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Nigeria Awards $21M Contract to Meter 187 Crude Oil Flow Stations

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The Federal Executive Council (FEC) has approved a $21 million contract to meter 187 crude oil flow stations across Nigeria.

The decision was announced by the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Heineken Lokpobiri, during a press briefing in Abuja.

Minister Lokpobiri highlighted that this initiative is part of the government’s broader strategy to reorganize the oil and gas sector, ensuring accurate accounting of the country’s crude oil production and exports.

The contract, awarded to the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), aims to install metering systems at flow stations within the Niger Delta region.

“This project marks a major development that has never happened in this country. The metering of our 187 flow stations will provide proper accountability of our oil production and exportation,” Lokpobiri stated. The project is expected to be completed within 180 days.

In addition to the metering contract, the FEC also approved the deployment of advanced software to monitor the movement of Nigeria’s crude oil from the point of loading to its final destination.

This technology will allow real-time tracking of crude oil shipments, addressing long-standing issues of oil theft and misreporting.

Lokpobiri explained, “With this advanced cargo tracking technology, we will know from the point of loading in Nigeria up to the final destination. This step is crucial in ensuring Nigerians get maximum value for the crude oil produced.”

The metering and monitoring initiatives come at a time when Nigeria faces significant challenges in its oil production.

Domestic refineries have complained of insufficient crude supplies, and there have been persistent concerns about the transparency of actual crude oil volumes produced in the Niger Delta.

Nigeria’s current production stands at less than 1.3 million barrels per day, below the 1.5 million barrels daily quota approved by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

The initiatives are part of the government’s efforts to ramp up crude oil production and increase revenue.

“Oil remains the fastest way to raise the funding needed to address our economic and social problems,” Lokpobiri noted.

The accurate tracking and metering of oil production are expected to bolster investor confidence and contribute to the country’s economic stability.

The minister also hinted at ongoing efforts to rekindle investor confidence in Nigeria’s oil sector, which has seen a decline in major investments over the past 12 years.

“Since the inception of this administration, we have been working hard to bring back the confidence of the investing community,” Lokpobiri declared.

In a related development, the Port Harcourt refinery is expected to come on stream soon, although Lokpobiri did not specify a date for its operational commencement.

The refinery’s activation is anticipated to further boost Nigeria’s oil processing capacity and reduce dependence on imported refined petroleum products.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Slide for Fifth Consecutive Session Amidst Weak Demand Concerns

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Oil prices fell for the fifth consecutive session on Thursday, driven down by persistent concerns over global demand despite a recent decline in U.S. fuel inventories.

The decline in prices reflects growing anxiety among investors about future oil consumption, overshadowing the positive signal from reduced stockpiles.

Brent crude oil, the international benchmark, slipped 10 cents to $75.95 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil dropped 23 cents to $71.70.

The downward pressure on oil prices comes amid a slew of troubling economic data.

Recent revisions to U.S. employment statistics revealed fewer jobs added in 2024 than initially reported, suggesting a slower-than-expected economic recovery.

Meanwhile, weak economic indicators from China, the world’s second-largest economy and largest oil importer, have further compounded fears of reduced global demand for oil.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, investors are speculating that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, known collectively as OPEC+, may ease their voluntary output cuts in October.

This anticipated increase in supply could exacerbate the current price decline.

“Weak global demand and the potential for OPEC+ to lift production cuts are creating downward pressure on oil prices,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, a senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“Geopolitical risks, including the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, have also contributed to market uncertainty, although the recent easing of concerns regarding the Israel-Gaza war has reduced some of the geopolitical risk premium.”

Despite a recent U.S. government report showing declines in crude, gasoline, and distillate inventories for the week ending August 16, prices have continued to fall.

Analysts attribute this to subdued demand for middle distillates and disappointing oil import data from China, which has overshadowed the positive inventory figures.

Citi analysts noted, “Despite inventory draws across key major products, weak Chinese oil import data and lower demand in the U.S. have diminished the geopolitical risk premium for the oil complex.”

As the market looks ahead, the potential for a ceasefire in the Middle East and ongoing economic uncertainties in the U.S. suggest that oil prices may remain volatile.

“With the likelihood of a ceasefire increasing and economic conditions not yet supportive of a stronger oil demand outlook, the upside for oil prices appears limited for now,” said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.

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Oil Prices Dip 1% to Two-Week Low as Middle East Tensions Ease

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Oil prices fell to a two-week low on Tuesday as easing tensions in the Middle East and weakening economic indicators from China influenced global crude values.

Brent crude, the global benchmark, decreased by 46 cents to settle at $77.20 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, which will soon transition from the front-month contract, fell 33 cents to end at $74.04.

The more actively traded WTI futures for October dropped by 49 cents to $73.17 per barrel.

The decline comes amid a period of relative calm in the Middle East, particularly with the recent acceptance of a proposal aimed at addressing disagreements over a ceasefire deal in Gaza.

This has contributed to a reduction in the geopolitical risk premium that had previously inflated oil prices.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s diplomatic efforts in Egypt have been pivotal in pushing for progress on a ceasefire and the release of hostages. Although significant differences remain to be resolved in ongoing negotiations, the market has reacted positively to the potential stabilization of the region.

However, the market remains cautious as conflicts between Israel and Hamas continue, and traders are closely monitoring developments for any sudden changes that could impact supply dynamics.

According to Svetlana Tretyakova, senior analyst at Rystad Energy, “The markets will remain highly sensitive to any developments in the region.”

Adding to the pressure on oil prices are economic signals from China. The world’s second-largest economy has shown signs of significant slowdown, with new home prices falling at their fastest rate in nine years, and industrial output, export, and investment growth all dipping.

This economic weakness has raised concerns about reduced fuel demand, further weighing on crude oil prices.

In the United States, worries about fuel demand have also been exacerbated by a decline in refining profit margins.

Heating oil futures have hit their lowest levels since May 2023, and gasoline futures have dropped to their lowest point since February 2024.

Analysts from Gelber and Associates noted that refinery companies, including PBF Energy, Phillips 66, and Marathon, have responded to these market pressures by cutting their capacity rates.

On the inventory front, U.S. oil storage data will be closely watched, with the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) set to release figures this week.

Analysts anticipate a withdrawal of around 2.7 million barrels of crude oil from storage for the week ending August 16, marking the seventh decline in U.S. crude stocks over the past eight weeks.

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IPPG Warns Against Forced Crude Sales to Dangote Refinery, Seeks NNPC Intervention

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The Independent Petroleum Producers Group (IPPG) has raised concerns over recent attempts to compel oil producers to supply crude to the Dangote Refinery and other local refineries.

In a strongly worded letter addressed to the Chief Executive of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), Gbenga Komolafe, IPPG Chairman Abdulrazak Isa urged authorities to allow producers to operate under the willing-buyer, willing-seller principle outlined in the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) of 2021.

The letter, dated August 16, 2024, calls on the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to redirect its statutory crude oil allocation of 445,000 barrels per day to local refineries to address the ongoing crude supply shortage.

This shortage has contributed to a significant reduction in the availability of petroleum products across various regions of Nigeria, adding pressure on local markets.

The IPPG, a collective of Nigerian independent oil producers, expressed discontent with the current situation, in which its members are being asked to supply crude oil to domestic refineries, including the newly inaugurated Dangote Refinery.

The group believes that these demands go against the market-driven policies set by the PIA and could disrupt existing commercial agreements and business models within Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

“Historically, the NNPC has always had an intervention crude oil volume of 445,000 barrels per day meant to satisfy the nation’s domestic consumption,” Isa stated.

“This volume has always been used, under various swap mechanisms, to import refined products for domestic use. Since there is now domestic refining capacity to meet consumption, this dedicated volume should be reserved for all domestic refineries under a price hedge mechanism that can be facilitated by financial institutions like Afrexim Bank.”

Isa emphasized that while IPPG members understand the need to increase domestic refining capacity, they should not be forced into arrangements that effectively subsidize private businesses under the guise of national interest.

The group reiterated that any national crude production beyond the allocated volume should be treated strictly as export volumes and sold under market-driven conditions to willing buyers.

The excess refined products from local refineries should be exported to boost Nigeria’s foreign exchange (FX) earnings, Isa suggested.

The issue has taken on greater urgency following recent developments in Nigeria’s oil sector. In July, the NUPRC released a crude oil production forecast for the second half of 2024 and requested all oil-producing companies to submit their monthly crude oil supply quotations to licensed domestic refineries.

IPPG members, in particular, have received direct requests from the Dangote Refinery for crude supply nominations starting in October.

The IPPG criticized this approach, arguing that it conflicts with the willing-buyer, willing-seller principle of the PIA and undermines the autonomy of oil producers.

“While we fully support and commend the efforts of Nigerian entrepreneurs to enhance domestic refining capacity, no private sector business should be unduly pressured into arrangements that may effectively subsidize another within the oil and gas value chain,” Isa said.

“Refiners should negotiate and execute long-term crude oil Sales and Purchase Agreements with producers and their marketing agents. These agreements must follow industry best practices, with typical tenures ranging from one to five years.”

The IPPG also expressed concerns over the transparency of the current crude allocation process, noting that it appears to be based on refiners’ demands rather than actual local consumption needs.

This could lead to inefficiencies, Isa warned, adding that refineries with capacity beyond domestic demand should not exploit the Domestic Crude Oil Supply Obligations to the detriment of producers and other stakeholders, including the government.

“Allocations determined solely by refiners’ demands may exceed what is needed for domestic consumption, creating potential inefficiencies and disadvantaging producers,” Isa wrote. “We urge transparency in how these allocations are made, and we call on the NUPRC to provide clear details on the allocation criteria and methodology.”

The IPPG’s position underscores the delicate balancing act between supporting local refining capacity and ensuring that the country’s oil and gas sector operates in a free-market environment that encourages investment, job creation, and economic growth.

The group stressed the need for continued dialogue between all stakeholders to find a solution that benefits both domestic refiners and oil producers while safeguarding Nigeria’s foreign exchange earnings and economic interests.

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