A senior analyst at Citibank has established a unique similarity between the gold market of the 1970s and the bitcoin current trend.
In a report to Citibank institutional clients, Thomas Fitzpatrick, the global head of Citibank’s FXTechnicals market insight product, said the world’s most dominant cryptocurrency price swings is “exactly the kind of thing that sustains a long-term trend.”
This he likened to what happened to gold in the early 1970s when it was allowed to float after 50 years of trading in a $20-$30 range.
“That period with regard to the Gold price was a structural change in the modern day monetary regime as it broke the orthodox relationship between fiat currencies and Gold, ushering in a World of fiscal indiscipline, deficits and inflation.”
“The Bitcoin move happened in the aftermath of the Great Financial Crisis which saw a new change in the monetary regime as we went to ZERO per cent interest rate (negative in some countries) and massive QE.”
He said because bitcoin is an asset with limited supply and moves across borders easily with opaque ownership (a very relevant point), therefore, the huge fiscal deterioration of today has a cost in the future, either directly or indirectly.
He explained that “Directly, it is that at some point the bills have to be paid which means at some time in the future the money needs to be found. While Bitcoin may become subject to more regulatory constraints going forward it is a natural store of money to avoid this. Indirectly, the argument can be the debasement of FIAT currencies by creating high nominal growth and inflation (effectively a soft default- I do not believe hard default, particularly in the World’s reserve currency is a real concern. However in lesser currencies it could well be).”
Fitzpatrick, through a bitcoin’s weekly chart, used technical analysis of previous highs and lows to predict a target of $318,000 by December 2021.
According to ClassicMacro, the Twitter handle that tweeted the Citibank project, “This kind of technical analysis is of little value. There is no edge in guessing targets so far in time with TA. All we know is that price is likely to continue going up.”
“Readers loves this,” commented ClassicMacro. “What matters here is Citi’s clients being exposed to the bitcoin moon.”
Binance US is Eyeing an IPO, Says Changpeng Zhao
“Our partner in the U.S. is looking at the potential IPO [initial public offering] route,” Zhao said on Friday at the “Redefine Tomorrow” event organized by SCB 10X — the venture arm of Thailand’s oldest Siam Commercial Bank. The IPO route, however, “is not 100% fixed yet,” he said.
After Coinbase’s listing earlier this year on Nasdaq, the U.S. now has an ecosystem where crypto companies can go public, according to Zhao. Indeed, several U.S.-based crypto firms, including Gemini, Kraken, and Circle, are looking to do just that.
As for Binance itself, Zhao said an IPO is not in immediate plans, but that might change in the future. This is a notable change from what Zhao told The Block earlier this year. At the time, he said Binance wants to take a more crypto-native “path” forward, i.e., expanding the utility of its “utility token” BNB, instead of doing a traditional IPO.
But now before Binance itself could go for an IPO, it will need to change its company structure, said Zhao, because most regulators want to see a headquarters, an office, or a legal entity.
“We are setting up those structures,” he said. “Once those structures are in place, you may make it easier for an IPO to happen. So that’s not out of the question. But right now, we are still in the early stages.”
The crypto space is now “relatively heavily regulated,” according to Zhao. To that end, Binance has to make a “big pivot from a technology startup into a financial services company,” said Zhao.
Crypto now is “very much understood as a financial asset type, we just got to treat it as such, and we have got to run the company as such,” he said.
And given increased regulatory attention, Binance is also stepping up its compliance efforts, said Zhao. “We are hiring many traditional compliance people, also ex regulators” to improve Binance’s communication with regulators, he said. He acknowledged that communicating with regulators is currently not one of Binance’s core strengths.
Now Zhao is, in fact, looking for a new Binance CEO, one he hopes will have a “very strong regulatory background.” He first disclosed his plans to step down to The Block earlier this year. At the time, he said he would like to resign from the CEO role in the next two to five years to focus entirely on growing the BNB and Binance Smart Chain ecosystems. Those plans now appear to be firmer.
Binance has long been subject to global regulatory scrutiny, with an increased focus in recent weeks. Government agencies in the U.S., the U.K., Japan, Italy, Thailand, Poland, and the Cayman Islands, have all either issued warnings or taken action against the exchange.
Bitcoin Will Hit All-time Highs Again This Year, Crypto is Inevitable Future: deVere CEO
Bitcoin will hit its previous all-time highs again by the end of the year with prices driven higher by the “carefully considered arguments” and “new measured tone” being put forward by the likes of Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey and Cathie Wood, affirms the CEO of deVere Group.
The bullish Bitcoin price prediction from Nigel Green, chief executive and founder of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and fintech organisations, follows Wednesday’s The B Word Conference.
At the live virtual event, Tesla and Space X founder Elon Musk, Twitter founder Jack Dorsey, and Ark Investment’s Cathie Wood all advocated for the cryptocurrency and talked about its massive future potential.
Bitcoin surged as much as 10% on the back of their comments.
Nigel Green says: “Musk, Dorsey and Wood are three of the most important and forward-thinking business leaders of our time. What they say matters.
“Crucially, the tone was less sensationalist than it has been in past, with all the panelists putting across carefully considered, fact-based arguments about why they are all bullish on the future of Bitcoin and crypto generally.
“This will not have gone unnoticed by investors.
“As such, I believe that with these hugely influential figures pursuing this stance and this new tone, we can expect the price of Bitcoin to hit, or even surpass, its mid-April all-time high of $65,000 by the end of 2021.”
Demand will boom because of what Musk, Dorsey and Wood said for two main reasons, says Mr Green.
“First, both institutional and retail investors were given a considerable crypto confidence boost by comments the panelists made about their own multinational businesses and their visions for the future.
“Musk, one of the world’s most successful and richest entrepreneurs, confirmed for the first time that both of his companies, Tesla and Space X, and that he personally, owned Bitcoin. And that neither he nor his companies, will sell the cryptocurrency. He also revealed Tesla is likely to restart taking payments in Bitcoin.
“Similarly, Dorsey hinted that Twitter will soon allow advertisers to pay for advertising on the giant social platform in crypto.
“He went on to say the cryptocurrency could function as the internet’s ‘native currency’ and this would help all businesses in a much faster way.
“Second, Dorsey and Wood – and Musk to a lesser degree – addressed the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining, an issue which has weighed heavy on the price in recent months.”
Wood, in particular, spoke about how Bitcoin aligns with the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investing growth trend.
She highlighted how Bitcoin “will be much more environmentally friendly—certainly more than traditional gold mining or the traditional financial services sector. In many ways, it already is.”
She added that Bitcoin has much to offer in the ‘social’ bracket “by providing financially underserved people with “access to payment technology… everywhere around the world without friction”; and the ‘governance’ bracket by offering transparency “unlike the opaqueness of financial systems and the toll-takers in the traditional financial world.”
The deVere CEO affirms: “All of this will help drive Bitcoin prices higher and this will have a knock-on effect to the wider crypto market.”
He concludes: “The message from mega-influencers Elon Musk, Jack Dorsey and Cathie Wood was clear: crypto is the inevitable future.”
Digital-only Cryptocurrency Artwork Predicted to Sell for $270,000+
A digital artwork that only exists as a high-resolution file by British artist Adrian Chesterman, and which showcases the parallel between traditional money and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, is expected to surpass its reservation price of $160,000.
The Crypto Train, which is now in an online auction specializing in the hottest new investment trend, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), was viewed by several of its owners’ high profile clients before going live.
NFTs are digital collectibles that are encoded onto a blockchain – the same technology on which cryptocurrencies run – creating a unique digital watermark showing ownership and the digital rights to that collectible.
In recent months many major household name artists and musicians, as well as global sports franchises and fashion brands have launched their own NFTS. In April, auction house Christie’s sold a digital-only artwork, and it became the third-most-expensive work ever sold by a living artist.
“Even before The Crypto Train went to auction, we received significant offers from serious crypto enthusiasts and Silicon Valley investors who are the ones who currently seem to most understand this exploding virtual investment trend,” says Stephen Howes, Director of Thomas Crown Art, a leading independent international art agency.
He continues: “They know – like most major global brands are just now only getting to know – that NFTs are an investment megatrend of the decade.
“This is the next stage in art history and they don’t want to miss out on the early adoption stage. This is why they were expressing keen interest before the auction, probably hoping to bag themselves a bargain.
“This pre-auction interest suggests that the artwork will surpass its $160,000 reservation tag. I wouldn’t be surprised if it were eventually sold for $270,000+, such is the demand.”
Howes adds: “But the interest is not only driven by investment potential. In its own right as a piece of art, it’s a fascinating piece which depicts the never-seen-before battle for dominance between traditional and cryptocurrencies in the increasingly digitalised global financial system.”
The Crypto Train
Of the digital artwork, internationally renowned artist Adrian Chesterman (London, 1955) says: “My mission was to create a visual metaphor which could bridge the historic distance between traditional monetary mechanisms, such as gold and coins, and the new virtual world of cryptocurrency, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.
“I considered a locomotive to be the perfect vehicle to represent such a metaphysical journey, being as it is a land-based, fast-moving machine that relentlessly pushes in one direction…. forwards. A mechanical beast that is powerful, unstoppable, magnificent, man-made but inherently beautiful.”
He goes on to add: “Wealth and its material presentments, such as gold, coins, banknotes and crypto, are all functional solely by the consent of society.
“They have ‘value’ only by the fact we are all in agreement that they should have value as such.
“Therefore, cryptocurrency has the same effective value as any of the others, even gold which of course has no inherent value of its own. We imbued the monetary value upon it, same as banknotes, coins and crypto, by mutual consent.
“This is why the monetary representations contained within the image are semi-transparent and nebulous, here but not here, ethereal but real. For now, anyway.”
Chesterman had his first exhibition of paintings at Liberty’s in Regent Street whilst still at the Royal College of Art London, progressing to exhibitions in the Pompidou Centre in Paris, amongst other major international galleries.
A multi-talented artist, he has worked on the publicity art for Spielberg’s Jurassic Park; the set for Andrew Lloyd-Webber’s Sunset Boulevard; advertising commissions for Coca Cola; original designs for theme parks in the United Arab Emirates and China; Spiderman games for MGA in Los Angeles; illustrated innumerable book covers, notably for Jackie Collins, Jack Higgins and Dick Francis; and he has illustrated many music album covers including the acclaimed Bomber cover for Motörhead, The Meaning of Life album and book cover for the Monty Python team and the acclaimed The Road to Hell album cover for Chris Rea, amongst many other projects.
Of Chesterman’s The Crypto Train digital artwork, Stephen Howes recognizes that there are still many NFT skeptics.
He affirms: “Those who knock the idea of art solely in digital form would have been those people who knocked the potential of the internet in the 90s and who would have said Amazon as an online retailer ‘won’t catch on’ in the 2000s.”
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