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Alarm Over N13.50tn Deficit as FG Spends Triple Its Revenue, Raising Debt Concerns

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Bola Tinubu

Nigeria’s fiscal state has reached alarming levels as a recent report by BudgIT, a public accountability firm, reveals that the Federal Government (FG) spent more than three times its revenue in 2023.

According to BudgIT’s analysis of the 2023 fiscal accounts from the Office of the Accountant-General of the Federation, the government recorded a deficit of N13.50 trillion, sparking widespread concerns about the country’s rising debt and economic instability.

The report shows that the Federal Government generated N5.99 trillion in revenue but spent an overwhelming N19.50 trillion.

This expenditure exceeded the government’s revenue by 225%, reinforcing the need for urgent fiscal reforms to avoid further exacerbating the country’s economic woes.

BudgIT’s findings indicate that revenue sources included N3.80 trillion from the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC), N1.98 trillion from independent government revenue, and N202.54 billion from other sources.

However, this income was dwarfed by the government’s exorbitant spending, which has raised questions about the sustainability of Nigeria’s financial management.

Escalating Debt Crisis

Victor Agi, a fiscal accountability expert at the Centre for Fiscal Transparency and Integrity Watch, expressed grave concerns over Nigeria’s mounting debt crisis.

Agi warned that the country is spiraling into deeper financial trouble, with limited funds for critical infrastructure projects and capital expenditure.

“The economy is bleeding, and we are struggling to fund capital expenditure. The implications are dire,” Agi said, stressing that Nigeria’s economic managers have consistently failed to prioritize the nation’s economic health.

According to Agi, the country’s economy has seen little to no growth since 2014, a trend that could worsen if the current fiscal trajectory is maintained.

“The problem isn’t just that the government is borrowing,” Agi said. “The real issue is what the government is borrowing for. We are borrowing to service debt and fund frivolous expenditures, which is unsustainable.”

Agi said only 4.4% of the FG’s N19.50 trillion expenditure in 2023 was allocated to capital projects, an amount he deemed “unacceptable” given Nigeria’s infrastructure needs.

This continued diversion of funds away from productive investments could have serious repercussions for the nation’s long-term economic development.

Public Outcry Over Fiscal Mismanagement

Public policy expert Femi Oladele also criticized the government’s approach to fiscal management. He pointed out that while spending more than one earns is not inherently bad, the nature of the expenditures is key.

“If I earn N200,000 monthly but spend N1 million in three months, that’s not necessarily bad. But if we examine what I spent the money on, that’s where the issue lies,” Oladele said.

Oladele believes the government may be counting on some unknown “windfalls” to maintain its spending levels.

He warned that the government’s tendency to prioritize non-essential expenditures amid a struggling economy is leading the country deeper into financial uncertainty.

“There are expenditures that can wait until we exit this economic doldrum,” Oladele said. “But it appears the government is not so worried about these issues.”

Oladele also underscored the need for local investment to stimulate economic growth and development.

“Most of the spending isn’t even local, so it has little impact on our economy directly. We need to invest in the local economy to spur growth and development.”

Calls for Fiscal Responsibility

Experts are now calling for greater fiscal responsibility from the Federal Government. They argue that Nigeria’s economic situation will not improve unless there is a concerted effort to reduce non-essential spending and prioritize capital investments that can drive growth and job creation.

As Nigeria’s debt continues to balloon, the pressure is mounting on the government to implement sustainable fiscal policies and curb excessive borrowing.

With the country’s financial stability at risk, many warn that without immediate action, Nigeria could face an even deeper economic crisis in the near future.

The BudgIT report has raised a critical alarm, signaling the urgent need for reforms to restore fiscal balance and chart a path toward economic recovery.

Whether the government heeds these warnings and makes the necessary adjustments remains to be seen, but one thing is clear: Nigeria’s current fiscal path is unsustainable.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Finance

African Development Bank Extends $400,000 in Technical Assistance to Support Pension Sector

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African Development Bank - Investors King

The African Development Bank Group has approved $400,000 in grant funding for the Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project, to support  the expansion of pension coverage  in Liberia.

The grant is being sourced from the Capital Markets Development Trust Fund (CMDTF), a multi-donor trust fund, managed by the African Development Bank that supports development of  efficient and diversified capital markets in African countries. The CMDTF is funded by donors including the Ministry for Foreign Trade and Development Cooperation of the Netherlands and the Ministry of Finance of Luxembourg.

Liberia`s National Social Security and Welfare Corporation (NASSCORP), the only existing pension service provider in country, currently provides coverage to mainly formal sector public service employees. There is thus a gap in coverage for the private sector, and particularly informal businesses.

Under the Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project, the funding will support targeted reforms of Liberia’s pension sector including an assessment of the current pension system towards development of a national strategy, and capacity building for the pension sector ecosystem, including public and potential private pension sector operators.

The project is expected to enhance the enabling enviroment and support the emergence of domestic institutional investor base,  thereby broadening the pension coverage and enabling the pension system to mobilise additional savings for investment, including through domestic financial markets. It will be implemented by the Central Bank of Liberia, which oversees the country’s financial sector.

Hon. Henry F. Saamoi, Acting Executive Governor of the Central Bank of Liberia said, “The CBL appreciates the continued support of the African Development Bank toward the development of Liberia’s pension sector and looks forward to working with the Bank to implement this important reform. The Liberia Pension Sector Intervention Project should enhance Liberia’s readiness for the development of its capital market by institutionalising the investor base, and improving the pension sector’s legal and regulatory environment,” Mr. Saamoi added.

Ahmed Attout, African Development Bank Director for Financial Sector Development said, “We are excited to partner with the Central Bank of Liberia on this operation that is expected to facilitate a reformed pension system capable of mobilising domestic savings, that can be chanelled through financial markets, thereby contributing to deepen the domestic capital markets in Liberia. This aligns with the Bank’s goal of facilitating the emergence of well-functioning capital markets that can efficiently mobilise and allocate savings to fund the credit needs of economic agents and the continent’s development while reducing intermediation costs.”

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Finance

VFD Group Plc Eyes N1.05 Billion Net Profit as Q4 Earnings Forecast Hits N16.12 Billion

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VFD Group- Investors King

VFD Group Plc, an industry-agnostic proprietary investment company with a portfolio of over 40 businesses across various sectors and geographies, has projected to earn N1.05 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024.

This was revealed in a financial projection statement signed by the Director of Finance, John Okonkwo, and Group Managing Director, Nonso Okpala.

According to the statement, gross earnings is projected to hit N16.12 billion in the period ending December 31, 2024.

Investment and similar income is expected to contribute N15.1 billion while investment expenses are projected at N10.42 billion.

This is expected to result in a net investment income of N4.68 billion.

Also, other income sources are expected to bring in N1.02 billion to take the total operating income to N5.7 billion.

However, the company is projected to spend N3.98 billion as operating expenses.

This includes personnel expenses of N1.09 billion, depreciation and amortization costs of N534.82 million and other operating expenses amounting to N2.35 billion.

Net impairment charge of N216.74 million was expected while net operating income is expected to stand at N5.49 billion.

VFD Group estimates its profit before tax will reach N1.51 billion, with an income tax expense of N452.67 million, leaving a profit of N1.05 billion for the period.

The company’s cash flow projections also paint an optimistic picture. Net cash generated from operating activities is expected to be N3.16 billion, while cash used in investing activities is forecasted at N6.4 billion.

On the financing side, the group projects cash generation of N8.81 billion, leading to a net increase in cash and cash equivalents of N5.57 billion.

By the end of Q4, cash reserves are expected to rise to N9.86 billion from N4.28 billion at the beginning of the quarter.

Although these numbers are projections, the forecast indicates VFD Group’s ability to manage its finances effectively in the face of economic uncertainties.

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Banking Sector

Zenith Bank Extends Public Offer and Rights Issue by Two Weeks

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Zenith Bank AGM

Zenith Bank Plc on Monday announced that it has obtained regulatory approval to extend its public offer and rights issue by two weeks.

In a statement released via the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), the leading financial institution said its offers for both existing shareholders and new investors have been extended to September 23, 2024, from the initial closing date of September 9.

The bank attributed the extension to the nationwide protest that began on August 1, the same day the offers were opened.

Zenith Bank stated that the extension will provide shareholders with more opportunities to take advantage of the rights issue and allow the general public ample time to subscribe to the public offers.

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