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Low Fixed Income Yields, Improved Economic Conditions and Renewed Optimism Propelled 2020 Bullish Run – Onyema

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CEO of the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), Mr

Low Fixed Income Yields, Improved Economic Conditions and Renewed Optimism Propelled 2020 Bullish Run – Onyema

Mr. Oscar N. Onyema, OON, the Chief Executive Officer, Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), on Tuesday, identified some of the factors responsible for 2020 end of the year bullish run during his presentation at the annual 2020 Market Recap and 2021 Outlook.

The CEO explained that while COVID-19 plunged stock prices due to huge sell-off in the first quarter, renewed investor optimism following series of adjustments made by the Federal Government to arrest the situation in the second half of the year bolstered economic conditions and stimulate the 50.3 percent gain recorded for the year 2020 by the Nigerian Stock Exchange.

Mr. Onyema stated, “The year 2020 was indeed a historic one for global capital markets. Facing buffeting headwinds, world markets saw sharp swings and steep losses but largely remained resilient and orderly amid rising uncertainty. For The Exchange, renewed investor optimism coupled with improved economic conditions and low fixed income yields propelled a year-end bull run. Of 93 global equity indices tracked by Bloomberg, the NSE All-Share Index (ASI) emerged as the best-performing index in the world, surpassing the S&P 500 (+16.26%), Dow Jones Industrial Index (+7.25%), and other global and African market indexes, to post a one-year return of +50.03%.”

Explaining the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, he said the global capital market lost USD 18 trillion between February and March 2020 alone. However, global markets rebounded to the pre-pandemic level in June 2020, largely due to stimulus packages, monetary policy actions and public health responses from the world governments and economic actors.

On product performance, he said the Nigerian equities market recovered following the “formal declaration of the U.S president-elect, unattractive fixed income yields, and better-than-expected corporate earnings, the NSE ASI recovered from Q1’20, to close the year at 40,270.72 (+50.03%) and erase losses of -14.90% recorded in 2019. During its remarkable year-end run, the ASI gained 6.23% in a single trading session which triggered a 30-minute halt of trading on all stocks for the first time since the NSE Circuit Breaker was introduced in 2016 to safeguard market integrity in periods of extraordinary volatility.”

“At the close of the year, the NSE’s equity market capitalization was up by 62.42%, from N12.97 trillion in 2019 to N21.06 trillion in 2020 while market turnover saw an uptick of 7.25%, from N0.96Tn in 2019 to N1.03Tn in 2020. Although Initial Public Offering activity was mute, the value of supplementary issues increased dramatically from 2019, rising by 851.37% to N1.42 trillion, from N148.77 billion. Also noteworthy is that for the second consecutive year, equity market transactions were dominated by domestic investors who accounted for 65.28% of market turnover by value (Retail: 44.98%; Institutional: 55.02%) while foreign portfolio investors accounted for 34.72%.

“Capital-raising activities in the fixed income market increased significantly in 2020. The NSE’s bond market capitalization rose by 35.52% from N12.92 trillion in 2019 to N17.50 trillion. Continuing the trend in recent years, the Federal Government of Nigeria dominated issuances, raising over N2.36 trillion which comprised ~92% of total bond issuances. Corporates also leveraged the low yield environment to fund expansion objectives and pursue debt refinancing, raising a total of N192 billion.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigerian Stock Market Sinks as Benchmark Index Hits January Levels

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stock bear - Investors King

The Nigerian equity market closed in the red on Tuesday as the benchmark index plummeted to levels last seen in January.

The All-Share Index (ASI) dropped to 97,473.98 points, mirroring the bearish sentiment that prevailed earlier in the year.

Similarly, the market capitalization of listed stocks also experienced a sharp decline, falling to N55.132 trillion, a level reminiscent of the market’s performance in January when it reached N55.583 trillion.

This decline marks a stark reversal from the bullish trend that characterized the latter part of 2023 and spilled over into the early months of 2024.

Analysts had long anticipated a correction in the market, citing the unsustainable nature of the rally driven largely by sentiment rather than fundamental economic or market improvements.

David Adonri, a seasoned stockbroker, described the previous bullish run as sentiment-driven, noting that while the equities market had recorded impressive gains of 39.84 percent in the first quarter of 2024, it lacked substantial support from economic or market fundamentals.

Despite efforts to reignite investor interest through corporate actions and announcements, such as the Central Bank of Nigeria’s plans for a recapitalization exercise, the market struggled to maintain momentum.

Other investment avenues offering better yields further diverted attention away from equities.

The day’s trading session saw notable declines in the share prices of key players such as Dangote Sugar and PZ Cussons, both recording a 10 per cent drop, extending their stay on the losers’ chart.

The Initiates Plc, a waste management firm, also witnessed a similar decline in its share price.

Trading activities painted a gloomy picture as total deals, volume, and value all depreciated significantly compared to the previous day.

Sectoral performance reflected the overall bearish sentiment with declines observed in banking, insurance, and consumer goods indices.

While the industrial goods index saw a marginal rise, the oil and gas sector remained stable amidst the turmoil.

AccessCorp emerged as the most traded security by volume, while GTCO led in traded value, highlighting investor interest in specific stocks despite the market-wide downturn.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

AVA Infrastructure Series 1 Fund Now Available for Trading on NGX Platform

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The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) has added another financial instrument to its trading platform with the listing of the AVA Infrastructure Series 1 Fund.

Valued at N4.08 billion, this closed-end fund is a step towards addressing Nigeria’s infrastructure gaps.

The AVA Infrastructure Series 1 Fund, comprising 4,075 units, debuted on the Main Board of the NGX at a unit price of N1 million.

As a naira-denominated unit trust scheme, it presents investors with an opportunity to participate in strategic investments aimed at bolstering the country’s infrastructure sectors.

This listing, facilitated by AVA Global Asset Managers Limited, signifies a concerted effort to channel institutional capital into critical infrastructure projects.

With Nigeria facing persistent challenges in areas like power, telecommunications, and agribusiness infrastructure, the fund’s objective is to provide debt financing to support such ventures.

Efe Shaire, Managing Director of AVA Global Asset Managers, highlighted the fund’s mission to strategically allocate private financing to projects that promise stable cash flows and long-term viability.

By focusing on initiatives vital to economic and social development, the fund aims to deliver consistent and reliable income to its unit holders.

The AVA Infrastructure Series 1 Fund is part of a broader initiative to encourage innovation and investment in key sectors. It seeks to support projects that offer essential services and contribute to sustainable economic growth.

This listing comes after AVA Global Asset Managers received approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission earlier in the year for a N200 billion AVA Infrastructure Fund Programme. The successful debut of the AVA Infrastructure Series 1 Fund on the NGX platform underscores the growing interest in infrastructure investment and the potential for private capital to address Nigeria’s pressing development needs.

Investors now have the opportunity to participate in this landmark initiative, contributing to the country’s infrastructure development while potentially earning attractive returns on their investment. As Nigeria continues to prioritize infrastructure improvement, funds like AVA Infrastructure Series 1 play a crucial role in driving progress and fostering economic resilience.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigerian Equities Drop 1.36% on PZ Cussons, Secure Electronic Technology Losses

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

The Nigerian equities market declined by 1.36% last week, largely driven by losses incurred by prominent companies like PZ Cussons and Secure Electronic Technology.

The All-Share Index depreciated to 98,233.76 points while market capitalization shed 1.35% to close the week at N55.56 trillion.

PZ Cussons, a leading consumer goods company, experienced a significant setback, plunging by 26.97%.

Similarly, Secure Electronic Technology, known for its contributions to Nigeria’s electronic security sector, saw a notable decline of 16.95%. These losses, among others, contributed to the overall bearish sentiment in the market.

On the flip side, amidst the downturn, some equities managed to buck the trend and recorded gains.

Tantalizers, a prominent fast-food chain, led the pack with a remarkable surge of 27.78%. FTN Cocoa Processors and Presco followed suit, registering gains of 20% and 15.31%, respectively.

The trading volume and value also saw an uptick compared to the previous week. Investors traded 2.187 billion shares worth N50.667 billion in 45,277 deals, reflecting increased market activity.

The financial services industry emerged as the most active sector, contributing significantly to both volume and value of trades.

The United Bank for Africa Plc, Nigerian Breweries Plc, and Access Holdings Plc emerged as the top three traded stocks, collectively accounting for a significant portion of the total equity turnover volume and value.

Their performance underscored investor interest in key players across various sectors despite the prevailing market downturn.

This decline in Nigerian equities comes amidst broader economic challenges facing the country, including inflationary pressures, currency fluctuations, and lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Also, uncertainties surrounding global economic trends and geopolitical tensions continue to impact investor sentiment and market dynamics.

The market downturn highlights the importance of diligent risk management and strategic investment decisions in navigating volatile market conditions.

Investors are advised to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making investment choices, especially in light of the current market environment.

“Looking ahead to the coming week, mixed sentiment is anticipated in the market as bulls and bears vie for dominance, while market players remain attuned to corporate actions in anticipation of dividend income. Despite this, pockets of gains are expected as fiscal and monetary policies strive to steer the nation’s economy towards recovery, notwithstanding the forthcoming April 2024 CPI report and Q1 2024 Nigeria’s GDP report,” Cowry Asset analysts projected.

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