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Libya’s Oil Disruptions Ease Pressure on Prices, U.S. Inventory Draw Disappoints

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Crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices found stability on Thursday after two consecutive days of losses as concerns over supply disruptions in Libya countered weaker-than-expected U.S. crude inventory draws.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, edged up by 3 cents to settle at $78.68 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil gained 15 cents to close at $74.67 per barrel.

Both benchmarks had slipped over 1% during the previous trading session following U.S. data showing a smaller-than-anticipated draw in oil inventories, heightening fears of reduced demand.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a crude stockpile decrease of 846,000 barrels last week, significantly lower than the 2.3 million-barrel drop projected by analysts.

This underwhelming draw reignited concerns about sluggish demand in the world’s largest oil-consuming economy, particularly as inflation and interest rate uncertainty continue to weigh on global markets.

However, supply concerns stemming from Libya, a key member of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), helped put a floor under prices.

A power struggle over control of Libya’s central bank has forced several oilfields to halt production, potentially disrupting output by as much as 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for several weeks.

This production level represents a significant portion of the country’s typical July output of approximately 1.18 million bpd, raising the prospect of tighter global supplies.

“The ongoing disruption in Libya’s oil production is likely to keep prices supported,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, a senior market analyst at Phillip Nova. “The geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding Libya’s oilfields are providing a safety net for prices, preventing them from falling further.”

Analysts from ING noted that a prolonged shutdown in Libya could impact OPEC+’s decision-making on production levels in the coming months, offering the group a cushion to maintain output cuts or even increase supply in the final quarter of 2024, as previously scheduled.

The market’s divided outlook on Libya’s supply challenges has left traders uncertain about the potential impact on OPEC+ policy.

“The disruptions in Libya might affect the cartel’s planned output increase for the fourth quarter, depending on how long the supply issues persist,” said Ashley Kelty, an analyst at Panmure Liberum.

Adding to the complex picture, expectations for the U.S. Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates next month have provided some additional support to oil prices.

Raphael Bostic, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, hinted that the Fed might start easing monetary policy as inflation cools and unemployment rises more than anticipated, potentially lifting demand in the medium term.

While traders remain cautious, the interplay between Libya’s supply crisis and the uncertain demand outlook in the U.S. is likely to continue influencing oil markets in the weeks ahead.

For now, prices are expected to remain volatile as global economic concerns and geopolitical risks collide, keeping investors on high alert.

The oil market, already jittery from global recession fears, continues to react to shifting dynamics across key producing nations and economic powerhouses.

With traders watching every development closely, the coming weeks may see more price fluctuations as OPEC+, Libya, and U.S. demand factors further shape the narrative.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Finance

African Development Bank Extends $400,000 in Technical Assistance to Support Pension Sector

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African Development Bank - Investors King

The African Development Bank Group has approved $400,000 in grant funding for the Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project, to support  the expansion of pension coverage  in Liberia.

The grant is being sourced from the Capital Markets Development Trust Fund (CMDTF), a multi-donor trust fund, managed by the African Development Bank that supports development of  efficient and diversified capital markets in African countries. The CMDTF is funded by donors including the Ministry for Foreign Trade and Development Cooperation of the Netherlands and the Ministry of Finance of Luxembourg.

Liberia`s National Social Security and Welfare Corporation (NASSCORP), the only existing pension service provider in country, currently provides coverage to mainly formal sector public service employees. There is thus a gap in coverage for the private sector, and particularly informal businesses.

Under the Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project, the funding will support targeted reforms of Liberia’s pension sector including an assessment of the current pension system towards development of a national strategy, and capacity building for the pension sector ecosystem, including public and potential private pension sector operators.

The project is expected to enhance the enabling enviroment and support the emergence of domestic institutional investor base,  thereby broadening the pension coverage and enabling the pension system to mobilise additional savings for investment, including through domestic financial markets. It will be implemented by the Central Bank of Liberia, which oversees the country’s financial sector.

Hon. Henry F. Saamoi, Acting Executive Governor of the Central Bank of Liberia said, “The CBL appreciates the continued support of the African Development Bank toward the development of Liberia’s pension sector and looks forward to working with the Bank to implement this important reform. The Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project should enhance Liberia’s readiness for the development of its capital market by institutionalising the investor base, and improving the pension sector’s legal and regulatory environment,” Mr. Saamoi added.

Ahmed Attout, African Development Bank Director for Financial Sector Development said, “We are excited to partner with the Central Bank of Liberia on this operation that is expected to facilitate a reformed pension system capable of mobilising domestic savings, that can be chanelled through financial markets, thereby contributing to deepen the domestic capital markets in Liberia. This aligns with the Bank’s goal of facilitating the emergence of well-functioning capital markets that can efficiently mobilise and allocate savings to fund the credit needs of economic agents and the continent’s development while reducing intermediation costs.”

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VFD Group Plc Eyes N1.05 Billion Net Profit as Q4 Earnings Forecast Hits N16.12 Billion

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VFD Group- Investors King

VFD Group Plc, an industry-agnostic proprietary investment company with a portfolio of over 40 businesses across various sectors and geographies, has projected to earn N1.05 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024.

This was revealed in a financial projection statement signed by the Director of Finance, John Okonkwo, and Group Managing Director, Nonso Okpala.

According to the statement, gross earnings is projected to hit N16.12 billion in the period ending December 31, 2024.

Investment and similar income is expected to contribute N15.1 billion while investment expenses are projected at N10.42 billion.

This is expected to result in a net investment income of N4.68 billion.

Also, other income sources are expected to bring in N1.02 billion to take the total operating income to N5.7 billion.

However, the company is projected to spend N3.98 billion as operating expenses.

This includes personnel expenses of N1.09 billion, depreciation and amortization costs of N534.82 million and other operating expenses amounting to N2.35 billion.

Net impairment charge of N216.74 million was expected while net operating income is expected to stand at N5.49 billion.

VFD Group estimates its profit before tax will reach N1.51 billion, with an income tax expense of N452.67 million, leaving a profit of N1.05 billion for the period.

The company’s cash flow projections also paint an optimistic picture. Net cash generated from operating activities is expected to be N3.16 billion, while cash used in investing activities is forecasted at N6.4 billion.

On the financing side, the group projects cash generation of N8.81 billion, leading to a net increase in cash and cash equivalents of N5.57 billion.

By the end of Q4, cash reserves are expected to rise to N9.86 billion from N4.28 billion at the beginning of the quarter.

Although these numbers are projections, the forecast indicates VFD Group’s ability to manage its finances effectively in the face of economic uncertainties.

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Banking Sector

Zenith Bank Extends Public Offer and Rights Issue by Two Weeks

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Zenith Bank AGM

Zenith Bank Plc on Monday announced that it has obtained regulatory approval to extend its public offer and rights issue by two weeks.

In a statement released via the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), the leading financial institution said its offers for both existing shareholders and new investors have been extended to September 23, 2024, from the initial closing date of September 9.

The bank attributed the extension to the nationwide protest that began on August 1, the same day the offers were opened.

Zenith Bank stated that the extension will provide shareholders with more opportunities to take advantage of the rights issue and allow the general public ample time to subscribe to the public offers.

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