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US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen Remains Confident in US Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status Despite De-Dollarization Efforts

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen expressed her views on the global reserve currency status of the US dollar, defying previous statements and offering a nuanced perspective on the matter.

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Naira Dollar Exchange Rate - Investors King

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen expressed her views on the global reserve currency status of the US dollar, defying previous statements and offering a nuanced perspective on the matter.

Yellen’s remarks come amidst a backdrop of increasing efforts by countries worldwide to de-dollarize international trade.

While acknowledging the de-dollarization actions taken by countries such as China and Russia, Yellen maintained her confidence in the US dollar’s standing as the global reserve currency.

Speaking to Reuters, she emphasized her belief that alternative international trade mechanisms proposed by these nations would be challenging to materialize.

Yellen’s appearance before the Committee on Finance Services initially focused on “treasury oversight,” but the conversation quickly delved into the topic of the US dollar’s future. She underscored the importance of international financial institutions (IFIs) as integral components of the nation’s economic and foreign policy toolkit.

According to Yellen, these institutions play a vital role in fostering a more resilient global economy.

The US dollar’s status as the world’s dominant reserve currency has been a recurring topic in recent months, with speculation surrounding its potential decline. Yellen’s comments today represent a notable shift from her previous statements, which suggested a more cautious outlook.

Her newfound optimism regarding the dollar’s resilience may alleviate concerns among market participants and reaffirm its significance in the international financial landscape.

As countries seek to diversify their reserves and reduce their reliance on the US dollar, central banks and financial institutions around the world have gradually embraced alternative currencies, including the Chinese yuan and digital assets like cryptocurrencies.

Yellen’s remarks are likely to spark further discussion among economists, policymakers, and market participants regarding the future trajectory of the global reserve currency landscape. While acknowledging the challenges posed by de-dollarization efforts, she remains steadfast in her belief that the US dollar will maintain its dominant position, citing the nation’s robust economic fundamentals and the lack of viable alternatives proposed thus far.

The global reserve currency status of the US dollar continues to be a dynamic issue that requires careful monitoring, given its implications for international trade, financial stability, and geopolitical relationships. Yellen’s testimony underscores the significance of maintaining a resilient and adaptable financial system amidst evolving global dynamics.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

August 2023 Witnesses Highest Revenue Allocation of the Year – N1.1 Trillion Shared

The driving force behind this boost in revenue can be attributed to foreign exchange gains that have contributed significantly to the government’s income stream.

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Revenue - Investors King

The Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) unveiled its allocation of N1.1 trillion to the three tiers of government for the month of August 2023, Investors King reports.

This substantial increase was detailed in a communiqué following the committee’s latest meeting. August allocation was the highest so far with an increase of N133.99 billion when compared to the N966.11 billion shared in July 2023.

The driving force behind this boost in revenue can be attributed to foreign exchange gains that have contributed significantly to the government’s income stream.

Breaking down the N1.1 trillion total distributable revenue, the statement reveals that it consists of distributable statutory revenue amounting to N357.4 billion, distributable Value Added Tax revenue totaling N321.94 billion, Electronic Money Transfer Levy revenue at N14.10 billion, Exchange Difference revenue of N229.57 billion, and an augmentation of NN177.09 billion.

Of this impressive sum, the Federal Government is set to receive N431.25 billion, while the State governments will be allocated N361.19 billion, and the local government Councils will obtain N266.54 billion.

However, it’s essential to note that the total revenue available for August stood at N1.48 trillion, marking a 14% or 0.26 trillion decrease from the preceding month’s figure of N1.74 trillion.

The FAAC communiqué further underscores that various deductions were made, including N58.76 billion for the cost of collection, N254.05 billion for total transfers and refunds, and N71 billion allocated to savings. Additionally, the Excess Crude Account maintained a balance of $473,754.57.

The statement elaborated, “Gross statutory revenue of N891.934 billion was received for the month of August 2023. This was lower than the N1,150.424 billion received in July 2023 by N258.490 billion. The gross revenue available from the Value Added Tax was N345.727 billion. This was higher than the N298.789 billion available in July 2023 by N46.938 billion.”

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Economy

Zambia’s Finance Minister Faces Dual Challenge in Upcoming Budget Address

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Zambian economy

As Zambia’s Finance Minister, Situmbeko Musokotwane, prepares to present the nation’s budget, he finds himself at a pivotal crossroads.

The second-largest copper producer in Africa is grappling with two pressing concerns: debt sustainability and soaring living costs.

Debt Restructuring Dilemma: Musokotwane’s foremost challenge is finalizing the $6.3 billion debt-restructuring deal with official creditors, led by China and France.

Delays have hindered disbursements from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and left private creditors in limbo.

To reassure investors, a memorandum of understanding with the official creditor committee is urgently needed.

President Hakainde Hichilema emphasizes the importance of sealing these transactions to signal closure on this tumultuous chapter.

Plummeting Tax Revenue: The key copper-mining industry, which accounts for 70% of Zambia’s export earnings, is in turmoil.

First-half mining company taxes and mineral royalty collections have nosedived, adding to economic woes.

This, in turn, has depreciated the local currency, exacerbating imported inflation, particularly in fuel prices.

Rising Food Inflation: Musokotwane faces mounting political pressure to combat soaring living costs, with annual inflation reaching an 18-month high of 12%. Corn meal prices, a staple in Zambia, have surged by a staggering 67% in the past year.

Neighboring countries’ demand for corn has led to smuggling and further price spikes, raising concerns about food security.

Currency Woes: The kwacha’s value has been a barometer for the nation’s economic health. It depreciated by 16% since June 22, the worst performance among African currencies, reflecting the ongoing debt-restructuring uncertainty.

In his budget address, Musokotwane faces the daunting task of striking a balance between debt management, economic stability, and alleviating the burden on Zambia’s citizens.

The international community will keenly watch to see if his fiscal measures can steer the nation toward a path of recovery and prosperity.

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Economy

IMF Urges Sub-Saharan African Nations to Eliminate Tax Exemptions for Fiscal Health

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IMF global - Investors King

Sub-Saharan African countries have been advised by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to tackle their fiscal deficits by focusing on eliminating tax exemptions and bolstering domestic revenue rather than resorting to fiscal expenditure cuts, which could hamper economic growth.

The IMF conveyed this recommendation in a paper titled ‘How to avoid a debt crisis in Sub-Saharan Africa.’

The IMF’s paper emphasizes that Sub-Saharan African nations should reconsider their overreliance on expenditure cuts as a primary means of reducing fiscal deficits. Instead, they should place greater emphasis on revenue-generating measures such as eliminating tax exemptions and modernizing tax filing and payment systems.

According to the IMF, mobilizing domestic revenue is a more growth-friendly approach, particularly in countries with low initial tax levels.

The paper highlights success stories in The Gambia, Rwanda, Senegal, and Uganda, where substantial revenue increases were achieved through a combination of revenue administration and tax policy reforms.

The IMF also pointed out that enhancing the participation of women in the labor force could significantly boost Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in developing countries.

The IMF estimates that raising the rate of female labor force participation by 5.9 percentage points, which aligns with the average reduction in the participation gap observed in the top 5% of countries during 2014-19, could potentially increase GDP by approximately 8% in emerging and developing economies.

In a world grappling with the weakest medium-term growth outlook in over three decades, bridging the gender gap in labor force participation emerges as a vital reform that policymakers can implement to stimulate economic revival.

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