The international crude benchmark, Brent Crude, rose to $73 per barrel as it rose 29 cents or 0.4 percent to settle at $73.10 a barrel on Friday on expectations that Iran will attack Israel from Iraq in the coming days.
The US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 23 cents, or 0.3 percent to settle at $69.49.
The market has seized on the news from Thursday that Iran is preparing to attack Israel from Iraq within days.
However, market analysts point out that the impact on oil prices may be muted as the attacks signify a show of strength rather than action. This is why there wasn’t a much price boost.
Iran’s backed groups are currently fighting Israel, including Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza and the Houthis in Yemen. So, this has seen the two countries engaged in a series of retaliatory strikes within the broader Middle East warfare set off by fighting in Gaza.
In a related development, the US asked Lebanon to declare a unilateral ceasefire with Israel to revive stalled talks to end hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah.
Another factor supporting prices is the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, OPEC+ which could delay plans to increase supply in December.
The group has always maintained that its planning production cuts rollback would depend on market conditions.
The US, the world’s largest oil producer has been seeing an increase in its production with Exxon Mobil saying its global output hit an all-time high while Chevron also said its US production hit a record high.
This aligns with projections that annual output was on track to hit a record 13.2 million barrels per day in 2024 and 13.5 million barrels per day in 2025.
Last month, OPEC’s production increased by 370,000 barrels per day in October after Libya’s political resolution and its resultant 500,000 barrel-per-day output boost.
Libya’s output recovery led OPEC to raise its production to nearly 30 million barrels daily, even as Iraq, Iran, and Saudi Arabia lowered their output.
