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Fears of Global Financial Contagion Forcing Investors to Move Away from the Equities Market – CBN

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Godwin Emefiele - Investors King

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has stated that the renewed fears of a global financial contagion are forcing investors to move away from the equities market to safer assets such as gold, while others seek higher returns in treasury securities with improved yields.

This was highlighted in a recent publication on CBN Communique No 147 of the Monetary Policy Committee Meeting held on Monday 20th and Tuesday 21st March 2023 and personal statements of Members.

With several advanced economy central banks progressing with monetary policy normalization however, CBN posited that the global financial conditions will likely remain tight, thus reinforcing the reassignment of financial portfolios to reflect the risk aversion of investors.

On global economic development, the Monetary Policy Committee noted the risk of a global financial contagion from the recent bank failures in the United States and Switzerland whilst also pointing to the war between Russia and Ukraine as the cause of the critical strains to the commodities and energy markets as supply chain bottlenecks remain. In addition, it says the deteriorating relations between the US, China, Russia and some major oil producers in the Middle East, continue to contribute to increased volatility in the oil market.

In Emerging Markets and Developing Economies, the unfolding tight external financing conditions and shock spillovers from the advanced economies threatened to further dampen the recovery of output growth.

Amongst key Advanced Economy central banks, targeted at moderating global demand pressure, global inflation shows signs of deceleration, monetary policy normalization is progressing unabated, hence, price development across several economies is thus expected to remain high throughout 2023, but to decelerate gradually in 2024.

The CBN also highlights key factors to keep inflation above the long-run target of several central banks to include persisting disruption to energy markets associated with continued war between Russia and Ukraine; high commodity prices; and general disruptions to the global supply chain associated with uncertainties around the COVID-19 pandemic in China and the ongoing tensions between the US and China over Taiwan’s sovereignty.

Across several emerging market and developing economies, it added that inflationary pressures have remained high due largely to rising energy prices, high prices of grains and exchange rate pressures associated with capital flows to high yield US dollar-denominated assets.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

NGX Rebounds with N263bn Gain as Small and Mid-Cap Stocks Surge

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stock - Investors King

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) recovered on Thursday amid the surge in strong investor demand for small and mid-cap stocks.

The market capitalisation rose by N263 billion to N56.91 trillion.

The All-Share Index climbed by 0.47%, closing at 100,503.21 points, reflecting a solid buying interest across various sectors.

Despite the market’s overall positive performance, trading activity was subdued with a 64.3% decrease in average daily volume to 392.8 million units.

However, the number of deals increased by 3.4% to 9,013, while the traded value declined by 17.3% to N8.33 billion.

Guaranty Trust Holding Company led the volume trades, with 39.75 million shares worth N1.80 billion across 663 deals.

Meanwhile, Airtel Africa dominated in value, with trades worth N2.25 billion in just 34 transactions.

Sector performance was mixed. Gains were recorded in the oil and gas, consumer goods, and industrial goods sectors, rising by 0.19%, 0.07%, and 0.01%, respectively.

Notable stocks included Airtel Africa, Eterna Plc, Oando, and NASCON Allied Industries.

Conversely, the insurance and banking sectors faced losses, declining by 2.35% and 2.28%.

Top gainers of the day were United Capital, Oando, and Africa Prudential, while Linkage Assurance and Veritas Kapital led the decliners.

This rebound highlights investor confidence in Nigeria’s equities market, with opportunities emerging in small and mid-cap stocks.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Equities Market Dips 0.04% as Q2 Earnings Hit NGX

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Stock - Investors King

Nigeria’s equities market experienced a slight decline of 0.04% on Wednesday ahead of the second quarter (Q2) financial results.

At the close of trading on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), the All Share Index (ASI) fell from the previous day’s high of 100,075.59 points to 100,032.32 points.

Similarly, the equities market capitalization decreased from N56.670 trillion to N56.645 trillion.

Jaiz Bank, Cutix, Zenith Bank, Universal Insurance, and FCMB Group were among the most actively traded stocks.

Investors exchanged 1,099,300,929 shares worth N10.076 billion across 8,720 deals.

Several stocks dominated the sell-side, including RT Briscoe, which fell from 70 kobo to 66 kobo, a 5.71% decrease.

FTN Cocoa dropped by 4.44%, while Tantalizer, Neimeth, and Consolidated Hallmark Holdings also saw declines.

The market’s year-to-date (YtD) positive return decreased to 33.78%. While this month has seen a marginal drop of 0.03%, the week still shows an increase of 0.36%.

The dip reflects investor reactions to the ongoing release of corporate earnings for Q2. As companies disclose their financial results, market participants are adjusting their positions accordingly.

As more Q2 financials are released, market volatility is expected. Investors are closely monitoring earnings reports to guide their investment strategies.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigeria’s Equities Market Gains 0.11%, Adds N62 Billion in Value

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The Nigerian equities market posted a 0.11 percent gain on Tuesday as increased buy-side actions boosted the market’s value by N62 billion.

This positive movement reflects renewed investor confidence and activity in the market.

Leading the charge were stocks like United Capital, UACN, and Cutix. Investors engaged in 8,151 deals, exchanging 368,392,413 shares worth N7.424 billion.

Among the top advancers, United Capital saw a significant rise from N30 to N33, adding N3 or 10 percent.

Cutix also performed well, climbing from N5.08 to N5.58, an increase of 50 kobo or 9.84 percent.

Sunu Assurances and Cornerstone Insurance were other notable gainers, with Sunu Assurances increasing from N1.29 to N1.39, adding 10 kobo or 7.75 percent, and Cornerstone moving from N1.95 to N2.10, up 15 kobo or 7.69 percent.

UACN also saw a substantial gain, rising from N14.15 to N15.20, an addition of N1.05 or 7.42 percent.

The market’s positive return year-to-date (YtD) now stands at 33.84 percent, with a marginal increase of 0.02 percent for the month. So far this week, the market has grown by 0.41 percent.

Key stocks such as Zenith Bank, Access Holdings, GTCO, Jaiz Bank, and UBA were actively traded, indicating strong investor interest.

At the close of trading on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), the All Share Index (ASI) and equities Market Capitalisation rose from the previous day’s low of 99,966.28 points and N56.608 trillion to 100,075.59 points and N56.670 trillion, respectively.

This uptick in market activity and value reflects growing optimism among investors, buoyed by positive corporate earnings and macroeconomic indicators.

As Nigeria’s market continues to evolve, stakeholders are hopeful for sustained growth and stability in the coming months.

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