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Nigeria’s Capital Inflows Set to Hit Five-Year High, Afrinvest Reports

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

Nigeria is poised to see its capital inflows reach a five-year high, according to a recent report by Afrinvest (West Africa) Limited.

This notable growth reflects increasing confidence from foreign investors despite ongoing economic challenges.

Afrinvest’s report, citing data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), reveals that total capital inflows surged by 198.1% year-on-year to $3.4 billion in the first quarter of 2024.

This marks the highest level of capital importation since the first quarter of 2020.

The report also highlights a potential for total capital importation to reach $13.5 billion by the end of the year, should the current trend continue.

“While capital importation is well on course to hitting a five-year high, it then becomes a bittersweet moment as Nigeria can’t afford to keep relying on expensive loans to boost foreign investment inflows,” Afrinvest’s report cautions.

The NBS data shows that portfolio investment dominated the capital inflows, accounting for $2.08 billion or 61.5% of the total.

This was followed by other investments, which contributed $1.18 billion or 34.9%, and foreign direct investment, which stood at $119.2 million, making up just 3.53% of the total capital importation.

Afrinvest further breaks down the inflows by sector, noting that the banking sector attracted the largest share at 61.2%, followed by trading at 14.7%, and production at 5.7%.

The significant inflows into the banking sector are partly attributed to improved Open Market Operations (OMO) issuances, while the rise in trading inflows is linked to the attraction of Nigeria’s exports due to a weaker naira.

“Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) – the largest component of the total capital importation with a 61.5% share – advanced 219.7% year-on-year to $2.1 billion, driven by improved inflows into money markets and bonds,” the report states.

The report also notes a substantial increase in foreign currency loans, which were up 165.3% and accounted for 94% of inflows in the other investments segment.

This influx of foreign currency loans, primarily secured by private businesses, highlights a reliance on costly foreign debt due to the challenging business environment in Nigeria.

“This reality does not bode well for the nation’s economy as it implies the lack of confidence by foreign investors to directly invest their assets in Nigeria,” Afrinvest warns.

“Given the current pricey state of capital in the global market, especially for emerging economies with weak credit ratings like Nigeria, the foreign currency loans were likely secured at elevated rates.”

Despite the positive trend in capital inflows, Afrinvest emphasizes the need for Nigeria to reduce its dependency on expensive loans to sustain foreign investment.

The firm suggests that while the current inflow trajectory is promising, the reliance on costly foreign debt poses significant risks to the nation’s economic stability.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Finance

African Development Bank Extends $400,000 in Technical Assistance to Support Pension Sector

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African Development Bank - Investors King

The African Development Bank Group has approved $400,000 in grant funding for the Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project, to support  the expansion of pension coverage  in Liberia.

The grant is being sourced from the Capital Markets Development Trust Fund (CMDTF), a multi-donor trust fund, managed by the African Development Bank that supports development of  efficient and diversified capital markets in African countries. The CMDTF is funded by donors including the Ministry for Foreign Trade and Development Cooperation of the Netherlands and the Ministry of Finance of Luxembourg.

Liberia`s National Social Security and Welfare Corporation (NASSCORP), the only existing pension service provider in country, currently provides coverage to mainly formal sector public service employees. There is thus a gap in coverage for the private sector, and particularly informal businesses.

Under the Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project, the funding will support targeted reforms of Liberia’s pension sector including an assessment of the current pension system towards development of a national strategy, and capacity building for the pension sector ecosystem, including public and potential private pension sector operators.

The project is expected to enhance the enabling enviroment and support the emergence of domestic institutional investor base,  thereby broadening the pension coverage and enabling the pension system to mobilise additional savings for investment, including through domestic financial markets. It will be implemented by the Central Bank of Liberia, which oversees the country’s financial sector.

Hon. Henry F. Saamoi, Acting Executive Governor of the Central Bank of Liberia said, “The CBL appreciates the continued support of the African Development Bank toward the development of Liberia’s pension sector and looks forward to working with the Bank to implement this important reform. The Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project should enhance Liberia’s readiness for the development of its capital market by institutionalising the investor base, and improving the pension sector’s legal and regulatory environment,” Mr. Saamoi added.

Ahmed Attout, African Development Bank Director for Financial Sector Development said, “We are excited to partner with the Central Bank of Liberia on this operation that is expected to facilitate a reformed pension system capable of mobilising domestic savings, that can be chanelled through financial markets, thereby contributing to deepen the domestic capital markets in Liberia. This aligns with the Bank’s goal of facilitating the emergence of well-functioning capital markets that can efficiently mobilise and allocate savings to fund the credit needs of economic agents and the continent’s development while reducing intermediation costs.”

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VFD Group Plc Eyes N1.05 Billion Net Profit as Q4 Earnings Forecast Hits N16.12 Billion

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VFD Group- Investors King

VFD Group Plc, an industry-agnostic proprietary investment company with a portfolio of over 40 businesses across various sectors and geographies, has projected to earn N1.05 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024.

This was revealed in a financial projection statement signed by the Director of Finance, John Okonkwo, and Group Managing Director, Nonso Okpala.

According to the statement, gross earnings is projected to hit N16.12 billion in the period ending December 31, 2024.

Investment and similar income is expected to contribute N15.1 billion while investment expenses are projected at N10.42 billion.

This is expected to result in a net investment income of N4.68 billion.

Also, other income sources are expected to bring in N1.02 billion to take the total operating income to N5.7 billion.

However, the company is projected to spend N3.98 billion as operating expenses.

This includes personnel expenses of N1.09 billion, depreciation and amortization costs of N534.82 million and other operating expenses amounting to N2.35 billion.

Net impairment charge of N216.74 million was expected while net operating income is expected to stand at N5.49 billion.

VFD Group estimates its profit before tax will reach N1.51 billion, with an income tax expense of N452.67 million, leaving a profit of N1.05 billion for the period.

The company’s cash flow projections also paint an optimistic picture. Net cash generated from operating activities is expected to be N3.16 billion, while cash used in investing activities is forecasted at N6.4 billion.

On the financing side, the group projects cash generation of N8.81 billion, leading to a net increase in cash and cash equivalents of N5.57 billion.

By the end of Q4, cash reserves are expected to rise to N9.86 billion from N4.28 billion at the beginning of the quarter.

Although these numbers are projections, the forecast indicates VFD Group’s ability to manage its finances effectively in the face of economic uncertainties.

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Banking Sector

Zenith Bank Extends Public Offer and Rights Issue by Two Weeks

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Zenith Bank AGM

Zenith Bank Plc on Monday announced that it has obtained regulatory approval to extend its public offer and rights issue by two weeks.

In a statement released via the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), the leading financial institution said its offers for both existing shareholders and new investors have been extended to September 23, 2024, from the initial closing date of September 9.

The bank attributed the extension to the nationwide protest that began on August 1, the same day the offers were opened.

Zenith Bank stated that the extension will provide shareholders with more opportunities to take advantage of the rights issue and allow the general public ample time to subscribe to the public offers.

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