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OPEC Estimates $12.1 Trillion Investments Needed to Meet Rising Oil Demand

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The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) revealed that an estimated $12.1 trillion in investments would be required to meet the escalating global demand for oil.

The projection, shared by OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais, highlights the magnitude of the challenges the oil and gas sector will face in the coming years.

Al Ghais emphasized the critical need for substantial investments across all energy sectors to prevent long-term market volatility and safeguard global growth.

Speaking at the Middle East Petroleum and Gas Conference in Dubai, he stressed the importance of redirecting attention towards reducing greenhouse gas emissions rather than merely replacing one form of energy with another.

“The truth that needs to be spoken is that we must focus on curbing emissions and making significant investments in all energy sectors,” Al Ghais asserted, underscoring the urgency of addressing the environmental impact of the industry.

As global oil demand continues to surge, concerns regarding supply limitations have also emerged. Fereidun Fesharaki, Chairman of the FGE Consultancy, warned that Western sanctions on Russian oil could exacerbate the issue. Fesharaki predicted that future growth in Russian oil production, amounting to approximately 2 million barrels per day, might be impeded due to the existing sanctions. While Russia currently maintains a production capacity of 10 to 11 million barrels per day, the sanctions pose a potential hindrance to sustaining growth and meeting global demand.

The Russian oil and gas industry has been subject to a range of Western sanctions, aiming to restrict sales to the Western market and control prices for Russian oil. These sanctions have become a factor of concern, as they could potentially disrupt the stability of the global oil market.

Fesharaki also noted a significant shift in OPEC’s approach, no longer viewing the growth of U.S. shale oil as a primary concern in the face of higher prices. Instead, OPEC has redirected its focus towards monetizing oil resources before demand reaches its peak. This strategic shift indicates a desire within OPEC to keep oil prices above $80 per barrel and even surpass $100 if market conditions tighten.

In response to the economic downturn and market challenges, OPEC and its allies, led by Russia as part of the OPEC+ coalition, implemented production cuts in late 2022 to stabilize prices. However, in a surprising move, Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ members announced further oil output reductions of approximately 1.2 million barrels per day in April.

The upcoming OPEC+ meeting in Vienna on June 4 is anticipated to be a crucial juncture for deciding the alliance’s next course of action. As economic uncertainties persist, OPEC+ members will convene to address the evolving market dynamics and chart a path forward.

The estimation of $12.1 trillion in necessary investments by OPEC serves as a reminder of the immense capital required to meet the world’s increasing oil demand. It underscores the urgency for robust investments in the energy sector and necessitates proactive measures to ensure a stable and sustainable energy future.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Global Oil Prices Surge as US Lawmakers Suspend Debt Ceiling

Global oil prices appreciated on Friday after the United States lawmakers voted to have the country’s debt ceiling suspended for the next two years.

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Global oil prices appreciated on Friday after the United States lawmakers voted to have the country’s debt ceiling suspended for the next two years. On the final vote, 149 Republicans and 165 Democrats backed the measure, while 71 Republicans and 46 Democrats opposed it.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, rose by 77 cents, or 1% to $75.05 a barrel by 9 am while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) was up 69 cents, or 1%, at $70.79.

Markets were reassured by a bipartisan deal to suspend the limit on the U.S. government’s $31.4 billion debt ceiling, which staved off a sovereign default that would have rocked global financial markets.

Earlier signals of a potential pause in rate hikes by the Federal Reserve also provided support to oil prices, not least by weighing on the U.S. dollar , making oil cheaper for holders of other currencies.

Investor attention is now fixed on the June 4 meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, collectively called OPEC+.

OPEC+ in April announced a surprise cut of 1.16 million barrels per day in April, but the gains from that move have since been retraced and prices are below pre-cut levels.

But signals on any fresh cut have been varied, with Reuters reporting and bank analysts indicating that further output cuts are unlikely.

On the demand side, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its manufacturing PMI fell to 46.9 last month, the seventh-straight month that the PMI stayed below 50, indicating a contraction in activity.

Manufacturing data out of China painted a mixed picture. Thursday’s better-than-expected Caixin/S&P Global China manufacturing PMI contrasted with the previous day’s official government data that reported factory activity in May had contracted to the lowest level in five months.

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Crude Oil

Weak Chinese Data Weighs on Oil Prices Today

Oil prices declined by 2% on Wednesday as weak Chinese data and a stronger United States dollar dragged on commodity prices.

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Oil prices declined by 2% on Wednesday as weak Chinese data and a stronger United States dollar dragged on commodity prices.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, dipped by $1.75, or 2.37%, to $71.96 a barrel at 3:46 pm while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) shed $1.90, or 2.74%, to $67.56.

The decline in prices was caused by weak Chinese manufacturing activity. The data released by the Chinese government showed that activity in the sector contracted faster than expected in May with the official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index declining from 49.2 posted in April to 48.8 in May, below the 49.4 predicted by economists.

Also, the strong U.S. dollar is another factor impacting the purchase of crude oil as buyers holding foreign currencies found it too expensive.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, saw support from cooling European inflation and progress on the U.S. debt ceiling standoff, which will advance to the House of Representatives for debate on Wednesday.

Market players are preparing for the upcoming June 4 meeting of OPEC+ – the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia.

Mixed signals by major OPEC+ producers on whether or not the group will decide to further cut oil production have sparked recent volatility in oil prices.

Despite the latest pullback in prices, HSBC and analysts do not expect OPEC+ to announce further cuts in the upcoming meeting.

HSBC said on Wednesday that stronger oil demand from China and the West from the summer onwards will bring about a supply deficit in the second half of the year.

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Crude Oil

NNPCL Confirms Pump Price Upward Review, See New Price List

The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL) on Wednesday confirmed it has indeed increased the price of petrol across the country.

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL) on Wednesday confirmed it has indeed increased the price of petrol across the country.

This was made known in a statement signed by Garba Deen Muhammad, the Chief Corporate Communications Officer of NNPC Ltd, and made available to the public.

The statement reads “NNPC Limited wishes to inform our esteemed customers that we have adjusted our pump prices of PMS across our retail outlets, in line with current market realities.

“As we strive to provide you with the quality service for which we are known, it is pertinent to note that prices will continue to fluctuate to reflect market dynamics.

“We assure you that NNPC Limited is committed to ensuring a ceaseless supply of products.

“The company sincerely regrets any inconvenience this development may have caused. We greatly appreciate your continued patronage, support, and understanding during this time of change and growth.”

Price of petrol jumped up across the country immediately after President Bola Ahmed Tinubu declared that the fuel subsidy is gone on Monday during his inauguration.

Checks by Investors King show that in some parts of the country, prices rose as high as 500% before NNPCL reportedly released the widely circulated list below to curtail marketers’ excesses.

Price was cheapest in Lagos at N488 a litre because of its close proximity to the port while it was highest in the northern states with Maiduguri and Damaturu recording the highest at N557 a litre. See the list below

NNPCL outlets across the country have been directed to implement the new price, starting from May 31, 2023.

“DEAR ALL. Following Management approval of the Upward review of NNPC PMS pump price as in below table for Mega/Standard/Leased Stations, Please find below schedules for the RMSs and Wayne to handle. Please implement meter change as approved effective today 31st May 2023. Wayne is to attend to all locations as relates to their area of coverage in our network,” a statement read.

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