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Nigerian Refineries’ Crude Needs Jump 24% as Producers Struggle to Meet Demand

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Dangote refinery

Nigerian refineries, including the massive Dangote Refinery, have increased their domestic crude oil requirements by 24% for the second half of 2024 to 597,700 barrels per day (bpd).

This is a significant uptick from the 483,000 bpd requested in the first half of the year.

The increase comes despite ongoing challenges in domestic crude supply, highlighting the widening gap between the needs of local refiners and the capacity of oil producers to meet these demands.

The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) revealed these figures in a statement released on Friday, noting that it had managed to secure only 177,777 bpd from oil producers during the first six months of the year.

This shortfall represents a significant challenge for the Nigerian refining sector, which is heavily reliant on steady crude supplies to maintain operations and meet the country’s energy needs.

The demand surge is largely driven by the Dangote Refinery, the largest in Africa, which has been vocal about its struggle to secure sufficient crude oil domestically.

The refinery accused the NUPRC of not adequately enforcing regulations that require oil producers to prioritize domestic refiners in their supply contracts.

As a result, the Dangote Refinery has had to increase its reliance on imported crude, raising its operational costs and potentially affecting its long-term ambitions.

“The lack of sufficient domestic crude supply is a major operational challenge for us,” the Dangote Refinery said in a statement. “The NUPRC’s lax enforcement of supply regulations is forcing us to look abroad, which significantly impacts our cost structure.”

The NUPRC, for its part, has acknowledged the challenges faced by oil producers. Some producers, the regulator explained, are grappling with operational issues, while others have already committed most of their output to international traders who financed their drilling operations.

The commission also cautioned that forcing producers to redirect more crude to local refineries could violate existing contracts, further complicating the situation.

In its statement, the NUPRC projected a national average crude oil production of 1.7 million bpd by December 2024, a slight increase from the 1.57 million bpd it forecasted for the first half of the year—a target that producers failed to meet.

The increase in crude requirements by Nigerian refineries is occurring as eight refineries, including the Dangote Refinery, are expected to be operational from August, with a combined refining capacity of 864,500 bpd.

This means that oil producers would need to supply more than half of this capacity to meet domestic refining needs.

Gbenga Komolafe, head of the NUPRC, emphasized the importance of this data in understanding Nigeria’s energy landscape for the second half of 2024.

“This comprehensive data provides insight into the projected crude oil needs for the refineries, crucial for understanding the energy landscape in Nigeria for the second half of 2024,” Komolafe said.

With 52 oil producers, including major players like TotalEnergies, Chevron, Shell, and ExxonMobil, expected to contribute to the supply, the struggle to meet the increasing demands of local refineries is set to be a critical issue in the coming months.

The situation underscores the ongoing challenges in Nigeria’s oil sector, where balancing domestic needs with international obligations remains a complex and pressing task.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Economy

FIRS VAT Revenue Surges to N1.56 Trillion in Q2 2024 Amid Economic Struggles

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Value added tax - Investors King

The Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) generated N1.56 trillion in Value Added Tax (VAT) in the second quarter (Q2) of 2024, according to the latest report from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

This represents an increase of 9.11% compared to the N1.43 trillion reported in the first quarter of 2024.

A breakdown of the report showed that local VAT payments accounted for N792.58 billion of the total amount generated, while foreign VAT payments stood at N395.74 billion, and import VAT contributed N372.95 billion.

A quarterly analysis of the report revealed that human health and social work activities recorded the highest growth rate with 98.44%. This was followed by agriculture, forestry, and fishing with 70.26%, and water supply, sewerage, waste management, and remediation activities with 59.75%.

On the other hand, activities of households as employers and undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use had the lowest growth rate with –46.84%, followed by real estate activities with –42.59%.

Sectoral analysis showed that the manufacturing sector contributed the most at 11.78%. Information and communication and mining and quarrying contributed 9.02% and 8.79%, respectively.

Nevertheless, activities of households as employers and undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use recorded the least share with 0.00%, followed by activities of extraterritorial organizations and bodies with 0.01%, and water supply, sewerage, waste management, and remediation activities and real estate services with 0.04% each.

On a year-on-year basis, VAT collections grew by 99.82% from Q2 2023 despite ongoing economic challenges.

Nigeria’s inflation rate remains well above 30 percent, while new job creation is almost nonexistent.

Other key economic factors, such as investor sentiment, the purchasing managers’ index, and consumer spending, remain weak amid intermittent protests by citizens demanding improvements in quality of life.

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Economy

Nigeria Sees 9.11% Increase in VAT Revenue, Generating N1.56 Trillion in Q2 2024

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The federal government in the second quarter of 2024 generated a total of N1.56 trillion from Value Added Tax. This is a 9.11 percent increase from the N1.43 trillion in Q1 2024.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics report, local payments recorded were N792.58 billion, foreign VAT payments were N395.74 billion, while import VAT contributed N372.95 billion in Q2 2024.

“On a quarter-on-quarter basis, human health and social work activities recorded the highest growth rate with 98.44%, followed by agriculture, forestry and fishing with 70.26%, and water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities with 59.75%,” NBS reported.

“On the other hand, activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods and services producing activities of households for own use had the lowest growth rate with 46.84%, followed by Real estate activities with 42.59%.

“In terms of sectoral contributions, the top three largest shares in Q2 2024 were
manufacturing with 11.78%; information and communication with 9.02%; and Mining and quarrying with 8.79%.

“Nevertheless, activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use recorded the least share with 0.00%, followed by activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies with 0.01%; and Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities with and real estate services 0.04% each.

“However, on a year-on-year basis, VAT collections in Q2 2024 increased by 99.82% from Q2 2023.”

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Economy

Finance Minister Denies VAT Hike, Confirms Rate Remains at 7.5%

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Value added tax - Investors King

Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, on Monday, debunked reports doing the rounds that the rate for Value-Added Tax (VAT) has been upwardly adjusted to 10% from 7.5%.

The Minister, in a statement signed by him, affirmed that VAT rate as contained in relevant tax laws and chargeable on goods and services remains 7.5%.

“The current VAT rate is 7.5% and this is what government is charging on a spectrum of goods and services to which the tax is applicable. Therefore, neither the Federal Government nor any of its agencies will act contrary to what our laws stipulate.

“The tax system stands on a tripod, namely tax policy, tax laws and tax administration. All the three must combine well to give us a sound system that gives vitality to the fiscal position of government.

“Our focus as a government is to use fiscal policy in a manner that promotes and enhances strong and sustainable economic growth, reduces poverty as well as makes businesses to flourish.

“The imputation in some media reports on the issue of VAT and the opinion articles that have sprouted from them seem to wrongly convey the impression that government is out to make life difficult for Nigerians. That is not correct. If anything, the Federal Government has, through its policies, demonstrated that it is committed to creating a congenial environment for businesses to thrive.

“In fact, it is on record that the Federal Government, as part of efforts to bring relief to Nigerians and businesses, recently ordered the stoppage of import duties, tariffs and taxes on rice, wheat, beans and other food items.

“For emphasis, as of today, VAT remains 7.5% and that is what will be charged on all the goods and services that are VAT-able,” Edun said

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