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Nigerian Stock Market Slips Last Week as CBN Raises Interest Rates to Curb Inflation

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

The Nigerian Stock Market dipped last week as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) implemented further tightening measures to address rising inflation.

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) and Market Capitalisation both depreciated by 0.52% to close the week at 97,612.51 points and N55.218 trillion, respectively.

This decline in the market coincided with the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the CBN’s decision to hike the policy rate by 150 basis points (bps) to 26.25%.

The committee also retained the cash reserve ratio (CRR) for deposit money banks at 45%, the asymmetric corridor at +100bps/-300bps, and the liquidity ratio at 30%.

“The market remains under pressure as investors pursue safety in the fixed income space. However, given the strong sell-side action in the banking space, we anticipate some buy-side action in the coming week as traders seek to take advantage of some stocks that have been beaten down in recent sessions,” noted analysts from Lagos-based Vetiva Research in their May 24 report.

Despite the overall market downturn, certain sectors showed resilience.

Indices such as NGX MERI Value, NGX Consumer Goods, NGX Oil and Gas, NGX Lotus II, and NGX Industrial Goods saw gains of 1.74%, 0.31%, 0.72%, 0.44%, and 0.19%, respectively.

The NGX ASeM index, however, closed flat.

A closer look at the week’s trading activities revealed that twenty-four equities appreciated in price, down from twenty-eight in the previous week.

Conversely, fifty-three equities saw a decline in price, an increase from fifty-one in the preceding week, while seventy-seven equities remained unchanged, slightly up from seventy-six.

The financial services industry led the trading activity with 1.577 billion shares valued at N30.359 billion traded in 20,697 deals, accounting for 79.41% and 74.56% of the total equity turnover volume and value, respectively.

The conglomerates industry followed with 125.342 million shares worth N1.387 billion in 2,283 deals.

The consumer goods industry also recorded significant activity, with a turnover of 77.327 million shares worth N2.446 billion in 4,916 deals.

Among individual equities, Ecobank Transnational Incorporated Plc, Access Holdings Plc, and United Bank for Africa Plc were the top three in terms of trading volume, accounting for 1.006 billion shares worth N20.115 billion in 6,849 deals.

This represented 50.67% and 49.40% of the total equity turnover volume and value, respectively.

Also, 5,340 units of exchange-traded products valued at N2.350 million were traded in 111 deals, compared to 4,103 units valued at N2.429 million in 110 deals the previous week.

The bond market also saw significant activity, with 82,778 units valued at N80.570 million traded in 18 deals, compared to 9,282 units valued at N8.945 million traded in 24 deals the preceding week.

The MPC’s decision to raise interest rates is part of a broader strategy to rein in inflation and stabilize the economy.

However, the immediate impact on the stock market has been negative, as investors seek safer investments in the fixed income space.

Market participants will be closely watching the coming weeks for potential buy-side opportunities and further economic indicators that could influence trading strategies.

As the Nigerian stock market navigates these turbulent times, the actions of the CBN and global economic conditions will continue to play pivotal roles in shaping market dynamics.

Investors are advised to stay informed and consider the long-term implications of these policy decisions on their portfolios.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Stock Investors Gain N131 Billion on Tuesday

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Nigeria’s equities market opened the holiday-shortened trading week in green as investors bought banking and consumer goods stocks despite record profit taking in insurance, industrial, oil & gas stocks.

“Looking forward, the equities market is expected to retain its buy interest as investors cherry-pick undervalued stocks. However, given the sentiment that rates might have peaked in the fixed income and money markets and investors locking in on current rates, we expect some bearish undertone to persist in the equities market,” according to United Capital research analysts.

The analysts said the bulls “will remain incentivised to persist in bargain hunting, given the tremendous mid-long-term opportunities in the equities market. Fund managers and businesses may begin to entertain mid-long-term (≥6 months) investment objectives, cherry-picking only sound equities with strong fundamentals and ongoing corporate actions. This strategy will maximise market opportunities, thereby optimising portfolio returns”.

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) and equities market capitalisation appreciated by 0.23 percent and N131billion from preceding day’s 97,456.62 points and N56.002 trillion respectively to 97,685.63 points and N56.133 trillion.

The market’s year-to-date (YtD) return rose to 30.64 percent.

According to Meristem research analysts, “While we expect subdued participation in the Nigerian equities market this week, we anticipate that buying activity will outweigh profit-taking. Our outlook is hinged on the belief that no major negative catalysts are expected to shift market direction this week. We anticipate that investors will continue selective buying, seeking opportunities across various sectors.

“Additionally, macroeconomic developments and corporate actions from companies could stimulate moderate buying interest in the market. We also do not foresee a significant shift towards the fixed-income market as yields have started to stabilize. However, we acknowledge the potential for profit-taking as short-term investors may look to capitalize on recent gains. Overall, we expect the market to close in the green zone this week,” Meristem analysts said.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigeria’s Equities Market Gains 0.32% Boosted by Nestle, Flourmills, and FBN Holdings

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Nigeria’s equities market rose by 0.32 percent or N178billion on Thursday, thanks to Nestle, Flourmills and FBN Holdings that led the league of major advancers on the Lagos Bourse.

FBN Holdings increased from N24 to N26.40, adding N2.40 or 10percent. Caverton rose from N2.10 to N2.31, up by 21kobo or 10percent.

Flour Mills moved from N45.05 to N49.55, up by N4.50 or 9.99percent. RT Briscoe increased from N3.02 to N3.32, down by 30kobo or 9.93 percent, while Nestle rallied from N810 to N890, N80 or 9.88percent.

At the close of trading, the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All Share Index (ASI) and equities market capitalisation increased from 96,715.04 points and N55.575 trillion respectively to 97,025.17 points and N55.753 trillion.

Access Holdings, FBN Holding, UBA, Caverton and Zenith Bank shares were most trading stocks. In 9,615 deals, investors exchanged 390,546,861 shares valued at N7.974billion.

Ahead of Thursday’s trading, analysts said broader market sentiment will remain balanced, with risk-averse investors maintaining a cautious stance ahead of any major corporate earnings announcements.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigerian Exchange Recovers from Early Week Losses, Market Value Hits N55.6 Trillion

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The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) rebounded on Tuesday after opening the week in the red.

The NGX All-Share Index appreciated by 0.62 percent to 96,802.8 points while the market value of listed equities stood at N55.626 trillion.

Investors traded 406,194,548 shares valued at N13.313 billion in 12,241 transactions during Tuesday’s trading session.

Investors continued to show interest in Oando, which emerged as the most traded equity in both volume and value.

A total of 58,485,705 shares worth N5.521 billion were exchanged, with Oando’s stock appreciating by N6, or 6.7 percent, from N89.5 to N95.5 per share.

The second most traded stock on Tuesday was Access Holdings Plc with 30,379,481 shares valued at N557.65 million transacted.

However, Access Holdings’ shares lost 55 kobo, or 2.96 percent, declining from N18.95 to N18 per share.

The Exchange’s year-to-date (YtD) return improved to 29.46 percent.

SFS REIT led the gainers’ chart, increasing by N14.80, or 9.98 percent, from N148.35 to N163.15 per share. This was followed by Custodian Investment, which gained N1.10, or 8.87 percent, rising from N12.40 to N13.50, while RT Briscoe moved from N2.82 to N3.10 per share.

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