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Crypto Market’s Once-Handsome Lead Over Stocks Faces Crackdown as Bitcoin Retreats Below $30,000

Bitcoin’s Retreat and Waning Momentum: Investors Tread Cautiously as Crypto Market Faces Uncertainties

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The crypto market, which had been boasting a substantial lead over stocks in 2023, is now facing a critical juncture as Bitcoin experiences a retreat below the $30,000 mark.

The year-to-date climb of the top 100 digital tokens has cooled to 46%, narrowly surpassing the 41% surge in the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index.

The fervor around artificial intelligence products had propelled the equity measure, briefly propelling it above the MVIS CryptoCompare Digital Assets 100 Index in June.

One significant driver for digital assets was a court setback in the US regulatory crackdown, coupled with optimism surrounding the possibility of the nation allowing spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. However, these factors have gradually subsided, leading investors to focus on the potential impact of an expected Federal Reserve interest-rate hike this week.

Caroline Mauron, co-founder of digital-asset derivatives liquidity provider OrBit Markets, believes that the crypto rally has lost momentum after the initial excitement sparked by the ETF news, and there seem to be no other apparent catalysts on the horizon.

Nevertheless, downside risk is expected to be limited due to the Federal Reserve nearing the end of the current rate hiking cycle, providing support for risk assets, including crypto.

Technical indicators are signaling caution, with Bitcoin’s 20-week Bollinger bandwidth at its narrowest in seven years, suggesting the potential for more intense moves, particularly on the downside if key thresholds are breached. The Bollinger study is a method of analyzing volatility.

Market analyst Tony Sycamore of IG Australia Pty predicts that Bitcoin’s drop should extend towards the $26,000 to $25,000 range before finding support.

As of 6:35 a.m. in London on Tuesday, Bitcoin remained steady at approximately $29,100, having experienced a 3.3% decline the previous day. Meanwhile, smaller coins like XRP and Dogecoin showed mixed performance.

In other news, the highly-anticipated launch of Worldcoin, the crypto project co-founded by OpenAI Chief Executive Officer Sam Altman, saw a moderated rally after its initial surge.

Worldcoin soared to as high as $3.58 from its initial price of $1.70 but has since retraced to about $2. Data from CoinMarketCap indicates that approximately $625 million worth of the digital asset changed hands in the past 24 hours.

With the crypto market facing uncertainties, investors are closely watching how the situation unfolds, hoping for a potential resurgence after the recent retreat. Only time will tell whether digital assets can reclaim their former lead over stocks and continue their upward trajectory.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Holds Steady Above $70,900 as Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) Outflows Increase

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Bitcoin (BTC) maintains its stronghold above $70,900 despite increasing outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC).

As reported by CheckonChain, a total of $124.9 million flowed out of GBTC recently, contrasting with modest inflows into other investment vehicles like Fidelity’s FBTC and Bitwise’s BITB.

This trend has prompted speculation within the market regarding its impact on Bitcoin’s price dynamics.

While some believe that continued outflows from GBTC may exert selling pressure on BTC, driving down prices, others adopt a more cautious approach.

They argue that such outflows are expected from GBTC, given its relatively higher fee structure compared to alternative investment options.

Traders, however, seem to be pricing in a degree of stability for Bitcoin in the coming weeks, with optimistic forecasts on platforms like Polymarket.

According to predictions, there’s a 60% chance that BTC will reach $75,000 by the end of April, while the likelihood of it hitting $80,000 stands at 32%.

Despite the varying sentiments among market participants, Bitcoin’s resilience above the $70,900 mark underscores its status as a cornerstone asset in the crypto space.

Investors continue to monitor developments closely, navigating through the complex interplay of factors influencing Bitcoin’s price trajectory.

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Bitcoin Tests $66,000 Amidst Volatility Forecast

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As Bitcoin surged to a $66,000 price level during Asian trading hours, cryptocurrency markets brace for heightened volatility, with market observers predicting turbulent times ahead.

The cryptocurrency’s price volatility has been a subject of much discussion, particularly in light of recent events.

Semir Gabeljic, Director of Capital Formation at Pythagoras Investments, who highlighted the ongoing volatility cited a recent drawdown of 10% fueled by spot Bitcoin ETF outflows from GBTC, totaling approximately $300 million on March 20.

Gabeljic emphasized that such drawdowns typically occur in the lead-up to Bitcoin halving events, signaling a potential for increased volatility in the near future.

Meanwhile, the CoinDesk 20 (CD20), which tracks the world’s most liquid digital assets, experienced a minor dip of 0.5%.

However, amidst this overall market movement, CoinDesk’s Digitization Index (DTZ) saw a notable uptick, led by protocols like Ethereum Name Service (ENS), which rose by 2.7% during Asia trading hours.

Singapore-based trading firm QCP Capital noted the current consolidation in the market, with Bitcoin and Ethereum trading within a relatively tight range.

They suggested that the market might see a pause in activity over the weekend following the volatility leading up to the previous weekend’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.

Also, QCP Capital highlighted the continued outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), expecting a fourth consecutive day of BTC spot exchange-traded fund net outflows.

The firm also pointed out a widening discount on Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) and the market’s diminishing expectations for the approval of a spot Ethereum ETF.

With Bitcoin’s test of $66,000 and ongoing market dynamics, cryptocurrency investors and analysts remain vigilant, anticipating further fluctuations in the days to come.

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Binance CEO Forecasts Bitcoin Surge Beyond $80,000 on Institutional Inflows

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Binance Chief Executive Officer Richard Teng has set his sights on Bitcoin surging beyond the $80,000 price level on the back of rising institutional investments into crypto-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Speaking at an event in Bangkok on Sunday, Teng highlighted the significant impact of the launch of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States earlier this year.

He noted that this development has attracted a considerable influx of institutional investors, propelling fresh funds into the cryptocurrency market.

Teng expressed confidence in Bitcoin’s upward trajectory, emphasizing that “we’re just getting started.”

Initially estimating Bitcoin to reach around $80,000 by the end of the year, Teng now believes that the cryptocurrency’s price will surpass this milestone.

He attributed this bullish outlook to a combination of decreasing supply and sustained demand within the market.

However, he cautioned that the rally wouldn’t be without its fluctuations, suggesting that the market’s ups and downs would ultimately benefit its overall health.

Bitcoin has already surged by an impressive 56% this year, reaching a record high of nearly $73,798 last week.

Despite concerns among some investors about a potential bubble, Teng remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s future trajectory.

Teng’s forecast comes in the wake of his appointment as CEO of Binance, succeeding co-founder Changpeng Zhao in November following the company’s $4.3 billion settlement with US authorities.

With relentless inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs since their approval in January, Teng expects further institutional adoption in the near term, with more endowments and family offices anticipated to increase their allocations into Bitcoin ETFs.

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