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Stock Investors Pricing-in Joe Biden Win Ahead of U.S Presidential Election

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Wall Street New York Stock Exchange

A Biden Win is Priced-in, Unusually Markets Seem to Support ‘Blue Wave’ Victory

Stock markets are already pricing-in a Biden win in the U.S. presidential election in 11 days – and, against conventional wisdom, a Democrat victory will be welcomed by investors.

The assessment from Nigel Green, the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and fintech organisations, comes as President Trump and Joe Biden faced off in their final 2020 presidential debate on Thursday night.

The candidates sparred over the coronavirus pandemic, the stock market, the economy, immigration and foreign policy.

Mr Green comments: “The last debate was certainly more civil than the previous encounter, but it didn’t add much more to what we already know about the candidates’ personal and policy differences.

“Therefore, we can expect the markets to continue pricing-in a Biden win, something which has begun in earnest in recent weeks.

“This has been evidenced by investors piling into renewables, industrials and other sectors that could benefit from Joe Biden sweeping into power on a ‘blue wave’ victory.”

He continues: “Conventional wisdom suggests a Democratic win would be negative for markets due to higher taxes, more regulation, and higher spending amongst other things.

“But there’s nothing conventional this time around.”

The deVere CEO notes: “The massive extra stimulus of up to $3trn wanted by Democrats in January would buoy the markets and would have investors think about a broader-based economic recovery – rather than a narrower, tech-heavy one.

“Cyclical stocks are likely to outperform on the back of this fiscal stimulus and the inflationary expectations.

“This scenario would prompt most analysts to upgrade U.S. economic growth forecasts.”

He adds: “In addition, there is likely to be a cooling down of tensions with China on trade and other issues which have been important sources of turbulence on stock markets over the last four years.

“More stability and certainty from the White House will be championed by investors.”

Mr Green concludes: “Wall Street does have a hit-and-miss track record of predicting the election outcomes, but for now markets are betting on Biden – and, unusually, they seem to favour a significant Democrat win.”

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

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Nigerian Stock Exchange

Nigerian Stock Market Sheds N12 Billion Amid Profit Taking

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Stock - Investors King

Broad-based profit-taking dragged on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) on Wednesday even though businesses have started releasing their third-quarter earnings reports.

Trading activities dropped during the trading hours of Wednesday as investors transacted 284,601,047 shares worth N3.203 billion in 5,036 deals, against 353,233,206 shares estimated at N5.569 billion traded in 5,322 transactions on Tuesday.

NGX All-Share Index contracted by 0.06 percent to 41,789.59 index points, down from 41,814.94 index points it closed on Tuesday. Market value of listed equities dipped by N12 billion from N21.821 trillion on Tuesday to N21.809 trillion on Wednesday.

Living Trust led gainers with N0.07 or 9.59 percent to settle at N0.80 a share. Followed by the N0.09 or 9.57 percent increase recorded by AIICO after publishing its third-quarter report on Wednesday. University Press remained among top five gainers for the second consecutive week, posting N0.15 or 0.09 percent gain on Wednesday.

The battle for the control of FBN Holdings continues as it led the most trade equities again with a total traded shares of 75,458,656 shares valued at N898,012,945.70. See other details below.

Top Five Gainers

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
LIVINGTRUST N 0.73 N 0.80 0.07 9.59 %
AIICO N 0.94 N 1.03 0.09 9.57 %
UPL N 1.65 N 1.80 0.15 9.09 %
REDSTAREX N 3.20 N 3.40 0.20 6.25 %
TOTAL N 207.60 N 220.00 12.40 5.97 %

Top Five Losers

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
GLAXOSMITH N 7.00 N 6.30 -0.70 -10.00 %
TRANSCOHOT N 5.97 N 5.38 -0.59 -9.88 %
FBNH N 12.40 N 11.65 -0.75 -6.05 %
VERITASKAP N 0.23 N 0.22 -0.01 -4.35 %
AFRIPRUD N 6.35 N 6.10 -0.25 -3.94 %

Top Fiver Trades

Symbols Volume Value
FBNH 75458656.00 898012945.70
AIICO 18418170.00 17809728.91
ETI 17320235.00 137321766.75
TRANSCORP 15207489.00 15492407.42
FIDELITYBK 14029439.00 38524667.95

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Nigerian Stock Exchange

Stock Market Closes Flat on Tuesday as Activities Drop

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) closed flat on Tuesday after posting a N27 billion gain on Monday.

Investors exchanged 353,233,206 shares estimated at N5.569 billion in 5,322 transactions during the trading hours of Tuesday, against 674,498,620 shares worth N7.591 billion that were traded in 5,432 deals on Monday.

The NGX All-Share Index closed flat at 41,814.94 index points on Tuesday. Similarly, the market value of all listed equities remained unchanged at N21.821 trillion.

FBN Holdings continue to lead the most traded stocks with 73062391 shares worth N906,754,975.05 on Tuesday. This was followed by GTCO Plc’s 25039191 shares valued at N715,262,785.80 following a healthy financial statement released for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021, on Tuesday. GTCO’s profit after tax rose by 4.11 percent to N49.986 billion.

Universal Insurance led gainers with N0.02 or 10 percent gain to close at N0.22 a share. University Plc emerged second with N0.15 or 10 percent increase to settle at N1.65 a unit. See other details below.

Top Five Trades

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
UNIVINSURE N 0.20 N 0.22 0.02 10.00 %
UPL N 1.50 N 1.65 0.15 10.00 %
COURTVILLE N 0.41 N 0.45 0.04 9.76 %
ABBEYBDS N 0.86 N 0.94 0.08 9.30 %
INTBREW N 4.85 N 5.30 0.45 9.28 %

Top Fiver Losers

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
ABCTRANS N 0.34 N 0.31 -0.03 -8.82 %
FTNCOCOA N 0.48 N 0.45 -0.03 -6.25 %
CUTIX N 6.40 N 6.05 -0.35 -5.47 %
NGXGROUP N 20.60 N 19.65 -0.95 -4.61 %
SOVRENINS N 0.24 N 0.23 -0.01 -4.17 %

Top Five Trades

Symbols Volume Value
FBNH 73062391.00 906754975.05
GTCO 25039191.00 715262785.80
UNIVINSURE 22770945.00 4919056.91
UBA 20331377.00 171208252.90
TRANSCORP 18437370.00 18864207.86

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Nigerian Stock Exchange

Nigerian Stock Market Gains N27 Billion on Monday

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) opened the week in green as more stocks extended their gains on Monday.

Market value of all listed stocks rose by N27 billion from N21.794 trillion it closed on Friday to N21.821 trillion on Monday. While the NSE All-Share Index appreciated by 0.12 percent to 41,814.74 index points, up from 41,763.26 index points it closed on Friday.

Investors traded 674,498,620 shares worth N7.591 billion in 5,432 transactions during the trading hours of Monday.

PZ led gainers with N0.55 or 9.32 percent to close at N6.45 per share. This was followed by Mutual Benefits Assurance Plc with N0.02 or 7.14 percent to settle at N0.30 a unit. See other details below.

Top Five Gainers

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
PZ N 5.90 N 6.45 0.55 9.32 %
MBENEFIT N 0.28 N 0.30 0.02 7.14 %
UNILEVER N 14.50 N 15.50 1.00 6.90 %
MANSARD N 2.31 N 2.46 0.15 6.49 %
CUTIX N 6.05 N 6.40 0.35 5.79 %

Top Five Losers 

Symbols Last Close Current Change %Change
ABBEYBDS N 0.95 N 0.86 -0.09 -9.47 %
PRESTIGE N 0.47 N 0.43 -0.04 -8.51 %
REGALINS N 0.41 N 0.38 -0.03 -7.32 %
CILEASING N 4.70 N 4.40 -0.30 -6.38 %
NGXGROUP N 22.00 N 20.60 -1.40 -6.36 %

Top Five Trades

Symbols Volume Value
FBNH 350541622.00 4345726068.70
ETI 45642660.00 347799322.85
UNIVINSURE 33914599.00 6782919.80
TRANSCORP 32576994.00 33205137.68
GTCO 21476241.00 614370055.60

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