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Dangote Refinery Obligated To Buy 300,000 Bpd of NNPC’s Crude Oil – Kyari

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Nigeria Port-Harcourt refinery

Mele Kyari, group managing director (GMD) of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) has said that the Dangote Refinery must buy at least 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil from the Corporation.

Kyari made this known on Wednesday during his presentation to the House of Representatives Committee on Finance interactive session on some burning issues affecting the oil industry.

He explained that NNPC’s equity shareholding interest in the Dangote Refinery which was procured at the instance of the corporation was designed to guarantee national energy security.

He stated that the equity interest was secured after due consideration of the national interest and the best possible options.

“We will have the right to 20 percent of production from this facility. We structured our equity participation on the basis that the refinery must buy at least 300,000 barrels of crude oil per day of our production. This guarantees our market at a period when every country is struggling to find a market for their crude oil’’ he explained.

Kyari clarified revenue projection for 2022-2024 Revenue Framework and provided a base oil price scenario in the medium term as follows: $57 per barrel for 2022, $61 per barrel for 2023 and $62 per barrel for 2024.

He explained that the assumptions were arrived at after a careful appraisal of the three-year historical dated Brent Oil Price average of $59.07 per barrel premised on Platts Spot Prices.

“Price growth is to be moderated by the lingering concerns over COVID-19, increased energy efficiency, switching due to increased utilization of gas and alternatives for electricity generation. These are reflected in the Medium Term Revenue Framework’’ Kyari said.

On the perennial issue of smuggling of petroleum products, the GMD implored the National Assembly to come to the aid of the Corporation in battling the menace, noting that the Corporation, based on the directive of President Muhammadu Buhari, had mobilised some Federal agencies like the Customs, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), the Police, Civil Defence Corps and others, to find workable solutions to the menace.

Kyari spoke on the propriety of establishing NNPC retail stations in neighboring countries to curb the challenge of illegal haulage of petroleum products across the border, saying that though the NNPC once considered the option, it had to jettison the idea when it became imperative that the measure would be counterproductive.

According to him, people who are smuggling are not looking for officially priced petroleum products. He explained that going ahead to establish NNPC Retail stations would not yield the desired result since the people who take products across the border are not interested in selling at the official prevailing prices at approved stations but are interested in under-the-counter deals.

Chairman of the House Committee on Finance Abiodun James Faleke, in his remarks, commended the NNPC GMD for providing an in-depth explanation and insider perspective on some issues surrounding the operations of the NNPC and the Oil Industry stating: “You have made our day. The committee is better informed based on explanations provided by the GMD.”

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Crude Oil

Oil Gains 1 Percent on Possible Tight Supply 

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Oil prices - Investors King

Oil prices rose on Tuesday as analysts pointed to signs of U.S. supply tightness, ending days of losses as global markets remain haunted by the potential impact on China’s economy of a crisis at heavily indebted property group China Evergrande.

Brent crude gained 95 cents or 1.3% to $74.87 a barrel by 0645 GMT, having fallen by almost 2% on Monday. The contract for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) , which expires later on Tuesday, was up 91 cents or 1.3% at $71.20 after dropping 2.3% in the previous session.

Global utilities are switching to fuel oil due to rising gas and coal prices, and lingering outages from the Gulf of Mexico after Hurricane Ada that imply less supply is available, ANZ analysts said.

“While slowing Chinese economic growth and uncertainty around the (U.S.) Fed’s tapering timetable weighed on market sentiment, other developments still point to higher oil prices,” ANZ Research said in a note.

Still, investors across financial assets have been rocked by the fallout from heavily indebted Evergrande (3333.HK) and the threat of a wider market shakeout in the longer term.

“Evergrande’s woes are threatening the outlook for the world’s second-largest economy and making some investors question China’s growth outlook and whether it is safe to invest there,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.

While that view of the state of China’s economy is weighing on markets, the U.S. Federal Reserve is also expected to start tightening monetary policy – likely to make investors warier of riskier assets such as oil.

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Crude Oil

Crude Oil Drops as U.S Dollar Extends Gain

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Crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices declined on Monday after the United States Dollar rose to a three-week high and the U.S oil rig count increased amid drop in U.S. Gulf of Mexico output.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian crude oil is priced, sheds $1.03 or 1.37 percent to $74.31 per barrel at 9.38 am Nigerian time. While the U.S West Texas Intermediate oil declined by $1.18 or 1.64 per barrel to $70.79 a barrel.

The recent increase in dollar strength against global currencies has dragged on crude oil outlook as energy investors cut down on imports to avoid possible market headwinds. Strong U.S. dollar priced crude oil is more expensive for holders of other currencies.

U.S dollar rose to a three-week high after retail sales unexpected rose by 0.7 percent in the month of August. The increase bolstered expectations that the U.S Federal Reserve will start cuttiing down on asset purchases later this year.

“U.S. consumption is not slowing as quickly as it appeared a month ago despite the fading stimulus, and the Delta variant did not much affect the industries feeding into retail sales,” said Chris Low, chief economist at FHN Financial in New York. “The economy continued to hum in August.”

According to the researchers at ING Bank, strong US dollar over the last few days has provided some headwinds to the market.

Also, an increase in U.S rig count to 512 in the week ended September 17, 2021 clouded the oil market. Oil rige rose by 9, the highest since April 2020.

Still, as at Friday 23 percent of U.S. Gulf of Mexico crude output, or 422,078 barrels per day, remained shut, stated the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement.

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Crude Oil

Oil Slips With Energy Prices in Europe Halts Record Rally

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Oil dipped toward $72 a barrel in New York after prices of energy commodities in Europe halted a record-breaking run.

West Texas Intermediate futures fell 0.6%, having reached the highest intraday level since early August on Wednesday. A rally in European gas and power prices to unprecedented levels was set to end as industries were starting to curb consumption. The surge in energy rates could temporarily boost diesel demand by as much as 2 million barrels a day as consumers switch fuels, according to Citigroup Inc.

Still, the bullish signals for oil are continuing to increase. U.S. crude inventories dropped by more than 6 million barrels last week to a two-year low, according to government figures, as coronavirus vaccination programs permit economies to reopen. Chevron Corp. Chief Executive Officer Mike Wirth warned that the world is facing high energy prices for the foreseeable future.

The investor optimism is showing up in key oil time spreads widening. Trading of bullish Brent options also surged to a two-month high on Wednesday.

Prices have been pushed higher in recent days “by supply outages combined with expectations of switching from gas to oil in the power sector,” said Helge Andre Martinsen, a senior oil market analyst at DNB Bank ASA. “We still believe in softer prices toward year-end and early next year as curtailed production returns and OPEC+ continues to increase production.”

Strong prices for gas, liquefied natural gas and oil are expected to last “for a while” as producers resist the urge to drill again, Chevron’s Wirth told Bloomberg News. Norway’s Equinor ASA said Thursday it also expects European gas prices to remain high over winter.

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