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Global Energy Crisis: Putin Demands Ruble Payment for Gas

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Russian ruler, Vladimir Putin has devised another means to frustrate and escalate the ongoing global energy crisis – per Bloomberg report, the Russian leader is set to demand the local currency, Ruble as payment for Russian Oil and Gas export.

According to the report, Russia plans to demand Ruble payments for purchases from European nations – deepening its fallout and standoff with the West and potentially increasing Europe’s worst energy crisis since the 1970s.

Following the report, gas prices are said to have surged more than 30% after Putin ordered the Russian central bank to develop a process that allows ruble payments for natural gas within a week at a meeting with his government.

Russia’s oil and gas supplies have been used as a major weapon between both Russia and the West over the ongoing war in Ukraine. Although the new directives by Russia are not clear, Investors King gathered that this move could be a breach of contract between Russia and a number of countries that purchase its resources. However, by demanding payments in rubles, Russia is essentially forcing European companies to directly increase value for its local currency after the value of the Ruble dropped due to sanctions placed on the Russian economy.

Investors King also gathered that the ruble has gained 7% against the dollar on Wednesday, 23rd March summing up its entire losses in the year to 23%.

Reactions To Putin’s Demands

Germany: Following Russia’s demand, Germany’s Economy Minister Robert Habeck, revealed that the demand for payment in the ruble is a breach of the contracts, and Germany will speak to its European partners on how to respond. Germany is the biggest buyer of Russian gas.

Italy: Revealed that it wasn’t inclined to pay for Russian gas in rubles because doing that could help Putin weaken Europe’s sanction regime. Italy is the second-biggest customer of Gazprom PJSC –  the Russian state export monopoly company.

The demand to pay in Ruble may be a huge problem for Russia as well because If Gazprom refuses to deliver gas when buyers pay their invoices in the original contract currency – usually euros – buyers may bring the case to arbitration. However, sales to the west accounted for some 70% of Gazprom’s 2021 export revenue which totalled some $69 billion and any changes to the payment procedures could “temporarily affect” Russia’s gas export volumes.

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Crude Oil

IOCs Stick to Dollar Dominance in Crude Oil Transactions with Modular Refineries

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Crude Oil - Investors King

International Oil Companies (IOCs) are standing firm on their stance regarding the currency denomination for crude oil transactions with modular refineries.

Despite earlier indications suggesting a potential shift towards naira payments, IOCs have asserted their preference for dollar dominance in these transactions.

The decision, communicated during a meeting involving indigenous modular refineries and crude oil producers, shows the complex dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy landscape.

While the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had previously hinted at the possibility of allowing indigenous refineries to purchase crude oil in either naira or dollars, IOCs have maintained a firm stance favoring the latter.

Under this framework, modular refineries would be required to pay 80% of the crude oil purchase amount in US dollars, with the remaining 20% to be settled in naira.

This arrangement, although subject to ongoing discussions, signals a significant departure from initial expectations of a more balanced currency allocation.

Representatives from the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) said the decision was not unilaterally imposed but rather reached through deliberations with relevant stakeholders, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

While there were initial hopes of broader flexibility in currency options, the dominant position of IOCs has steered discussions towards a more dollar-centric model.

Despite reservations expressed by some participants, including modular refinery operators, the consensus appears to lean towards accommodating the preferences of major crude oil suppliers.

The development underscores the intricate negotiations and power dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy sector, with implications for both domestic and international stakeholders.

As discussions continue, attention remains focused on how this decision will impact the operations and financial viability of modular refineries in Nigeria’s evolving oil landscape.

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Crude Oil

Brent Crude Hits $88.42, WTI Climbs to $83.36 on Dollar Index Dip

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices surged as Brent crude oil appreciated to $88.42 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to $83.36 a barrel.

The uptick in prices comes as the U.S. dollar index dipped to its lowest level in over a week, prompting investors to shift their focus from geopolitical tensions to global economic conditions.

The weakening of the U.S. dollar, a key factor influencing oil prices, provided a boost to dollar-denominated commodities like oil. As the dollar index fell, demand for oil from investors holding other currencies increased, leading to the rise in prices.

Investors also found support in euro zone data indicating a robust expansion in business activity, with April witnessing the fastest pace of growth in nearly a year.

Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, noted that the market had been under pressure due to sluggish growth in the euro zone, making any signs of improvement supportive for oil prices.

Market participants are increasingly looking beyond geopolitical tensions and focusing on economic indicators and supply-and-demand dynamics.

Despite initial concerns regarding tensions between Israel and Iran and uncertainties surrounding China’s economic performance, the market sentiment remained optimistic, buoyed by expectations of steady oil demand.

Analysts anticipate the release of key economic data later in the week, including U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures and March’s personal consumption expenditures, which serve as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.

These data points are expected to provide further insights into the health of the economy and potentially impact oil prices.

Also, anticipation builds around the release of U.S. crude oil inventory data by the Energy Information Administration, scheduled for Wednesday.

Preliminary reports suggest an increase in crude oil inventories alongside a decrease in refined product stockpiles, reflecting ongoing dynamics in the oil market.

As oil prices continue their upward trajectory, investors remain vigilant, monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments for further cues on the future direction of the market.

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NNPC and Newcross Set to Boost Awoba Unit Field Production to 12,000 bpd

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NNPC - Investors King

NNPC and Newcross Exploration and Production Ltd are working together to increase production at the Awoba Unit Field to 12,000 barrels per day (bpd) within the next 30 days.

This initiative, aimed at optimizing hydrocarbon asset production, follows the recent restart of operations at the Awoba field, which commenced this month after a hiatus.

The field, located in the mangrove swamp south of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, ceased production in 2021 due to logistical challenges and crude oil theft.

The joint venture between NNPC and Newcross is poised to bolster national revenue and meet OPEC production quotas, contributing significantly to Nigeria’s energy sector.

Mele Kyari, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, attributes this achievement to a conducive operating environment fostered by the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The endeavor underscores a collective effort involving stakeholders from various sectors, including staff, operators, host communities, and security agencies, aimed at revitalizing Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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