysts said the bulls “will remain incentivised to persist in bargain hunting, given the tremendous mid-long-term opportunities in the equities market. Fund managers and businesses may begin to entertain mid-long-term (≥6 months) investment objectives, cherry-picking only sound equities with strong fundamentals and ongoing corporate actions. This strategy will maximise market opportunities, thereby optimising portfolio returns”.

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) and equities market capitalisation appreciated by 0.23 percent and N131billion from preceding day’s 97,456.62 points and N56.002 trillion respectively to 97,685.63 points and N56.133 trillion.

The market’s year-to-date (YtD) return rose to 30.64 percent.

According to Meristem research analysts, “While we expect subdued participation in the Nigerian equities market this week, we anticipate that buying activity will outweigh profit-taking. Our outlook is hinged on the belief that no major negative catalysts are expected to shift market direction this week. We anticipate that investors will continue selective buying, seeking opportunities across various sectors.

“Additionally, macroeconomic developments and corporate actions from companies could stimulate moderate buying interest in the market. We also do not foresee a significant shift towards the fixed-income market as yields have started to stabilize. However, we acknowledge the potential for profit-taking as short-term investors may look to capitalize on recent gains. Overall, we expect the market to close in the green zone this week,” Meristem analysts said.

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Guaranty Trust Holding Company Declares N1 Interim Dividend, Sets October 7 for Payout

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Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc has announced its plan to pay a sum of N1 per share of 50 kobo as interim dividends, to all registered shareholders on October 7, 2024.

According to a recent statement issued by the company on NGX , “the dividend is subject to withholding tax deduction, and will be paid to shareholders whose names appear in the register as of September 25, 2024.”

In its recently released audited consolidated and separate financial statements for the period ended June 30, the Group reported profit before tax (PBT) of N1.004 trillion, becoming the first Nigerian financial institution to cross the N1 trillion mark in profit.

This represented a 206.6 percent increase over N327.4 billion recorded in the corresponding period that ended June 2023.

The group’s profit for the period was slated at N905.67 billion, a 222 percent increase from 280.52 recorded in the corresponding period that ended June 2023.

“On October 7, 2024, the dividend will be paid electronically to ordinary shareholders whose names appear on the Register of Members as at September 25, 2024, and who have completed the e-dividend registration and mandated the Registrar to pay their dividends directly to their bank accounts,” the statement said.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigeria’s Equities Market Gains 0.32% Boosted by Nestle, Flourmills, and FBN Holdings

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Nigeria’s equities market rose by 0.32 percent or N178billion on Thursday, thanks to Nestle, Flourmills and FBN Holdings that led the league of major advancers on the Lagos Bourse.

FBN Holdings increased from N24 to N26.40, adding N2.40 or 10percent. Caverton rose from N2.10 to N2.31, up by 21kobo or 10percent.

Flour Mills moved from N45.05 to N49.55, up by N4.50 or 9.99percent. RT Briscoe increased from N3.02 to N3.32, down by 30kobo or 9.93 percent, while Nestle rallied from N810 to N890, N80 or 9.88percent.

At the close of trading, the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All Share Index (ASI) and equities market capitalisation increased from 96,715.04 points and N55.575 trillion respectively to 97,025.17 points and N55.753 trillion.

Access Holdings, FBN Holding, UBA, Caverton and Zenith Bank shares were most trading stocks. In 9,615 deals, investors exchanged 390,546,861 shares valued at N7.974billion.

Ahead of Thursday’s trading, analysts said broader market sentiment will remain balanced, with risk-averse investors maintaining a cautious stance ahead of any major corporate earnings announcements.

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