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CBN Report: Currency Outside Banks Drops to N3.28 Trillion in January 2024

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A recent report released by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has indicated a notable decline in the amount of currency held outside banks, dropping to N3.28 trillion in January 2024.

This figure represents 89% of the total currency in circulation (CIC), signifying a shift in money circulation patterns.

Compared to December 2023, where currency outside banks stood at 94% of the total CIC, the recent decline suggests a reconfiguration in monetary dynamics.

The report further unveils a significant year-on-year surge, with currency outside banks skyrocketing by 314%, rising from N79 billion in January 2023 to N3.28 trillion in January 2024.

Currency trends in 2023 displayed fluctuating patterns, with notable peaks and dips throughout the year. However, December 2023 marked the zenith, recording the highest percentage of money held outside banks to CIC at 94%.

The CBN report sheds light on evolving financial landscapes, reflecting changing consumer behaviors, economic policies, and market dynamics.

Analysts anticipate that the data will inform future monetary policies and regulatory measures to ensure financial stability and liquidity in Nigeria’s economy amidst shifting trends and emerging challenges.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Naira

Naira Loses 2.7% on Dollar at NAFEX, Gains N6 to N1,711/$1 at Parallel Market

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The Naira fell by 2.7 percent on the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to exchange at N1,675.49/$1 on Thursday, October 311 as the local currency depreciated despite a slight increase in supply.

In the official market, the domestic currency lost N44.32 on the American currency in the official market versus N1,631.17/$1, which it closed in the previous session on Wednesday.

In a turn of fortune, the Naira rose N6.66 against the greenback in the parallel market segment to close at N1,711.77 to the US Dollar compared to N1,718.43/$1 it closed on Wednesday.

Data showed a rise in supply as the turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $166.61 million indicating that the session’s turnover jumped by 29.2 per cent, indicating a rise of $37.63 million compared to $128.98 million that was published in the last trading session.

Equally, the Naira weakened its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market by N3.75 to sell at N2,147.15/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,143.40/£1.

It followed the same path against the Euro, depreciating N9.29 to quote at N1,791.36/€1 versus midweek’s closing rate of N1,782.07/€1.

In a different outcome in the black market, the domestic currency headed up against the British currency during the Thursday session as the Naira made an appreciation of N10.86 to wrap the session at N2,223.76/£1 from N2,234.62/£1 that it sold at the previous session.

However, the Naira followed a different pattern against the Euro as it depreciated N12.51 to close at N1,867.07/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,854.56/€1.

The local currency gained a marginal 9 Kobo to close at N1,235.61 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Wednesday’s N1,235.70 per CAD.

Investors King reports that the Nigerian macro environment is placing pressure on the FX market with latest data showing that there is a high money supply in the system complemented by a wider government budget deficit.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) revealed that Nigeria’s money supply often known as M3 grew 62.8 percent in the last one year to N109 trillion from N66.9 trillion in September 2023.

 

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Naira

Naira Declines Amid Dwindling FX Supply as Official Rate Nears N1,631 per Dollar

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The Naira depreciated against the US Dollar at both the official and parallel foreign exchange market segments on Wednesday, October 30.

The Naira dropped 0.04 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) The local currency lost 72 Kobo to close at N1,631.17/$1 at the official window.

According to data obtained from FMDQ Securities Exchange compared to N1,630.45/$1 published in the preceding session on Tuesday.

This happened as supply decreased at the FX market as secondary data showed that $128.98 million worth of turnover was recorded compared to the preceding session which $242.59 million was settled. This indicated a $113.61 million or 46.9 per cent slump.

In the black market, the Naira lost N4.08 against the greenback to close at N1,718.43 to the US Dollar compared to N1,714.35/$1 it closed on Thursday.

Meanwhile, the local currency appreciated against the Pound Sterling and the Euro in the midweek session for the week. For the British currency, the local currency appreciated by N18.57 and closed at N2,143.40/£1 from N2,161.97/£1 while it closed at the rate of N1,782.07/€1, a jump of N18.90 against N1,800.97/€1 against the Euro.

In a different outcome in the black market, the domestic currency headed south against the British currency during the midweek session as the Naira made a depreciation of N9.38 to wrap the session at N2,234.62/£1 from N2,225.24/£1 that it sold at the previous session

However, the Naira followed a different pattern against the Euro as it appreciated N15.38 to quote at N1,854.56/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,856.79/€1.

The local currency dropped N2.31 to close at N1,235.70 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Tuesday’s N1,233.56 per CAD.

The supply challenge in the FX market comes as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continues to filter sales into the market alongside recommendations from the World Bank.

The US-headquartered bank in its latest report noted that permitting market participants to trade FX with more flexibility across time would also contribute to deepening the FX market, adding that the CBN should continue efforts towards deepening the official FX market.

This includes facilitating formal remittance inflows, allowing international oil companies to fully concentrate their FX sales in the official market, restoring intermediated market access to bureaux de change, and refraining from ad-hoc FX auctions.

“Allowing market participants to trade FX with more flexibility across time would also contribute to deepening the FX market,” the October report said.

 

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Naira

Gap Between Naira-Dollar Exchange Rates Widen in Black, Official FX Markets

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The Naira depreciated against the US Dollar in the black market but appreciated in the official market on Tuesday on improved FX supply.

In the black market, the Naira lost N15.02 against the greenback to close at N1,714.35 to the US Dollar compared to N1,699.33/$1 it closed on Monday.

The Naira appreciated against the US Dollar pulling a 2.4 percent gain in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) as it gained a value of N40.20 to close the closing session at N1,630.45/$1 at the official window.

According to data obtained from the FMDQ Securities Exchange, compared to N1,670.65/$1 published in the preceding session on Monday.

This indicated a wider gap of N83 between both values at the different segments.

Turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $242.59 million indicating that the session’s turnover rose by 198.9 percent, indicating that there was a decrease of $161.42 million compared to $8.17 million published the previous day.

However, the domestic currency headed south against the British currency during the session as the Naira made a depreciation of N34.26 to wrap the session at N2,161.97/£1 from N2,127.71/£1 that it sold at the previous session.

The local currency also dropped against the Euro as it closed at N1,800.97/€1 versus N1,774.13/€1, indicating a N26.84 depreciation.

The local currency also declined in its value against the British currency in the black market as it dropped by N19.32 to sell at N2,225.24/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,205.92/£1 and followed the same pattern against the Euro as it depreciated N15.38 to quote at N1,856.79/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,841.41/€1.

The local currency dropped N2.31 to close at N1,233.56 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Monday’s N1,231.25 per CAD.

The FX market will be expecting a boost after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) said it has signed an agreement with the International Finance Corporation (IFC) to boost local currency financing for Nigerian businesses, a move that can boost FX supply.

The apex bank disclosed that the collaboration is set to channel over $1 billion in financing across the coming years to drive economic growth, job creation, and diversification across Nigeria.

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