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Chinese Stocks Expected to Remain in Lower Trading Range Amid Property Slump, Goldman Sachs Reports

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Goldman Sachs Group Inc. anticipates that Chinese stocks will settle within a lower trading range until Beijing implements more robust policy measures to counteract the contagion risk.

The global financial institution has revised its outlook for the MSCI China Index, lowering its full-year earnings-per-share growth projection to 11% from the earlier 14%. Also, the 12-month index target has been adjusted downward to 67 from the previous 70, as revealed in a recent report authored by strategists including Kinger Lau.

Despite the reduced projection, this new target still implies a potential 13% gain from the index’s Friday closing value.

The strategists at Goldman Sachs pointed out, “The initial market optimism that followed decisions made by the Communist Party’s top decision-making body in July was short-lived. The real estate market’s ongoing challenges and the subsequent threat it poses to both the real and financial sectors are widely acknowledged factors contributing to this market correction.”

This marks the second instance within a span of three months that Goldman Sachs has revised its stance on Chinese equities and also the change in sentiment is reflective of the pervasive pessimism that has taken hold in the nation’s stock market.

Despite these challenges, Chinese shares continue to benefit from attractive valuations and limited investor exposure. However, the potential for growth remains restricted due to persistent liquidity and growth headwinds as outlined by Goldman Sachs strategists.

On Monday, the MSCI China Index witnessed a decline of more than 1%, bringing its total retreat from the peak observed in January to 23%.

In a similar move earlier in June, Goldman Sachs had previously revised its MSCI China target from 80 to 70, citing concerns related to earnings and currency dynamics.

In their most recent report, the strategists recommended focusing on sectors and stocks that offer enhanced earnings visibility and a proven track record of delivering profits. Additionally, they suggested considering investments that stand to benefit from the depreciation of the yuan.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigerian Exchange Dips as All-Share Index Falls 0.12%, Loses N70 Billion in Market Cap

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Nigerian Stock Exchange

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) closed in the red on Tuesday after the All-Share Index dropped 0.12 percent or 122 points to close at 97,584.81 index points, against the 97,706.70 index points reported on Monday.

Specifically, the market capitalisation, which opened at N56.146 trillion lost N70 billion to close at N56.076 trillion.

Market breadth closed negative with 29 losers and 26 gainers while 64 stocks remained unchanged.

Guinness led the losers’ chart by 10 percent followed by African Prudential, International Breweries, CWG, and UPDC after their share value declined by 9.86%, 9.0%, 6.98%, and 5.95%, respectively.

The top gainers included Regal Insurance, PZ Cussons Nigeria, Cutix, Deap Capital Management & Trust and The Initiates as their share prices advanced by 10.00%, 8.78%, 5.60%, 5.59%, and 5.26%, respectively.

Analysis of the market activities showed trade turnover settled higher relative to the previous session, with the value of transactions up by 39.92%

A total of 719.11 million shares valued at N8.34 billion were exchanged in 9,435 deals, compared to 1.31 billion shares valued at N5.96 billion traded in 10,424 deals recorded in the previous session.

On the volume index, Wapic Insurance led trading with 402 million shares valued at N321 million in 28 deals followed by Fidelity Bank which traded 49 million shares valued at N760 million in 706 deals and Access Corporation traded 25 million shares valued at N500 million in 379 deals.

On the value index, Seplat recorded the highest value for the day trading stocks worth N2.2 billion in 151 deals, Fidelity Bank traded equities worth N760 million in 706 deals, and Oando traded shares valued at N758 million in 708 deals.

As a result, the Year-To-Date (YTD) return decreased by 30.51%

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Investors Gain N107bn as NGX Opens Week in Green Territory

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stock bull - Investors King

Investors opened the week smiling as the Nigerian equities market opened positive at the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) with a N107 billion profit on Monday, October 7.

The market capitalisation increased to N56.14 trillion from N56.03 trillion recorded by the bourse on Friday.

The benchmark All-Share Index (ASI) increased to 97,706.70 from 97,520.54 recorded the previous trading day.

The market breadth was positive as 28 stocks advanced and 23 stocks declined, while 67 stocks remained unchanged in 10, 424 deals.

Fidelity Bank ABC Transport and Livestock led other gainers with 10%, 9.76%, and 9.76% growth each in share prices to close at N14.30, N1.35, and N3.60 from the previous N13.00, N1.23, and N3.28 per share.

On the flip side, SCOA, Julius Berger, and Tripple Gee & Company Plc led other price decliners as they shed 10%, 9.95%, and 9.64% each to close at N1.71, N19.00 and N2.25 from the initial N1.90, N21.10, and N2.49 per share.

On the volume index, UBA led trading with 38 million shares valued at N1 billion in 926 deals followed by Access Corporation which traded 23 million shares valued at N459 million in 581 deals.

Caverton Helicopters traded 21 million shares valued at N56 million in 286 deals.

On the value index, UBA recorded the highest value for the day trading stocks worth N1 billion in 926 deals followed by GTCO which traded equities worth N776 million in 576 deals and Access Corporation traded shares valued at N459 million in 581 deals.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

NGX Rebounds with 0.47% Gain, Investors Pocket N262 Billion

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stock - Investors King

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) appreciated 0.47 percent on Friday to break the recent trend of losses as investors pocketed N262 billion.

The market index or All-Share Index (ASI) rose by 456.12 basis points on Friday’s trading session, reflecting a 0.47 percent increase to close at 97,520.54.

Buying appetite in some medium and large-cap stocks, including Seplat, Julius Berger, Guinness, and others spurred the positive outcome.

However, market activities were mixed as the total volume traded was up by 19.5% while the total value traded dropped by 10.9%.

The daily trading data showed that approximately 320.70 million units valued at N6,021.56 million were transacted across 8,763 deals.

Tier-1 bank, UBA was the most traded stock in terms of volume, accounting for 11.5% of the total volume of traded transacted in the market.

Other volume drivers include Sterling Bank (7.35%), Ellah Lakes (7.27%), Wapco (5.20%), and Regalins (4.99%) to complete the top 5 on the volume chart.

UBA emerged as the most traded stock in value terms, with 16.5% of the total value of trades on the exchange.

Based on the trading directions, the market breadth closed positive, recording 34 gainers and 21 losers.

Seplat topped the advancers’ chart with a price appreciation of 10.00 percent, trailed by ABC Transport, up by 9.82%.

Other gainers include Livestock (+9.70%), Caverton (+9.62%), FTN Cocoa (+9.29%), Ellah Lakes (+8.43%) and twenty-eight others.

Twenty-one (21) stocks depreciated, according to stockbrokers. Eterna was the top loser, with a price depreciation of -10.00%.

Other decliners include PZ (-9.49%), Dangote Sugar (-5.85%), Fidelity Bank (-4.76%), Nascon (-2.91%), and Oando (-1.95%).

 

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