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Nigerian Stocks Gain N15.25 Trillion Despite Rate Hike Concerns

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Nigerian stocks have surged by N15.25 trillion in the first five months of 2024, despite looming concerns over rapid interest rate hikes.

This surge which has taken the market by storm reflects a significant milestone in the country’s financial landscape.

Driving this unprecedented rally are several key players in the market, including powerhouse companies like Geregu Power, Dangote Cement, BUA Cement, BUA Foods, and Julius Berger, among others.

These companies gained with Geregu Power leading the charge with a 150.6 percent surge, followed closely by Dangote Cement at 105.3 percent and BUA Cement at 72.07 percent.

This surge in stock performance has propelled Nigeria’s stock market to new heights, outperforming its African counterparts and demonstrating a strong investor sentiment towards the country’s economic prospects.

The overall market capitalization soared to N56.172 trillion by the close of May 2024, marking a remarkable 37.28 percent increase from the beginning of the year.

Despite concerns surrounding aggressive interest rate hikes, Nigerian stocks have continued to defy expectations, with retail and institutional investors driving the rally.

Nigerian pension funds, in particular, have significantly increased their holdings in the equity market, signaling confidence in the country’s economic trajectory.

However, recent market performance data indicates a potential slowdown, with gains tapering off in April and May. While the market remains buoyant, investors are beginning to exercise caution in light of evolving economic conditions.

Experts attribute the initial surge to investor sentiment, bolstered by the emergence of Bola Tinubu as Nigeria’s President, coupled with stringent compliance measures implemented by the Exchange.

The Nigerian stock market’s impressive performance comes amidst mixed corporate earnings reports, ongoing reforms in the banking sector, and significant policy shifts in the foreign exchange market, including the removal of fuel subsidies.

Moreover, the recent hike in the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) to 26.25 percent has led to sentiment trading among investors, seeking alternative investment opportunities to hedge against inflation.

As the Central Bank of Nigeria maintains its focus on achieving price stability, investors remain vigilant amid escalating inflation rates and economic uncertainties.

Despite these challenges, the resilience of Nigerian stocks underscores the market’s potential to weather storms and emerge stronger in the face of adversity.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Stock Investors Gain N131 Billion on Tuesday

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Nigeria’s equities market opened the holiday-shortened trading week in green as investors bought banking and consumer goods stocks despite record profit taking in insurance, industrial, oil & gas stocks.

“Looking forward, the equities market is expected to retain its buy interest as investors cherry-pick undervalued stocks. However, given the sentiment that rates might have peaked in the fixed income and money markets and investors locking in on current rates, we expect some bearish undertone to persist in the equities market,” according to United Capital research analysts.

The analysts said the bulls “will remain incentivised to persist in bargain hunting, given the tremendous mid-long-term opportunities in the equities market. Fund managers and businesses may begin to entertain mid-long-term (≥6 months) investment objectives, cherry-picking only sound equities with strong fundamentals and ongoing corporate actions. This strategy will maximise market opportunities, thereby optimising portfolio returns”.

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) and equities market capitalisation appreciated by 0.23 percent and N131billion from preceding day’s 97,456.62 points and N56.002 trillion respectively to 97,685.63 points and N56.133 trillion.

The market’s year-to-date (YtD) return rose to 30.64 percent.

According to Meristem research analysts, “While we expect subdued participation in the Nigerian equities market this week, we anticipate that buying activity will outweigh profit-taking. Our outlook is hinged on the belief that no major negative catalysts are expected to shift market direction this week. We anticipate that investors will continue selective buying, seeking opportunities across various sectors.

“Additionally, macroeconomic developments and corporate actions from companies could stimulate moderate buying interest in the market. We also do not foresee a significant shift towards the fixed-income market as yields have started to stabilize. However, we acknowledge the potential for profit-taking as short-term investors may look to capitalize on recent gains. Overall, we expect the market to close in the green zone this week,” Meristem analysts said.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigeria’s Equities Market Gains 0.32% Boosted by Nestle, Flourmills, and FBN Holdings

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Nigeria’s equities market rose by 0.32 percent or N178billion on Thursday, thanks to Nestle, Flourmills and FBN Holdings that led the league of major advancers on the Lagos Bourse.

FBN Holdings increased from N24 to N26.40, adding N2.40 or 10percent. Caverton rose from N2.10 to N2.31, up by 21kobo or 10percent.

Flour Mills moved from N45.05 to N49.55, up by N4.50 or 9.99percent. RT Briscoe increased from N3.02 to N3.32, down by 30kobo or 9.93 percent, while Nestle rallied from N810 to N890, N80 or 9.88percent.

At the close of trading, the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All Share Index (ASI) and equities market capitalisation increased from 96,715.04 points and N55.575 trillion respectively to 97,025.17 points and N55.753 trillion.

Access Holdings, FBN Holding, UBA, Caverton and Zenith Bank shares were most trading stocks. In 9,615 deals, investors exchanged 390,546,861 shares valued at N7.974billion.

Ahead of Thursday’s trading, analysts said broader market sentiment will remain balanced, with risk-averse investors maintaining a cautious stance ahead of any major corporate earnings announcements.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigerian Exchange Recovers from Early Week Losses, Market Value Hits N55.6 Trillion

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The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) rebounded on Tuesday after opening the week in the red.

The NGX All-Share Index appreciated by 0.62 percent to 96,802.8 points while the market value of listed equities stood at N55.626 trillion.

Investors traded 406,194,548 shares valued at N13.313 billion in 12,241 transactions during Tuesday’s trading session.

Investors continued to show interest in Oando, which emerged as the most traded equity in both volume and value.

A total of 58,485,705 shares worth N5.521 billion were exchanged, with Oando’s stock appreciating by N6, or 6.7 percent, from N89.5 to N95.5 per share.

The second most traded stock on Tuesday was Access Holdings Plc with 30,379,481 shares valued at N557.65 million transacted.

However, Access Holdings’ shares lost 55 kobo, or 2.96 percent, declining from N18.95 to N18 per share.

The Exchange’s year-to-date (YtD) return improved to 29.46 percent.

SFS REIT led the gainers’ chart, increasing by N14.80, or 9.98 percent, from N148.35 to N163.15 per share. This was followed by Custodian Investment, which gained N1.10, or 8.87 percent, rising from N12.40 to N13.50, while RT Briscoe moved from N2.82 to N3.10 per share.

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