US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have posted their longest run of daily net outflows since listing at the start of the year, part of a wider retreat from riskier assets in a challenging period for global markets.

Investors pulled close to $1.2 billion in total from the group of 12 ETFs over the eight days through Sept. 6, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

The drop comes amid a rocky period for shares and commodities on economic growth worries.

Mixed US jobs data and deflationary pressure in China are both taking a toll on traders. The uncertainty is buffeting the cryptocurrency market, whose gyrations have become more closely tied to moves in stocks based on a rising short-term correlation between the two.

Bitcoin has struggled in September, posting a loss of approximately 7%. But the largest digital asset eked out modest gains over the weekend and climbed roughly 1% to $54,870 as of 1pm on Monday in Singapore.

“The small relief rally seems to be driven in part by some prominent influencers closing out their shorts,” said Sean McNulty, director of trading at liquidity provider Arbelos Markets.

He cited as an example a recent social media post from Arthur Hayes, co-founder of the BitMEX trading platform.

An improved showing by Donald Trump, the pro-crypto Republican nominee for the US presidential election, in polls and prediction markets may also be playing a role, McNulty said.

He reported greater demand for options hedges in case Tuesday’s debate between Trump and Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris stirs volatility. Harris has yet to detail her stance on crypto.

The US Bitcoin ETFs investing directly in the original cryptocurrency debuted in January with much fanfare. Unexpectedly strong demand for the funds helped to drive the token to a record high of $73,798 in March.

The inflows subsequently moderated and Bitcoin’s year-to-date rally has cooled to about 30%.

The token will likely trade in its recent $53,000 to $57,000 range until the US releases consumer-price data on Wednesday, said Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, a provider of liquidity for trading in digital-asset derivatives.

The inflation numbers may shape expectations for the pace of anticipated monetary easing by the Federal Reserve in the US.

Institutional investment in Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has surged by 14% in the second quarter of 2024, according to a recent report by asset manager Bitwise.

This increase in allocations comes despite a 12% decline in Bitcoin’s price during the same period, signaling a robust appetite among institutional investors for cryptocurrency assets.

The report, released on Monday, highlights that the number of institutional investors holding Bitcoin ETFs rose from 965 in the first quarter to 1,100 in the second quarter.

This uptick showed a growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, with these investors now accounting for 21.15% of the total assets under management (AUM) in Bitcoin ETFs, up from 18.74% in the previous quarter.

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer, Matt Hougan, said “The biggest question in crypto right now is whether institutions and professional investors will allocate to crypto in a major way. The fact that they are increasing their Bitcoin ETF allocations even when prices are down is a promising sign.”

Despite the drop in Bitcoin’s price, which fell by 12% in Q2, institutional investors have continued to show strong support for Bitcoin ETFs.

This trend suggests that these investors are either confident in a future price recovery or are strategically positioning themselves for long-term gains.

The report notes that institutional investors ended the quarter holding $11 billion in Bitcoin ETFs, a significant commitment that contrasts with some criticisms suggesting that these ETFs are primarily dominated by retail investors.

Bitwise disputes this view, highlighting that Bitcoin ETFs have seen adoption at an unprecedented rate among institutional players.

“The institutions are coming, and they’re coming in size,” Bitwise’s report asserts. “If institutions are willing to invest in Bitcoin during such a volatile period, it’s exciting to consider what might happen if we enter a bull market.”

This institutional enthusiasm for Bitcoin ETFs is further supported by major financial players such as Goldman Sachs, which disclosed in a recent 13F filing that it holds positions in seven out of eleven Bitcoin ETFs available in the U.S.

This level of engagement from Wall Street giants signals a broader acceptance and potential mainstreaming of Bitcoin investment.

Looking ahead, Bitwise predicts that Bitcoin ETF inflows will continue to grow, with expectations for larger allocations in 2025 and beyond.

The report suggests that the increasing institutional investment in Bitcoin ETFs could be a precursor to more substantial market shifts, particularly if the cryptocurrency market experiences a significant upswing.

After several months of declines and rangebound trading, Bitcoin (BTC) bulls have reason to cheer as the largest cryptocurrency is poised for a potential seasonal upswing this July.

Historical data and recent market movements suggest a positive outlook for Bitcoin, following a period marked by billions in sales, upcoming selling pressure, and outflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Since April, Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow band of $59,000 to $74,000, weighed down by market dynamics and peak negative sentiment among retail traders.

However, July has historically been a bullish month for Bitcoin, and early indicators show a possible reversal of recent trends.

On the first day of July, U.S.-listed ETFs recorded nearly $130 million in inflows, their highest since early June.

This influx comes after a significant $900 million outflow in the previous month, signaling renewed investor confidence in the cryptocurrency.

“Bitcoin has a median return of 9.6% in July and tends to bounce back strongly, especially after a negative June,” said Singapore-based QCP Capital in a recent Telegram broadcast.

“Our options desk saw flows positioning for an upside move last Friday into the month-end, possibly in anticipation of the ETH spot ETF launch. Many signs point to a bullish July.”

Historical data supports this optimistic outlook. Over the past decade, Bitcoin has gained an average of more than 11% in July, with positive returns in seven out of the ten months.

A 2023 report by crypto fund Matrixport highlighted significant July returns in recent years, with gains of around 27% in 2019, 20% in 2020, and 24% in 2021.

Seasonality, the tendency of assets to experience regular and predictable changes that recur annually, appears to be a driving factor.

These seasonal cycles can be influenced by various factors, such as profit-taking around tax season in April and May, leading to drawdowns, and the generally bullish “Santa Claus” rally in December, which reflects increased demand.

As the cryptocurrency market enters July, Bitcoin traders and investors are optimistic about a potential rally. While the market remains cautious of underlying pressures, the historical trends and recent inflows suggest a favorable environment for Bitcoin’s resurgence.