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President Tinubu Unveils Ambitious Roadmap to Catapult Nigeria’s Economy to $1 Trillion

President Bola Tinubu has unveiled an ambitious roadmap aimed at propelling Nigeria’s economy to an unprecedented milestone of $1 trillion.

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President Bola Tinubu has unveiled an ambitious roadmap aimed at propelling Nigeria’s economy to an unprecedented milestone of $1 trillion.

The comprehensive plan, announced by the Policy Advisory Council, outlines a series of strategic initiatives designed to drive sustainable economic growth and address key challenges hindering Nigeria’s progress.

With a resolute determination to transform the nation’s economic landscape, President Tinubu acknowledged the enormity of the task at hand during the meeting of the National Economic Council (NEC). Addressing the state governors, he emphasized that the responsibility of growing the economy falls upon all who campaigned, danced, and begged for this job.

The Policy Advisory Council, consisting of experts from various sectors, including banking, finance, and politics, has identified a consistent average annual GDP growth rate of seven percent as a vital target for Nigeria’s economic transformation. The roadmap encompasses a comprehensive approach that spans fiscal policy, monetary policies, the capital market, and the industry and trade sectors.

Under the fiscal policy reforms, the government aims to tackle issues such as oil theft and pipeline vandalism while significantly boosting oil and gas production. The plan includes rationalizing selected government assets, restructuring and automating revenue-generating agencies for more efficient tax collection, and optimizing operating expenditure to reduce costs and leakages. Additionally, the policy outlines the impending elimination of the PMS subsidy, which has already come into effect since President Tinubu’s inauguration.

In terms of monetary policies, the roadmap focuses on transitioning towards a transparent and unified foreign exchange rate system. It also aims to resolve the cash shortage situation that impacted the economy in early 2023 due to the naira redesign under the previous administration.

The establishment of a coordinating body for fiscal and monetary policies, along with reforms in the operating model of the Central Bank of Nigeria, will foster stability and facilitate economic growth. The policy also sets ambitious targets for exchange rates, interest rates, and inflation rates.

The capital market plays a crucial role in the roadmap, with the government planning to issue long-term, high-yielding debt securities, such as special purpose bonds. These funds will be allocated to dedicated projects in key sectors like agriculture and industry. Furthermore, the government aims to encourage increased participation of pension funds and insurance companies in the capital market, which will enhance liquidity and drive sustainable economic development.

Recognizing the significance of a business-friendly environment, the roadmap emphasizes regulatory reforms to attract investments and boost the manufacturing sector’s contribution to GDP. Nigeria aspires to become Africa’s most efficient trading nation, increasing the share of non-oil exports in GDP. The goal is to position the country as the top investment destination among the MINT economies, which include Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey. These reforms will pave the way for job creation, inclusive growth, and a thriving economy.

President Tinubu’s economic vision extends beyond achieving a $1 trillion economy. The Policy Advisory Council has set ambitious targets to uplift the lives of Nigerians. The roadmap aims to lift 100 million people out of poverty, generate over 50 million jobs, and deliver sustained inclusive growth. The government is also committed to reducing the unemployment rate from 33 percent to 17 percent within eight years and creating 7.2 million jobs by 2030.

As Nigeria embarks on this transformative journey, the world eagerly awaits the realization of President Tinubu’s ambitious roadmap. With a comprehensive plan in place and a resolute determination to succeed, Nigeria is poised to unlock its immense potential, attract global investments, and emerge as a thriving economic powerhouse in the coming years.

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Economy

FG to Hike VAT on Luxury Goods by 15%, Exempts Essentials for Vulnerable Nigerians

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Value added tax - Investors King

Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, has announced plans by the Federal Government to raise the Value Added Tax (VAT) on luxury goods by 15% despite the ongoing economic challenges.

Minister Edun made this known in Washington DC, during a meeting with investors as part of the ongoing IMF/ World Bank Annual Forum.

While essential goods consumed by poor and vulnerable Nigerians will not be affected by the increase, Edun, however, the increase in VAT will affect luxury items.

He said, “In terms of VAT, President Bola Tinubu’s commitment is that while implementing difficult and wide-range but necessary reforms, the poorest and most vulnerable will be protected.

The minister also revealed that the bill is currently under review by the National Assembly and in due time, the government will release a list of essential goods exempted from VAT to provide clarity to the public.

“So, the Bills going through the National Assembly in terms of VAT will raise VAT for the wealthy on luxury goods, while at the same time exempting or applying a zero rate to essentials that the poor and average citizens purchase,” Edun explained.

Earlier in October, Investors King reported that the FG had removed VAT on diesel and cooking gas, among others to enhance economic productivity and ease the harsh reality of the current economy.

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Global Debt-to-GDP Ratio Approaching 100%, Rising Above Pandemic Peak

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The IMF sees countries debt growing above 100% of global GDP, Vitor Gaspar, head of the Fund’s Fiscal Affairs Department said ahead of the launch of the Fiscal Monitor (FM) Wednesday (October 23) in Washington, DC.

“Deficits are high and global public debt is very high and rising. If it continues at the current pace, the global debt-to-GDP ratio will approach 100% by the end of the decade, rising above the pandemic peak,” said Gaspar about the main message from the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor report.

The Fiscal Monitor is highlighting new tools to help policymakers determining the risk of high levels of debt.

“Assessing and managing public debt risks is a major task for policymakers. The Fiscal Monitor makes a major contribution. The Debt at Risk Framework. It considers the distribution of outcomes around the most likely scenario. The analysis in the Fiscal Monitor shows that debt risks are substantially worse than they look from the baseline alone. The framework should help policymakers take preemptive action to avoid the most adverse outcomes.”

Gaspar said that there’s a careful balance between keeping debt lower, versus necessary spending on people, infrastructure and social priorities.

“The Fiscal Monitor identifies three main drivers of debt risks. First, spending pressures from long term underlying trends, but also challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. Second, optimistic bias in debt projections. And third, increasing uncertainty associated with economic, financial and political developments.

Spending pressures from long term underlying trends and from challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. The key is for countries to get started on getting debt under control and to keep at it. Waiting is risky. The longer you wait, the greater the risk the debt becomes unsustainable. At the same time, countries that can afford it should avoid cutting too much, too fast. That would hurt growth and jobs. That is why in many cases we recommend an enduring but gradual fiscal adjustment.”

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IMF Attributes Nigeria’s Economic Downgrade to Inflation, Flooding, and Oil Woes

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IMF - Investors King

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has blamed the downgrade of Nigeria’s economic growth particularly on the effects of recent inflation, flooding and oil production setbacks.

In its World Economic Outlook (WEO) published on Tuesday, the Bretton Wood institution noted that Nigeria’s economy has grown in the last two quarters despite inflation and the weakening of the local currency, however, this could only translate to 2.9 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025.

“Nigeria’s economy in the first and second quarter of the year grew by 2.98% and 3.19% respectively amid a surge in inflation and further depreciation of the Naira.

“The GDP growth rate in the first two quarters of 2024 surpassed the figure for 2023, representing resilience despite severe macroeconomic shocks with a spike in petrol prices and a 28-year high inflation rate,” the report seen by Investors King shows.

The spokesperson for IMF’s Research Department, Mr Jean-Marc Natal, said agricultural disruptions caused by severe flooding and security and maintenance issues hampering oil production were key drivers of the revision.

“There has been, over the last year and a half, some progress in the region. You saw, inflation stabilising in some countries, going down even and reaching a level close to the target. So, half of them are still at a large distance from the target, and a third of them are still having double-digit inflation.

“In terms of growth, it’s quite uneven, but it remains too low. The other issue is that in the region it is still high. It has stopped increasing, and in some countries already starting to consolidate, but it’s still too high, and the debt service is, correspondingly, still high in the region,” he said.

It also expects to see some changes in Nigeria’s inflation, which has slowed down in July and August before rising to 32.7 percent in September 2024.

“Nigeria’s inflation rate only began to slow down in July 2024 after 19 months of consistent increase dating back to January 2023.

“However, after two months of slowdown hiatus, inflation continued to rise on the back of an increase in petrol prices by the NNPCL in September,” the report said.

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