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Nigeria Central Bank Sees Progress in Naira Stabilization, Says Governor Cardoso

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Dr. Olayemi Michael Cardoso

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has expressed satisfaction with the strides made in stabilizing the naira as excessive volatility appears to be subsiding.

Speaking in an interview with Bloomberg TV on Tuesday, CBN Governor Olayemi Cardoso said the measures taken by the bank to support the currency will revitalize investor confidence.

“I do believe that we have more or less seen the worst in terms of volatility,” Cardoso stated. “We are also very alive to observing the way and manner in which that market operates and ensuring that it gives the best value that can be accomplished using certain tools.”

Since taking office in September, Cardoso has overseen significant policy changes, including an increase in interest rates by 750 basis points to 26.25% and an overhaul of Nigeria’s exchange rate policies, effectively devaluing the naira.

These actions, alongside clearing a foreign-exchange backlog, have contributed to a more stable naira, even though it remains the world’s worst-performing currency this year, following the Lebanese pound.

“Reviving confidence in the naira is crucial for attracting investors to Nigeria,” Cardoso emphasized. “Our thoughts align with those of the governor,” added Olumide Sole, an analyst at Lagos-based Vetiva Capital Management Ltd. “Based on the purchasing power parity model, the naira is currently valued at 900 naira levels, which is far less than the current market price.”

The naira has traded in a narrow range between 1,473 and 1,490 per dollar this month, closing at 1,492.71 to the dollar on Tuesday.

“We’re relatively pleased with where we are,” Cardoso said, noting that while significant progress has been made, the central bank’s work is ongoing. “It’s continuous work in progress. And we will do everything possible to ensure that we continue to manage the macroeconomic fundamentals that affect that.”

The CBN’s efforts have also impacted Nigeria’s inflation rate, which has remained high due to the currency devaluation, food insecurity, and the removal of energy subsidies.

Last month, consumer prices rose by 34%, slightly up from 33.7% in April, indicating that inflation might be nearing its peak.

The governor declined to speculate on whether these developments signal an end to the tightening cycle that began in May 2022.

“Data will direct whether they see further hikes or not,” he said. “The MPC has been very clear in stating that they see inflation as a major impediment for the future of Nigeria, and they will do everything possible to ensure that they keep inflation in check.”

Cardoso also mentioned the importance of using orthodox monetary policy to achieve these goals. The steps taken by the CBN, coupled with fiscal reforms by President Bola Tinubu’s administration, have improved Nigeria’s liquidity.

The World Bank recently approved $2.25 billion in funding to support Nigeria’s economic reforms, boosting its foreign exchange reserves.

The CBN will continue to support measures to build the country’s reserves, including a potential eurobond issue.

“We should have a diversity of sources,” Cardoso said. “It shouldn’t just be the eurobond market, it shouldn’t just be foreign portfolio investors, it should be a hodgepodge of different things.”

Building these reserves is crucial for the CBN to meet demand in the foreign-exchange market and sustain the gains made in stabilizing the naira, Sole remarked.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Nigeria Sees N572 Trillion Cashless Boom as Instant Transfers Surge, PoS Transactions Decline

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mastercard biometric payment card fingerprint

Nigeria Interbank Settlement System (NIBSS) reported a N572 trillion cashless boom due to an increase in electronic instant transfers in the country, resulting in a decline in point of sale (POS) transactions.

On Thursday, 26th of August, 2024, NIBSS revealed that electronic instant transfer has increased by 84.37 percent to the N572.63 trillion reported in the first seven months of 2024.

In 2023, NIBSS reported that cashless payments had risen by 55 percent to N600 trillion cashless transactions from N387 trillion in 2022.

The statistics were based on NIBSS cashless transactions tracking across instant payments and PoS channels which recorded N10.73 trillion as the total value of point of sale (PoS) transactions for 2023, compared to N8.39 trillion recorded in 2022.

It was also reported that a 58 percent increase in smartphone penetration in urban areas as of 2022 made mobile applications the preferred method for conducting transactions, driving online transfers, and relegating ATM transactions and PoS usage.

“Everyone accepts transfers now, even people that sell in traffic,” said Temiloluwa Lawal, a tech expert.

“Even Keke drivers are accepting transfers,” Daniel Ishie, a mobile money agent, added.

Although, PoS transactions, had been a leading force when the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) introduced its Naira redesign policy and withdrawal limits in 2022. Yet, there was an 8.19 percent decline to N6.23 trillion over the same period.

However, as of July 2024, there is an 802.93 percent to 4.06 million increase in the number of registered PoS terminals from 449,998 in January 2020.

According to the 2024 Nigerian Payments Report, “POS transactions play a pivotal role in providing enhanced convenience, speed, and security, contributing to the ongoing transformative shift towards heightened adoption of cashless transactions in Nigeria.”

“It is evident that the tremendous growth of Mobile App Transfers, Online Transfers, MMOs, and the NIP together paint a clear picture that Nigeria’s payment system is becoming much more cashless and much more dependent,” Zone remarked.

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CPPE Urges CBN to Halt Rate Hikes, Citing Investor and Debtor Burdens

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Interbank rate

The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) has warned the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and its Monetary Policy Committee of the dangers of further interest rate hikes on Nigerians.

While the CBN’s Monetary Policy Committee has yet to decide on a possible interest rate hike, CPPE Executive Director, Dr. Muda Yusuf, has urged the apex bank to refrain from raising the country’s interest rates.

During an interview monitored by Investors King on Monday, Yusuf revealed that any further increase in interest rates would do more harm than good for investors.

Also, the CPPE director noted that debtors in the country would face significant consequences if interest rates were to increase further.

The outcome of the MPC’s decision will be known on Tuesday, following the conclusion of its 297th meeting.

However, Yusuf remains optimistic, especially since inflation is gradually declining, although the prices of goods have yet to fall.

According to him, “We expect a pause in interest rate hikes. At least inflation is dropping, although prices in the market are still high.

“We don’t expect the CBN to raise interest rates further. If they do, it will cause more harm to investors in the country.

“Those who want to borrow money or have already borrowed money will be the ones to suffer from another rate hike.

“We expect a pause in interest rate hikes so that we can assess how far fiscal policy measures can go in reducing inflation,” Yusuf added.

 

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EU Pledges €5.4 Million in Aid for 4.4 Million Flood Victims Across Six African Nations

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Flooding in Lagos

Following the flood that rendered over 4.4 million people homeless in six African nations, the European Union (EU) has announced €5.4 million in humanitarian aid to support verified victims.

This was confirmed in a statement made available to the press on Monday, September 23, 2024.

The beneficiary countries include Chad, Niger, Nigeria, Cameroon, Mali, and Burkina Faso.

According to the union, the sum is to help the most affected populations in the listed nations.

“The European Union has released €5.4 million in humanitarian aid to help the most affected populations in the aftermath of the devastating floods in Chad, Niger, Nigeria, Cameroon, Mali and Burkina Faso”, the statement reads.

“The funding will support humanitarian partners in providing immediate aid, addressing urgent needs such as food, shelter, access to clean water, sanitation, and other essential services in the most affected areas.”

“The amount will be distributed as follows: Chad €1,000,000; Niger €1,350,000; Nigeria €1,100,000; Mali € 1,000,000; Cameroon €650,000 Burkina Faso €300,000.”

“The funding comes in addition to €232 million in humanitarian assistance already allocated to these countries so far this year,” the EU added.

The EU Commissioner for Crisis Management, Janez Lenarčič, lamented the increased rainfall in the Sahel and Lake Chad regions.

The commissioner who revealed that the recent flooding has displaced millions and caused widespread suffering noted that the EU is mobilising all means at its disposal to help the most vulnerable.

According to the commissioner, “Excessive rainfall has lashed the Sahel and Lake Chad regions with unprecedented impact, displacing millions and causing widespread suffering and damage.

“We are mobilising all means at our disposal to help the most vulnerable in the flood-stricken countries, so they can receive much-needed relief.”

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