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Stocks Tumble Ahead of Big Tech Earnings

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By Edward Moya

US stocks are declining as Wall Street abandons the tech trade ahead of massive tech ​ earnings later this week and as global slowdown fears remain front and center as aggressive central bank tightening jitters won’t go away.  Inflation won’t let up anytime soon as the Russian headlines suggest the war in Ukraine could see further escalations, which means inflation won’t ease up and that will continue to drive central bank tightening fears.

Earnings

The earnings blitz is beginning and overall it was not a good start.  GE was down sharply as their full-year guidance was towards the low end.  UPS saw lower volumes but still affirmed its guidance as they will pass on cost increases to the consumer. Pepsico posted strong results and raised its guidance, but shares were unable to shake off the risk-off theme hitting markets today.  3M showed sequential margin improvement but had a slow start to April and had to lower their outlook for the year.

The morning’s earnings picture showed price increases are weighing on businesses and costs are being passed onto the consumer. Alphabet will be the first major tech giant to report after the close, but it will be a tough quarter when compared to robust one last year. ​ Everyone is expecting strong search and YouTube ads results, but the key to how share prices react might fall on the other revenue streams.

Oil

Oil is making a comeback as energy traders focus on tightness in the diesel markets and shift the focus back to Russian energy supplies and the rising danger of nuclear war in Ukraine.  Earlier crude prices got a boost after China’s PBOC stepped up efforts to calm markets and as energy traders await China’s mass COVID testing results, which could lead to even more lockdowns.

The oil market has priced in enough demand destruction from China and crude prices should start to find strong support around the $100 level.

Gold

Gold prices are trying to find support here now that China’s PBOC is stepping up efforts to support the economy and as the move higher with yields continues to show signs of exhaustion.  Gold investors are hoping prices can hold the $1900 level heading into next week’s FOMC decision, but if risk aversion remains the dominant theme that won’t happen.

Gold is trading more like a risky asset right now than as a safe-haven and that leaves it vulnerable here.  If the war in Ukraine sees further escalations, that could be the catalyst to send prices sharply lower.

Crytpo

Bitcoin was tentatively back above the $40,000 level as Wall Street became more optimistic with the long-term outlook for cryptocurrencies after reports that Fidelity Investments will allow Bitcoin into 401(k)s. What also helped Bitcoin this morning is that the dollar rally is holding steady alongside Treasuries.

Bitcoin reversed lower as risk aversion returned to Wall Street, with tech stocks leading the decline. Russia’s suspension of gas supplies to Poland sent risky assets, including Bitcoin sharply lower. ​ ​ ​

Ethereum was showing signs of life hovering back above the $3000 level.  Ethereum investors will become more aggressive with their bets if they feel more confident the upgrade to proof-of-stake system has less road bumps ahead. Ethereum also turned negative and will continue to follow what happens on Wall Street. ​ ​

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Crude Oil

Brent Rises to $73 Per Barrel as Oil Producer Iran Plans Another Attack on Israel

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markets energies crude oil

The international crude benchmark, Brent Crude, rose to $73 per barrel as it rose 29 cents or 0.4 percent to settle at $73.10 a barrel on Friday on expectations that Iran will attack Israel from Iraq in the coming days.

The US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 23 cents, or 0.3 percent to settle at $69.49.

The market has seized on the news from Thursday that Iran is preparing to attack Israel from Iraq within days.

However, market analysts point out that the impact on oil prices may be muted as the attacks signify a show of strength rather than action. This is why there wasn’t a much price boost.

Iran’s backed groups are currently fighting Israel, including Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza and the Houthis in Yemen. So, this has seen the two countries engaged in a series of retaliatory strikes within the broader Middle East warfare set off by fighting in Gaza.

In a related development, the US asked Lebanon to declare a unilateral ceasefire with Israel to revive stalled talks to end hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah.

Another factor supporting prices is the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, OPEC+ which could delay plans to increase supply in December.

The group has always maintained that its planning production cuts rollback would depend on market conditions.

The US, the world’s largest oil producer has been seeing an increase in its production with Exxon Mobil saying its global output hit an all-time high while Chevron also said its US production hit a record high.

This aligns with projections that annual output was on track to hit a record 13.2 million barrels per day in 2024 and 13.5 million barrels per day in 2025.

Last month, OPEC’s production increased by 370,000 barrels per day in October after Libya’s political resolution and its resultant 500,000 barrel-per-day output boost.

Libya’s output recovery led OPEC to raise its production to nearly 30 million barrels daily, even as Iraq, Iran, and Saudi Arabia lowered their output.

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Petrol

IPMAN Pushes Back on Dangote’s Call to End Petrol Imports, Cites High Costs at Refinery

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The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) has addressed concerns about its members purchasing petrol outside the country.

Investors King reported that Aliko Dangote, the owner of Dangote Refinery, urged Nigerian oil marketers to stop importing petrol and instead lift supplies from his refinery.

Dangote mentioned that the refinery currently has over 500 million liters of petrol in storage and that marketers’ reluctance to lift his product is causing financial losses.

In an interview on Friday, IPMAN’s National Assistant Secretary, Yakubu Suleiman, stated that the association cannot compel its members to buy petrol from the Dangote Refinery due to the deregulated nature of the market.

According to Suleiman, IPMAN members cannot patronize Dangote if his petrol is more expensive than other suppliers. He explained that, for profitability, marketers must seek the most affordable fuel sources.

Suleiman also accused Dangote of trying to monopolize the oil market, noting, “Prices are determined by international pricing. Dangote should ideally be communicating daily about his pricing. But he can’t enforce that we buy only from his depot without stakeholder engagement.”

Suleiman added, “IPMAN cannot simply instruct our members to purchase solely from Dangote Refinery. We operate in a deregulated system. Marketers will source products where prices are cheaper and advise members accordingly.”

He explained, “If Dangote sells at N1000 per liter, and there are other sources selling at N900, we can’t direct marketers to choose Dangote simply because it’s his product. We prioritize lower prices and profit.”

Suleiman also noted that last week, Dangote’s price was higher than other sources, explaining, “For example, last week he offered N995 per liter, with additional costs to transport the product to depots. Independent marketers can’t sell at a profit under these conditions, so we must consider Nigerians’ interests.”

This comes after IPMAN President Abubakar Garima countered Dangote’s allegation that marketers were boycotting his refinery.

He pointed out that marketers cannot load petrol from Dangote’s refinery in Lagos despite having paid ₦40 billion to the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL).

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Crude Oil

Rivers State Governor Refutes Claims of NNPCL Shutdown, Labels Report as ‘Propaganda’

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The Governor of Rivers State, Siminalayi Fubara has denied shutting down the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL), and other oil companies in the state as retaliation to a Federal High Court’s ruling barring the release of allocations to the state as widely reported.

Shortly after the court’s ruling, a report claiming that Fubara had ordered the immediate closure of NNPC and other oil companies in the oil rich state emerged on social media.

The report alleged that the Rivers State Governor declared that if the government fails to reverse the court ruling, there will be no oil for the country from Rivers.

Reacting to the allegation via a statement signed by the Commissioner for Information and Communications, Warisenibo Joe Johnson, the Rivers government said the report is not only false but a concocted propaganda from the enemies of the state.

The government urged Rivers people to ignore the report, adding that Fubara is committed to the rule of law and does not rely on unconventional and crude approaches to respond to matters of governance.

The statement reads, “The attention of Rivers State Government has been drawn to a spurious news item circulating on social media on “Gov. Siminalayi Fubara shutting down NNPCL and all oil companies in Rivers State”.

“The report was not only false, but a concocted propaganda from the imagination of the author and enemies of the State. The story was also circulated by an inconsequential and unverified medium

“Governor Siminalayi Fubara is committed to the rule of law and does not rely on unconventional and crude approaches to respond to matters of governance.

“We therefore enjoin Rivers people and well-meaning Nigerians to discountenance the spurious and fake report as Governor Fubara at no time contemplated and/or directed such needless order of shutting down the economy for any reason.”

Investors King reported that a Federal High Court in Abuja on Wednesday, restrained the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from releasing monthly allocations to the Rivers State Government.

The judge, Joyce Abdulmalik, in a judgement, held that the receipt and disbursement of monthly allocations since January 2024 by Governor Siminalayi Fubara of Rivers State is a constitutional somersault and aberration that must not be allowed to continue.

Abdulmalik submitted that the presentation of the 2024 budget by Fubara before a four-member Rivers State House of Assembly was an affront to the constitutional provision.

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