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Banking Sector

Standard Chartered Forecasts Bitcoin to Soar to $50,000 in 2023 and $120,000 by 2024

Top foreign exchange (FX) analyst, Geoff Kendrick, suggests a 20% “upside” to their previously forecasted $100,000 valuation for Bitcoin at the end of 2024.

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Standard Chartered Nigeria - Investors King

Global banking giant Standard Chartered has predicted that the value of the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, could surge to $50,000 by the end of this year and reach an astounding $120,000 by the close of 2024.

This optimistic outlook comes as Standard Chartered’s top foreign exchange (FX) analyst, Geoff Kendrick, suggests a 20% “upside” to their previously forecasted $100,000 valuation for Bitcoin at the end of 2024.

Kendrick explained the reasoning behind this revised prediction, highlighting the increasing profitability for Bitcoin miners as a key factor driving the anticipated surge.

He said, “Increased miner profitability per BTC (bitcoin) mined means they can sell less while maintaining cash inflows, reducing net BTC supply and pushing BTC prices higher.”

Although Bitcoin has experienced an impressive 80% surge since the beginning of this year, its current price of just over $30,200 remains less than half of its peak value of $69,000 in November 2021.

The cryptocurrency market suffered a substantial setback in 2022, with trillions of dollars being wiped out as central banks raised interest rates and several crypto firms, including the FTX exchange, collapsed. However, this year has witnessed a remarkable rebound, fueled in part by the collapse of several traditional-style banks.

Standard Chartered’s optimistic forecast is primarily rooted in the belief that Bitcoin miners, responsible for producing approximately 900 new bitcoins daily worldwide, will gradually reduce their sales to cover costs, particularly electricity to power their super-computers.

Currently, miners are estimated to be selling 100% of their newly minted coins. However, if Bitcoin reaches the $50,000 mark, it is anticipated that they will only sell between 20% and 30% of their mined bitcoins.

Geoff Kendrick elaborated on this potential shift, stating, “It is the equivalent of miners reducing the amount of bitcoins they sell per day to just 180-270 from 900 currently.”

Over the course of a year, this reduction in sales would result in a decrease in miner supply from 328,500 bitcoins to a range of 65,700-98,550, effectively reducing the net BTC supply by approximately 250,000 bitcoins annually.

Another contributing factor to the bullish forecast is the upcoming halving event, set to occur around April or May, where the daily production of new bitcoins will be cut in half. This mechanism, designed to gradually limit supply and maintain Bitcoin’s appeal, is expected to further bolster its value.

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Banking Sector

Access Bank, Others Collect N154 Billion in Electronic Banking Fees in H1’23, a 16.7% YoY Surge

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Global Banking - Investors King

In the first half of 2023, customers of Nigeria’s top nine commercial banks paid a whopping N154 billion in fees for utilizing electronic banking services, reflecting a robust 16.7% year-on-year increase compared to H1’22’s N131.97 billion.

The data, extracted from the financial statements of these banks, underscores the escalating trend of Nigerians embracing electronic payment channels.

Leading the pack in revenue generation from these fees is Access Bank, amassing N43.9 billion, followed by United Bank for Africa Plc (N51.07 billion), Zenith Bank (N22.27 billion), Guaranty Trust Bank (N21.2 billion), and others like Stanbic IBTC (N2.14 billion), First City Monument Bank (N7.4 billion), Unity Bank (N1.96 billion), Fidelity Bank (N1.85 billion), and Wema Bank (N3.13 billion).

Electronic banking services encompass a gamut of options, including internet banking, mobile banking, ATMs, and Point of Sale (PoS) systems.

Recent data from the Nigerian Interbank Settlement System (NIBSS) for Q1’23 indicates a substantial surge in electronic transactions.

Transaction volume increased by 209% YoY to 4.7 billion, and transaction value grew by 48% YoY to N137.52 trillion.

The nine banks collectively raked in N66.7 billion in account maintenance fees and commissions during H1’23, reflecting a 14.7% YoY rise.

Zenith Bank led this category with N21.02 billion, trailed by Access Bank (N13.36 billion), Guaranty Trust Bank (N10.5 billion), and United Bank of Africa (N9.6 billion).

Overall, the banks’ cumulative net fees and commission income registered a substantial 20.7% YoY growth, reaching N448.47 billion in H1’23 from N371.43 billion in H1’22.

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Banking Sector

Access Holdings Posts 52.6% Profit for the First Half of the Year

Parent Company of Access Bank Celebrates Remarkable Financial Performance in H1’23

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Access bank

Access Holdings Plc, the parent company of Access Bank, has reported a 58.9 percent surge in gross revenue to N940.3 billion for the first half of 2023.

The financial services giant also recorded remarkable growth in Profit Before Tax (PBT) and Profit After Tax (PAT) at 71.4 percent and 52.6 percent, respectively, culminating in N167.6 billion for PBT and N135.4 billion for PAT during the same period.

These financial milestones were unveiled as part of Access Holdings’ Audited Consolidated and Separate Financial Statements for the period concluding on June 30, 2023.

The driving force behind this unprecedented growth can be attributed to a potent combination of factors. A 63.0 percent growth in interest income and a 51.9 percent increase in non-interest income fueled the surge in gross revenue.

Access Holdings also witnessed a 35 percent year-to-date growth in customer deposits, capping the first half of 2023 at an impressive N12.5 trillion. This remarkable achievement encompassed all business segments, reinforcing the Group’s status as Nigeria’s largest financial institution by total assets.

The company’s total assets grew by 39.0 percent year-on-year to N20.9 trillion while shareholders’ funds surged by 40.6 percent to N1.7 trillion.

These astounding figures underline the Group’s ability to generate value from a diversified business portfolio, spanning banking, asset management, and payment services.

Herbert Wigwe, the Group Chief Executive Officer of Access Holdings Plc, commented on the company’s positive performance, saying, “Our growth plans for the African continent remain firm and clear, driven by the strong long-term growth prospects and trade opportunities seen across many of the countries.”

He went on to emphasize the company’s commitment to its 5-year cyclical strategy, stating, “Our primary objective remains to transform Access Holdings Plc into a leading financial and ecosystem player, fostering opportunities for shared prosperity among all stakeholders.”

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Banking Sector

Central Bank of Nigeria Postpones 293rd Monetary Policy Committee Meeting

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced the postponement of its 293rd Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, originally scheduled for September 25th and 26th, 2023.

Dr. Isa AbdulMumin, the bank’s Director of Corporate Communications, released a statement on Thursday confirming the decision.

In the statement, Dr. AbdulMumin stated, “The Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria has deferred its 293rd meeting, which was initially planned for Monday and Tuesday, September 25th and 26th, 2023, respectively. A new date will be communicated in due course. We regret any inconvenience this change may cause our stakeholders and the general public.”

While the CBN did not provide an official reason for the postponement, some industry experts suggest it may be related to the pending approvals for the newly appointed governor and deputy governors of the bank.

President Bola Tinubu recently nominated Yemi Cardoso as the potential head of the CBN. Additionally, Tinubu has endorsed the nominations of four new deputy governors for the apex bank, who are expected to serve for an initial term of five years, pending confirmation by the Senate.

The nominated deputy governors are Emem Usoro, Muhammad Abdullahi-Dattijo, Philip Ikeazor, and Bala Bello. However, the appointment of the CBN governor is contingent upon Senate confirmation, which is currently on a yearly recess.

The CBN assures stakeholders and the public that the rescheduled MPC meeting date will be communicated promptly as soon as it is confirmed.

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