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Addiction to Fossil Fuels is ‘Mutually Assured Destruction’ – and it Could Hit Your Portfolio Too

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Not only will addiction to fossil fuels drive the world’s “mutually assured destruction,” it could also hit your investment portfolio, warns the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory, asset management and fintech organisations.

The warning from Nigel Green of deVere Group, a game-changing global financial giant, comes as UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres said at an event organised by The Economist: “Countries could become so consumed by the immediate fossil fuel supply gap that they neglect or knee-cap policies to cut fossil fuel use.

“This is madness. Addiction to fossil fuels is mutually assured destruction.”

Nigel Green comments: “The Secretary General is, of course, right. The race to replace Russian oil, gas and coal supplies could have catastrophic, irreversible consequences for the planet.

“The international scramble to fill the energy gap is putting in serious jeopardy the essential goal of capping global warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius set out in The Paris Agreement.

“It’s critical that countries around the world continue to work on their reduction of emissions in order that we have any chance of meeting the target of a 45% cut in global emissions by 2030.”

Last year deVere Group joined global financial powerhouses – the world’s two largest credit rating agencies, six major audit networks, three leading index providers, and two global stock exchanges – in becoming a founding member of a new international alliance that will help accelerate the transition to a net zero financial system.

The Net Zero Financial Services Providers alliance joins the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero, the UN group for financial institutions to make credible net zero commitments through the UN’s Race to Zero project.

The deVere CEO continues: “Hitting the brakes on decarbonisation is not only a serious issue for our planet, it could also hit investors’ portfolios if they move away from sustainable investments.

Impactful investments have been making up an increasingly large proportion of portfolios in recent years. Indeed, they have gone from ‘nice to have’ to a legitimate portfolio diversification tool that delivers profits with purpose.

“This trend should not change in the wake of the current geopolitical issues.  We are in extraordinary times, but these do not last forever – as financial history teaches us – and investments should remain future-focused.

Earlier this month, Nigel Green said the case for green energy being an investment megatrend of the decade has not changed for three key reasons.

First, governments and regulators are becoming increasingly pro-ESG which boosts investor confidence.  Second, as millennials, who are statistically more likely to seek responsible investment options, become the major beneficiaries of the largest intergenerational transfer of wealth – an estimated $30tn in the next few years – we can expect both retail and institutional investors to continue to pile into ESG. Third, the pandemic focused minds on the fact that the health of our planet directly affects human health which, in turn, affects the way we all live and work.  This global mindset shift represents enormous opportunities for investors.

The deVere CEO concludes: “Investors need to think carefully before rushing to reposition portfolios away from future-focused alternatives in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine situation.

“Climate change remains the greatest risk to economies and communities around the world – and there are major opportunities and high rewards for those who invest in a more sustainable future.”

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Possible Middle East War Tension Buoys Oil Prices

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Oil prices rose on Friday and settled with their biggest weekly gains in over a year on the threat of a wider war in the Middle East following Israel and Iran’s conflict.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian crude oil is priced, rose 43 cents (0.6%) to settle at $78.05 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate 9WTI) crude oil gained 67 cents (0.9%) to close at $74.38 per barrel.

Israel has vowed to strike Iran for launching a barrage of missiles at Israel on Tuesday after Israel assassinated the leader of Iran-backed Hezbollah a week ago.

Meanwhile, gains were limited as US President Joe Biden discouraged Israel from targeting Iranian oil facilities.

The development has oil analysts warning clients of the potential ramifications of a broader war in the Middle East.

Iranian oil tankers have started moving away from Kharg Island, Iran’s biggest oil export terminal, amid fears of an imminent attack by Israel on the most important crude export infrastructure in Iran.

Market analysts say that the OPEC spare capacity, concentrated in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), would compensate for an Iranian loss of supply.

They noted that an even more significant disruption to supply from the Middle East could lead to triple-digit oil prices, but nothing suggests that attacks on oil infrastructure in other producers in the region or the closure of the Strait of Hormuz are low-probability events.

JPMorgan commodities analysts wrote that an attack on Iranian energy facilities would not be Israel’s preferred course of action.

However, low levels of global oil inventories suggest that prices are set to be elevated until the conflict is resolved, they added.

Iran is a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+ with production of around 3.2 million barrels per day or 3 per cent of global output.

On Friday, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei appeared in public for the first time since his country launched the missile attack and said the country will not relent.

Supply fears have also eased in Libya as the country’s eastern-based government lifted the force majeure on output and exports just hours after a deal was reached for two compromise candidates to head the country’s central bank, which controls the country’s oil revenues.

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Oil Prices Surge as Fears of Israeli Strike on Iran Escalate

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Oil surged as markets braced for the possibility that Israel could strike Iran’s energy industry, the latest potential escalation of a conflict that began almost one year ago when Hamas attacked Israel.

Global benchmark Brent crude climbed near $77 after US President Joe Biden indicated Israel was weighing an attack on Iran’s oil infrastructure as a response to Iran’s missile attack on Israel, itself a response to Israel’s killing of leaders of Hezbollah and Hamas and an Iranian general.

When asked if he would support a new Israeli attack, Biden responded “we’re discussing that.”

Israel meanwhile continued to strike Lebanon, killing nine people at a medical site in central Beirut, local authorities said, among other targets. Israel has said it’s targeting Hezbollah militants while Lebanese officials said the attacks have killed more than 1,300 people and displaced over a million.

Tel Aviv also has warned civilians in southern Lebanon to evacuate as Israeli forces expand a ground invasion there. —Margaret Sutherlin

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Oil Adds $3 Per Barrel as Israel, Iran Conflict Spike Fears on Supply

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Oil prices gained $3 on Thursday as concerns mounted that a widening regional conflict in the Middle East could disrupt global crude flows with Israel reportedly planning to target Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, inched higher by $3.72, or 5.03 percent to close at $77.62 a barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by $3.61, or 5.15 percent to $73.71.

Prices have continued to rise in the aftermath of Iran’s Tuesday attack on Israel, which involved around 200 missiles.

Following the missile barrage, Israel’s ground troops clashed with Hezbollah forces in southern Lebanon, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowing separate revenge on Iran.

The latest round of escalation was sparked by Israel’s sanctioned elimination of Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah and Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh.

The tension was further sparked after US President Joe Biden indicated that there is a possibility of Israel striking Iran’s oil facilities.

This is after Israeli officials said on Wednesday that Israel could target Iran’s strategic energy infrastructure, including oil and gas rigs or nuclear installations, which would have the biggest economic impact, and send shockwaves through oil markets.

Iran is a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) with production of around 3.2 million barrels per day or 3 percent of global output.

Market analysts also raised concerns that such escalation could prompt Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz or attack Saudi infrastructure as it did in 2019. The strait is a key logistical chokepoint through which 20 percent of daily oil supply passes.

The market will also weigh development coming from Libya as oil production resumed after more than a month of suspended output due to a political standoff between the eastern and western administrations in the North African OPEC producer.

The end of this Libyan crisis will lead to the return of a few hundred thousand barrels of crude per day to the market.

Also, US crude inventories rose by 3.9 million barrels to 417 million barrels in the week ended September 27, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday.

A rise in inventories shows that the US market is well-supplied and can withstand any disruptions.

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