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Nigeria’s Public Debt Hits N101tn as World Bank Loans Soar to $4.95bn

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Nigeria’s public debt has breached the N101 trillion mark, driven by a substantial influx of loans from the World Bank totaling $4.95 billion over the past twelve months.

This surge in borrowing has raised concerns about the country’s ability to service its growing debt obligations amidst economic challenges exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and fluctuating global oil prices.

As of December 2023, Nigeria’s debt stood at approximately N97 trillion, according to data from the Debt Management Office (DMO).

The recent borrowing spree has propelled this figure to N101 trillion, reflecting a rapid escalation in the country’s indebtedness.

The loans from the World Bank are earmarked for various developmental projects, including critical sectors such as power, women empowerment, education, renewable energy, and economic reforms.

These initiatives are part of Nigeria’s broader strategy to enhance infrastructure, socio-economic development, and institutional reforms aimed at bolstering long-term growth and resilience.

The breakdown of the World Bank funding includes $750 million allocated for power sector financing aimed at improving electricity generation and distribution, which remains a persistent challenge in Nigeria.

Another $500 million is dedicated to women’s empowerment programs, focusing on expanding opportunities and economic inclusion for women across the country.

Also, $700 million has been allocated to support education initiatives, particularly for adolescent girls under the Adolescent Girls Initiative for Learning and Empowerment project.

This funding seeks to enhance access to quality education and empower young girls in Nigeria.

Moreover, the World Bank has committed $750 million to the Distributed Access through Renewable Energy Scale-up project, aimed at increasing electricity access through renewable energy solutions.

This initiative targets over 17.5 million Nigerians who currently lack reliable electricity.

The largest tranche of $1.5 billion is designated for Economic Stabilisation to Enable Transformation Development Policy Financing Programme. This funding is intended to bolster fiscal revenues, expand social safety nets, and support economic diversification efforts to reduce dependency on oil revenues.

Despite these investments aimed at driving economic growth and improving living standards, concerns linger over Nigeria’s ability to effectively manage its escalating debt burden.

The country’s debt servicing costs have risen significantly, diverting resources away from critical sectors such as healthcare, education, and infrastructure development.

Critics argue that while external financing is necessary for development, the government must ensure transparency, accountability, and effective utilization of borrowed funds to avoid the pitfalls of previous debt mismanagement.

There is also a growing call for stringent fiscal discipline and reforms to enhance revenue generation and reduce dependency on borrowing.

President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration has defended the borrowing, asserting that it is crucial for bridging infrastructure gaps, stimulating economic growth, and creating job opportunities.

However, stakeholders emphasize the need for prudent debt management and sustainable economic policies to safeguard Nigeria’s financial stability and long-term prosperity.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Senate Approves N610 Billion CBN Loan Despite Legal Hurdles

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The Nigerian Senate has passed a bill amending the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Act to allow the federal government to double its Ways and Means advances from 5% to 10% of the previous year’s revenues.

This amendment unlocks N610 billion in central bank loans for 2024, yet significant legal obstacles remain in the path of accessing the funds.

The Senate’s decision comes as the federal government grapples with financial constraints and seeks innovative solutions to stimulate economic growth.

Under the previous limit, the CBN could only extend loans equivalent to 5% of the federal government’s revenues from the previous year.

With 2023 revenues reported at N6.1 trillion, the new amendment effectively raises the borrowing cap to N610 billion.

However, Section 38 of the CBN Act, which was also amended, includes a critical stipulation that the federal government cannot borrow from the CBN if there are any outstanding balances.

According to the Act, “All Advances made (to the federal government) shall be repaid…by the end of the financial year in which they are granted and if such advances remain unpaid at the end of the year, the power of the Bank to grant such further advances in any subsequent year shall not be exercisable, unless the outstanding advances have been repaid.”

The federal government currently owes the CBN over N30 trillion, significantly complicating the new borrowing plan.

Although the CBN’s records show an outstanding balance of N8.21 trillion in Ways and Means advances at the end of December 2023, when including the N22.7 trillion in securitized loans, the total debt reaches N30.91 trillion.

This legal catch has sparked a debate among financial experts and policymakers. “The reality is that the government can no longer borrow via Ways and Means unless they pay back the outstanding N30 trillion,” a senior business leader told BusinessDay.

“Increasing the limit is of no consequence as it is also illegal to securitize Ways and Means to repay the CBN. What is required is comprehensive remedial legislation.”

Olayemi Cardoso, who was appointed as the CBN governor late last year, has expressed his awareness of the legal constraints and emphasized the need for fiscal responsibility.

Cardoso has reiterated that the CBN will not grant further loans to the federal government until the existing loans are repaid, citing compliance with Section 38 of the CBN Act.

“This is also in compliance with Section 38 of the CBN Act (2007). The Bank is no longer at liberty to grant further Ways and Means advances to the Federal Government until the outstanding balance as of December 31, 2023, is fully settled,” Cardoso told lawmakers.

Finance Minister Wale Edun has also declared an end to the government’s reliance on CBN loans, acknowledging the necessity for fiscal discipline and transparency.

“I am pleased to note the fiscal authorities’ efforts in discontinuing Ways and Means advances,” Edun stated during a Senate session.

The amendment’s timing is critical as Nigeria faces rising inflation fueled by a surge in money supply resulting from the extensive use of Ways and Means advances.

The CBN has tightened monetary policy to counter inflationary pressures, which were exacerbated by the substantial increase in money supply from N52.01 trillion in January 2023 to N68.25 trillion in November 2023.

The Senate’s approval of the N610 billion CBN loan marks a significant step towards addressing Nigeria’s economic challenges, but the outstanding debt must be resolved to make the new borrowing feasible.

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FG Seeks $500m World Bank Loan for Dam Safety and Water Management Enhancement

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The Federal Government of Nigeria has formally requested a $500 million loan from the World Bank to improve dam safety and enhance water resource management across the nation.

This loan, aimed at addressing the country’s pressing water security challenges, is expected to significantly boost agricultural productivity through the Sustainable Power and Irrigation for Nigeria (SPIN) Project.

The request was detailed in a World Bank Project Information Document released on Monday, highlighting the SPIN project’s focus on four critical areas: institutional strengthening and capacity building, irrigation modernization, improvements in dam operations and safety, and effective project management.

The World Bank’s proposed approval date for the SPIN project is September 26, 2024.

The project aims to reinforce federal and state institutions responsible for water resource management by developing national dam safety guidelines, providing training for water resources and irrigation management, and creating a comprehensive hydropower master plan.

“Nigeria faces water security challenges which impact water availability for drinking, energy, and food production, exacerbated by climate change,” the document stated. “Harnessing water storage and ensuring dam safety are central to climate change adaptation and mitigation in Nigeria. It is crucial for improving water management for supply, irrigation, and hydropower generation, and for protecting against floods and droughts.”

Nigeria boasts over 400 dams with an estimated total combined storage of 59 billion cubic meters. Of these, 46% are federally owned and managed by the Federal Ministry of Water Resources and Sanitation through River Basin Development Authorities, while 48% are state-owned.

However, many dams remain incomplete, and over 50% of the large dams built in the 1970s and 80s require rehabilitation due to inadequate budgets, human resources, and capacity for proper management, operation, and maintenance.

The 2022 floods, which caused an estimated $6.7 billion in economic damage, underscored the urgent need for improved dam safety and water management.

The SPIN project intends to rehabilitate and modernize 40,000 hectares of irrigated land and establish Water User Associations to manage these irrigation schemes efficiently.

Additionally, the project will focus on rehabilitating and enhancing the safety of priority dams, conducting risk assessments, preparing emergency action plans, and implementing structural safety improvements.

To ensure effective implementation, monitoring, and evaluation, the project will establish a Federal Project Management Unit and Technical Units at both federal and state levels.

This initiative by the Federal Government represents a significant step towards securing Nigeria’s water resources, ensuring sustainable agricultural practices, and protecting the country from the adverse effects of climate change.

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Nigerian Banks Boost Private Sector Support by 74.98% in Early 2024

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Nigerian banks have significantly increased their support for the private sector with loans and other forms of credit to the tune of N375.78 trillion in the first five months of 2024.

This represents a 74.98% rise from the N214.76 trillion recorded in the same period last year, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The data from the CBN highlights a consistent growth in credit to the private sector, underscoring the banking sector’s critical role in driving economic stability and expansion.

This surge in private sector support includes loans, trade credits, and other account receivables, illustrating a robust and dynamic banking sector committed to bolstering the national economic agenda.

A closer examination of the figures reveals that credit to the private sector climbed by 65.9%, or N29.52 trillion, to reach N74.31 trillion in May 2024, compared to N44.79 trillion in the corresponding period of 2023.

The monthly breakdown showed that April’s credit stood at N72.92 trillion, while March and February recorded N71.21 trillion and N80.86 trillion, respectively.

February’s figures marked the highest contribution within this period, followed closely by January’s N76.48 trillion.

This significant increase in private sector credit comes on the heels of a recent report on capital importation, indicating that Nigerian banks are attracting substantial foreign investment.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, capital importation into Nigeria rose by 2.62% to $1.09 billion in the fourth quarter of 2023, up from $1.06 billion in the previous year.

Leading this charge were Stanbic IBTC Bank, Citibank Nigeria, and Rand Merchant Bank, which facilitated the highest levels of capital importation.

The production and manufacturing sector emerged as the largest beneficiary of capital inflow, receiving $450.11 million, or 41.35% of total capital imported in Q4 2023.

The banking sector followed with $283.30 million (26.03%), and the financing sector with $135.59 million (12.46%).

Financial experts at Cordros Capital have attributed this upward trend to the CBN’s reinforcement of the loans-to-deposits macro-prudential ratio for Deposit Money Banks.

This regulation encourages banks to maintain a healthy balance between deposits and loans, fostering a stable financial environment conducive to lending.

An International Monetary Fund (IMF) study on bank balance sheet strength during financial crises found that banks with robust balance sheets were better positioned to maintain lending during economic downturns.

This finding underscores the importance of strong capital buffers, which the CBN Governor, Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has emphasized in the ongoing recapitalization efforts aimed at strengthening Nigerian banks to support the country’s ambitious $1 trillion economic target.

Dr. Cardoso stated, “Additional capital not only provides a substantial buffer for banks against potential economic challenges but also enhances their capability to support massive economic growth and compete globally. The ongoing recapitalization will empower our banks to drive sustainable growth and achieve our national economic goals.”

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