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Nigeria’s Public Debt Stock Worsened by Constant Fiscal Deficit, Says World Bank

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The World Bank’s recently released Macro Poverty Outlook for Nigeria has highlighted the nation’s constant fiscal deficit as a major contributor to its public debt stock.

The report revealed that in 2022, 96.3% of the government’s revenue was spent on servicing debt. This was compounded by low non-oil revenues and high-interest payments, which created significant fiscal pressure.

As a result, Nigeria’s public debt stock exceeded 38% of GDP, with the debt service to revenue ratio rising from 83.2% in 2021 to 96.3% in 2022.

The bank also identified the redesign of the naira by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) as a contributing factor to the country’s economic growth and poverty reduction challenges. It projected that about 13 million Nigerians would fall below the national poverty line between 2019 and 2025.

The report further noted that Nigeria’s economic environment had deteriorated, leading to millions of Nigerians living in poverty.

The decline in macroeconomic stability was attributed to the monetization of the fiscal deficit, declining oil production, exchange rate distortions, and costly fuel subsidies.

The World Bank called for macro-fiscal reforms to address Nigeria’s persistently high inflation, declining forex reserves, and rising fiscal pressures.

It also recommended the implementation of structural economic changes to promote private investment, efficient public spending, and social development outcomes to boost productivity.

The report emphasized that Nigeria’s population growth continued to outpace poverty reduction, leading to more people falling below the poverty line.

Therefore, the World Bank urged the Nigerian government to take immediate action to implement reforms that would promote economic growth, reduce poverty, and improve the welfare of its citizens.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Akinwumi Adesina Calls for Debt Transparency to Safeguard African Economic Growth

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Akinwumi Adesina

Amidst the backdrop of mounting concerns over Africa’s ballooning external debt, Akinwumi Adesina, the President of the African Development Bank (AfDB), has emphatically called for greater debt transparency to protect the continent’s economic growth trajectory.

In his address at the Semafor Africa Summit, held alongside the International Monetary Fund and World Bank 2024 Spring Meetings, Adesina highlighted the detrimental impact of non-transparent resource-backed loans on African economies.

He stressed that such loans not only complicate debt resolution but also jeopardize countries’ future growth prospects.

Adesina explained the urgent need for accountability and transparency in debt management, citing the continent’s debt burden of $824 billion as of 2021.

With countries dedicating a significant portion of their GDP to servicing these obligations, Adesina warned that the current trajectory could hinder Africa’s development efforts.

One of the key concerns raised by Adesina was the shift from concessional financing to more expensive and short-term commercial debt, particularly Eurobonds, which now constitute a substantial portion of Africa’s total debt.

He criticized the prevailing ‘Africa premium’ that raises borrowing costs for African countries despite their lower default rates compared to other regions.

Adesina called for a paradigm shift in the perception of risk associated with African investments, advocating for a more nuanced approach that reflects the continent’s economic potential.

He stated the importance of an orderly and predictable debt resolution framework, called for the expedited implementation of the G20 Common Framework.

The AfDB President also outlined various initiatives and instruments employed by the bank to mitigate risks and attract institutional investors, including partial credit guarantees and synthetic securitization.

He expressed optimism about Africa’s renewable energy sector and highlighted the Africa Investment Forum as a catalyst for large-scale investments in critical sectors.

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Nigeria’s $2.25 Billion Loan Request to Receive Final Approval from World Bank in June

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Nigeria’s $2.25 billion loan request is expected to receive final approval from the World Bank in June.

The loan, consisting of $1.5 billion in Development Policy Financing and $750 million in Programme-for-Results Financing, aims to bolster Nigeria’s developmental efforts.

Finance Minister Wale Edun hailed the loan as a “free lunch,” highlighting its favorable terms, including a 40-year term, 10 years of moratorium, and a 1% interest rate.

Edun highlighted the loan’s quasi-grant nature, providing substantial financial support to Nigeria’s economic endeavors.

While the loan request awaits formal approval in June, Edun revealed that the World Bank’s board of directors had already greenlit the credit, currently undergoing processing.

The loan signifies a vote of confidence in Nigeria’s economic resilience and strategic response to global challenges, as showcased during the recent Spring Meetings.

Nigeria’s delegation, led by Edun, underscored the nation’s commitment to addressing economic obstacles and leveraging international partnerships for sustainable development.

With the impending approval of the $2.25 billion loan, Nigeria looks poised to embark on transformative initiatives, buoyed by crucial financial backing from the World Bank.

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Nigeria Secures $1.05bn Oil-Backed Loan to Bolster Economy

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Bola Tinubu

Nigeria has successfully secured a significant oil-backed loan worth $1.05 billion from the African Import Export Bank.

The syndicated loan, set to be disbursed next month, represents a crucial step in the country’s efforts to revive its economy and enhance foreign exchange liquidity.

This loan forms part of a larger $3.3 billion prepayment facility orchestrated by Afreximbank, with repayment terms intricately linked to crude oil cargoes from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Ltd.

The agreement, confirmed by Afreximbank’s Senior Executive Vice President for Finance, Administration, and Banking, Denys Denya, underscores the confidence in Nigeria’s oil reserves and its potential to generate revenue even amid global economic uncertainties.

The financial injection is expected to provide a much-needed boost to Nigeria’s economy, which has been grappling with various challenges, including fluctuating oil prices, currency devaluation, and inflationary pressures.

By leveraging its oil reserves, Nigeria aims to enhance its foreign exchange reserves and stabilize its local currency, thereby bolstering investor confidence and stimulating economic growth.

The timing of this loan is particularly significant as Nigeria seeks to navigate the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic and the economic disruptions caused by geopolitical tensions, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

With oil prices experiencing fluctuations and market uncertainties looming, the loan serves as a strategic mechanism to mitigate financial risks and enhance economic resilience.

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited had previously announced plans to utilize funds from the $3.3 billion financing deal secured from Afreximbank to support the Federal Government in stabilizing the country’s exchange rate.

The adoption of a conservative crude oil price benchmark of $65 per barrel for the loan facility reflects a prudent approach to risk management, ensuring financial stability amidst volatile market conditions.

Furthermore, the loan disbursement is strategically tied to future oil sales, with repayments structured to align with anticipated revenue streams.

This approach not only mitigates the risks associated with oil price volatility but also ensures a sustainable and manageable debt repayment process.

While the loan provides immediate liquidity and financial flexibility, Nigeria remains committed to implementing comprehensive economic reforms to drive long-term sustainable growth.

The government’s efforts to diversify the economy, enhance infrastructure development, and promote investment in key sectors will complement the benefits derived from the oil-backed loan, fostering inclusive economic development and prosperity for all Nigerians.

As Nigeria embarks on this transformative journey, the successful acquisition of the $1.05 billion oil-backed loan represents a pivotal milestone in the country’s economic recovery efforts. With prudent fiscal management and strategic resource utilization, Nigeria is poised to unlock its full economic potential and emerge stronger in the post-pandemic era.

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