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Petrol Prices Surge as NNPC Faces $6 Billion Import Payment Delay

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Long queues have resurfaced at petrol stations across Nigeria, sparking renewed concerns over fuel shortages as the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited grapples with a $6 billion backlog in petrol payments.

This payment delay has significantly impacted the importation of petrol, causing a spike in fuel prices and widespread frustration among motorists.

According to industry insiders, NNPC owes approximately $6 billion to international traders, with overdue payments for January imports alone surpassing $4 billion to $5 billion.

This delay has forced suppliers to hit self-imposed debt exposure limits to Nigeria, causing a reduction in the volume of petrol supplied.

“The only reason traders are putting up with it is the $250,000 a month (per cargo) for late payment compensation,” an industry source disclosed to Reuters.

However, patience is running thin, and at least two suppliers have already pulled out of recent tenders, signaling a troubling trend.

As a result of these disruptions, Nigeria’s tenders for petrol in June and July were noticeably smaller.

NNPC plans to import around 850,000 tonnes of petrol in July, down from the usual 1 million tonnes. This reduction has had immediate consequences for Nigerian consumers.

Reports from major cities such as Lagos and Abuja indicate a resurgence of long queues at petrol stations.

In Lagos, fuel prices have skyrocketed, with some stations selling petrol for as high as N780 per litre, a significant jump from NNPC’s retail price of N580.

The scarcity has also given rise to black market activities, with sellers offering fuel at inflated prices ranging from N700 to N900 per litre.

The Group Chief Executive Officer of NNPC, Mele Kyari, acknowledged the supply issues and assured the public that efforts are underway to address the situation.

“We are working diligently to roll out more CNG mother stations across the country and ensure a stable supply of petrol,” Kyari stated.

He added that the construction of six new CNG mother stations and three LNG stations would help bring gas closer to consumers, ultimately reducing transportation costs and making fuel more accessible.

Despite these assurances, the current crisis has raised questions about the sustainability of Nigeria’s fuel subsidy system, which was scrapped in May 2023 but has effectively returned through capped pump prices.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected that the implicit subsidy will cost Nigeria an estimated N8.43 trillion of its projected N17.7 trillion in oil revenue for the year.

Motorists and business owners alike are feeling the pinch of the fuel scarcity.

Ahmad Zakari, a civil engineer in Abuja, recounted his recent ordeal: “Today, we couldn’t get petrol at any of the usual filling stations around Jabi, Utako, and Kubwa Expressway. The queues were unbearable, and prices were exorbitant.”

The NNPC has promised to resolve the supply issues promptly, but the long-term solution appears to hinge on increasing domestic refining capacity.

The completion of the 650,000 barrel-per-day Dangote refinery in Lagos and the revitalization of the NNPC-controlled refinery in Port Harcourt are seen as critical steps in reducing Nigeria’s dependency on imported petrol.

For now, Nigerians must navigate the challenges posed by the current fuel scarcity, hoping that the NNPC’s efforts will soon bear fruit and bring much-needed relief to the nation’s economy.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Possible Middle East War Tension Buoys Oil Prices

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Oil prices rose on Friday and settled with their biggest weekly gains in over a year on the threat of a wider war in the Middle East following Israel and Iran’s conflict.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian crude oil is priced, rose 43 cents (0.6%) to settle at $78.05 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate 9WTI) crude oil gained 67 cents (0.9%) to close at $74.38 per barrel.

Israel has vowed to strike Iran for launching a barrage of missiles at Israel on Tuesday after Israel assassinated the leader of Iran-backed Hezbollah a week ago.

Meanwhile, gains were limited as US President Joe Biden discouraged Israel from targeting Iranian oil facilities.

The development has oil analysts warning clients of the potential ramifications of a broader war in the Middle East.

Iranian oil tankers have started moving away from Kharg Island, Iran’s biggest oil export terminal, amid fears of an imminent attack by Israel on the most important crude export infrastructure in Iran.

Market analysts say that the OPEC spare capacity, concentrated in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), would compensate for an Iranian loss of supply.

They noted that an even more significant disruption to supply from the Middle East could lead to triple-digit oil prices, but nothing suggests that attacks on oil infrastructure in other producers in the region or the closure of the Strait of Hormuz are low-probability events.

JPMorgan commodities analysts wrote that an attack on Iranian energy facilities would not be Israel’s preferred course of action.

However, low levels of global oil inventories suggest that prices are set to be elevated until the conflict is resolved, they added.

Iran is a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+ with production of around 3.2 million barrels per day or 3 per cent of global output.

On Friday, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei appeared in public for the first time since his country launched the missile attack and said the country will not relent.

Supply fears have also eased in Libya as the country’s eastern-based government lifted the force majeure on output and exports just hours after a deal was reached for two compromise candidates to head the country’s central bank, which controls the country’s oil revenues.

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Oil Prices Surge as Fears of Israeli Strike on Iran Escalate

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Oil surged as markets braced for the possibility that Israel could strike Iran’s energy industry, the latest potential escalation of a conflict that began almost one year ago when Hamas attacked Israel.

Global benchmark Brent crude climbed near $77 after US President Joe Biden indicated Israel was weighing an attack on Iran’s oil infrastructure as a response to Iran’s missile attack on Israel, itself a response to Israel’s killing of leaders of Hezbollah and Hamas and an Iranian general.

When asked if he would support a new Israeli attack, Biden responded “we’re discussing that.”

Israel meanwhile continued to strike Lebanon, killing nine people at a medical site in central Beirut, local authorities said, among other targets. Israel has said it’s targeting Hezbollah militants while Lebanese officials said the attacks have killed more than 1,300 people and displaced over a million.

Tel Aviv also has warned civilians in southern Lebanon to evacuate as Israeli forces expand a ground invasion there. —Margaret Sutherlin

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Oil Adds $3 Per Barrel as Israel, Iran Conflict Spike Fears on Supply

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Oil prices gained $3 on Thursday as concerns mounted that a widening regional conflict in the Middle East could disrupt global crude flows with Israel reportedly planning to target Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, inched higher by $3.72, or 5.03 percent to close at $77.62 a barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by $3.61, or 5.15 percent to $73.71.

Prices have continued to rise in the aftermath of Iran’s Tuesday attack on Israel, which involved around 200 missiles.

Following the missile barrage, Israel’s ground troops clashed with Hezbollah forces in southern Lebanon, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowing separate revenge on Iran.

The latest round of escalation was sparked by Israel’s sanctioned elimination of Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah and Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh.

The tension was further sparked after US President Joe Biden indicated that there is a possibility of Israel striking Iran’s oil facilities.

This is after Israeli officials said on Wednesday that Israel could target Iran’s strategic energy infrastructure, including oil and gas rigs or nuclear installations, which would have the biggest economic impact, and send shockwaves through oil markets.

Iran is a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) with production of around 3.2 million barrels per day or 3 percent of global output.

Market analysts also raised concerns that such escalation could prompt Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz or attack Saudi infrastructure as it did in 2019. The strait is a key logistical chokepoint through which 20 percent of daily oil supply passes.

The market will also weigh development coming from Libya as oil production resumed after more than a month of suspended output due to a political standoff between the eastern and western administrations in the North African OPEC producer.

The end of this Libyan crisis will lead to the return of a few hundred thousand barrels of crude per day to the market.

Also, US crude inventories rose by 3.9 million barrels to 417 million barrels in the week ended September 27, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday.

A rise in inventories shows that the US market is well-supplied and can withstand any disruptions.

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