Connect with us

Economy

South Africa’s Unemployment Rate Drops to Lowest Since 2021 Amidst Job Growth Surge

Construction and Trade Sectors Lead the Way as Unemployment Dips to 32.6% in Q2 2023

Published

on

South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s unemployment rate for the second quarter plummeted to its lowest point since the initial quarter of 2021, defying analysts’ predictions. The latest data from Statistics South Africa revealed a significant decline as sectors like construction and trade fueled job creation, surpassing market expectations.

According to the official report released on Tuesday in Pretoria, the jobless rate declined to 32.6% during the three months leading up to June, down from 32.9% recorded in the previous quarter. This positive trend defied projections by economists in a Bloomberg survey, who had foreseen a more modest decrease to 32.8%.

However, while these statistics present a hopeful picture, a closer examination reveals a more complex reality. Accounting for the expanded definition of unemployment, which includes those available for work but not actively seeking employment, the rate stands at 42.1%. This figure is down from the March quarter’s 42.4%, showcasing a slight improvement.

Also, South Africa’s economy is projected to stagnate this year, largely attributed to severe power shortages, diminished commodity prices, and logistical bottlenecks. The nation is grappling with a distressing series of power cuts, surpassing those experienced in all of 2022.

Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd., the state utility responsible for power supply, is grappling with the incapacity to meet the escalating demand due to aging and under-maintained plants.

As a consequence of these adverse conditions, the central bank’s growth projection for the year has been revised to a meager 0.4%, significantly lower than the anticipated 2% growth without the hindrance of power rationing.

While certain sectors have demonstrated remarkable progress, such as the construction and trade industries that have seen a surge in job opportunities, others have not fared as well. Manufacturing and finance have encountered setbacks in employment growth.

The combination of ongoing power outages and logistical inefficiencies within the freight rail network and ports has caused a substantial increase in business operating costs. Notably, major corporations like Shoprite Holdings Ltd., the largest grocery chain in South Africa, have been forced to allocate a substantial budget of 1.3 billion rand ($68 million) toward diesel-generated power throughout the financial year ending in July.

Continue Reading
Comments

Economy

FG to Hike VAT on Luxury Goods by 15%, Exempts Essentials for Vulnerable Nigerians

Published

on

Value added tax - Investors King

Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, has announced plans by the Federal Government to raise the Value Added Tax (VAT) on luxury goods by 15% despite the ongoing economic challenges.

Minister Edun made this known in Washington DC, during a meeting with investors as part of the ongoing IMF/ World Bank Annual Forum.

While essential goods consumed by poor and vulnerable Nigerians will not be affected by the increase, Edun, however, the increase in VAT will affect luxury items.

He said, “In terms of VAT, President Bola Tinubu’s commitment is that while implementing difficult and wide-range but necessary reforms, the poorest and most vulnerable will be protected.

The minister also revealed that the bill is currently under review by the National Assembly and in due time, the government will release a list of essential goods exempted from VAT to provide clarity to the public.

“So, the Bills going through the National Assembly in terms of VAT will raise VAT for the wealthy on luxury goods, while at the same time exempting or applying a zero rate to essentials that the poor and average citizens purchase,” Edun explained.

Earlier in October, Investors King reported that the FG had removed VAT on diesel and cooking gas, among others to enhance economic productivity and ease the harsh reality of the current economy.

Continue Reading

Economy

Global Debt-to-GDP Ratio Approaching 100%, Rising Above Pandemic Peak

Published

on

Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The IMF sees countries debt growing above 100% of global GDP, Vitor Gaspar, head of the Fund’s Fiscal Affairs Department said ahead of the launch of the Fiscal Monitor (FM) Wednesday (October 23) in Washington, DC.

“Deficits are high and global public debt is very high and rising. If it continues at the current pace, the global debt-to-GDP ratio will approach 100% by the end of the decade, rising above the pandemic peak,” said Gaspar about the main message from the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor report.

The Fiscal Monitor is highlighting new tools to help policymakers determining the risk of high levels of debt.

“Assessing and managing public debt risks is a major task for policymakers. The Fiscal Monitor makes a major contribution. The Debt at Risk Framework. It considers the distribution of outcomes around the most likely scenario. The analysis in the Fiscal Monitor shows that debt risks are substantially worse than they look from the baseline alone. The framework should help policymakers take preemptive action to avoid the most adverse outcomes.”

Gaspar said that there’s a careful balance between keeping debt lower, versus necessary spending on people, infrastructure and social priorities.

“The Fiscal Monitor identifies three main drivers of debt risks. First, spending pressures from long term underlying trends, but also challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. Second, optimistic bias in debt projections. And third, increasing uncertainty associated with economic, financial and political developments.

Spending pressures from long term underlying trends and from challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. The key is for countries to get started on getting debt under control and to keep at it. Waiting is risky. The longer you wait, the greater the risk the debt becomes unsustainable. At the same time, countries that can afford it should avoid cutting too much, too fast. That would hurt growth and jobs. That is why in many cases we recommend an enduring but gradual fiscal adjustment.”

Continue Reading

Economy

IMF Attributes Nigeria’s Economic Downgrade to Inflation, Flooding, and Oil Woes

Published

on

IMF - Investors King

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has blamed the downgrade of Nigeria’s economic growth particularly on the effects of recent inflation, flooding and oil production setbacks.

In its World Economic Outlook (WEO) published on Tuesday, the Bretton Wood institution noted that Nigeria’s economy has grown in the last two quarters despite inflation and the weakening of the local currency, however, this could only translate to 2.9 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025.

“Nigeria’s economy in the first and second quarter of the year grew by 2.98% and 3.19% respectively amid a surge in inflation and further depreciation of the Naira.

“The GDP growth rate in the first two quarters of 2024 surpassed the figure for 2023, representing resilience despite severe macroeconomic shocks with a spike in petrol prices and a 28-year high inflation rate,” the report seen by Investors King shows.

The spokesperson for IMF’s Research Department, Mr Jean-Marc Natal, said agricultural disruptions caused by severe flooding and security and maintenance issues hampering oil production were key drivers of the revision.

“There has been, over the last year and a half, some progress in the region. You saw, inflation stabilising in some countries, going down even and reaching a level close to the target. So, half of them are still at a large distance from the target, and a third of them are still having double-digit inflation.

“In terms of growth, it’s quite uneven, but it remains too low. The other issue is that in the region it is still high. It has stopped increasing, and in some countries already starting to consolidate, but it’s still too high, and the debt service is, correspondingly, still high in the region,” he said.

It also expects to see some changes in Nigeria’s inflation, which has slowed down in July and August before rising to 32.7 percent in September 2024.

“Nigeria’s inflation rate only began to slow down in July 2024 after 19 months of consistent increase dating back to January 2023.

“However, after two months of slowdown hiatus, inflation continued to rise on the back of an increase in petrol prices by the NNPCL in September,” the report said.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending