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Global Markets Rise on Stimulus Hopes – but Avoid ‘Buy Everything’ Mindset

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Global stock markets have been cheered on hopes of fresh fiscal stimulus in the U.S. imminently – but investors must avoid the ‘buy everything’ mindset, warns the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and fintech organisations.

The comments from Nigel Green, chief executive and founder of deVere Group, follows House Democrat leader Nancy Pelosi saying over the weekend that she was “optimistic” regarding a stimulus deal before the presidential election on 3 November.

In Asia, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 0.5% and Japan’s Nikkei climbed 1.1%, South Korea’s Kospi advanced 0.22%, Australia rose on the day, with the S&P/ASX 200 up 0.85%.

Meanwhile, London’s FTSE rose 0.6%, Germany’s Dax rose 0.9% and the Europe-wide Stoxx 600 climbed 0.8%.

U.S. futures also pointed higher.

Mr Green notes: “The possibility of a fresh fiscal stimulus shot in the U.S. – the world’s largest economy – is acting as a catalyst in driving global stocks higher.

“Investors are moving now to buy stocks to bolster their portfolios ahead of the announcements in the coming days when prices will jump even higher – so they’re taking advantage of what they see as the current lower entry points.”

He continues: “Once again, we’re seeing that few things can fuel markets like a stimulus injection – or even the possibility of one.

“Clearly, investors are not wanting to miss the boat, but they must also avoid the ‘buy everything’ mindset for two reasons.

“First, the markets are now assuming that the new stimulus is a done deal – it is not. If negotiations collapse, the market correction could be significant.

“Second, not all shares are created equal and stock markets are heavily unbalanced at the moment. A handful of firms in a handful of sectors are bringing up entire indexes.

“An experienced fund manager will help investors seek those most likely to generate and build their wealth over the long-term.”

The deVere CEO concludes: “Investing over the long-term on stock markets remains, as ever, one of the best and proven ways to accumulate wealth.

“However, investors must remember not to be complacent when an upbeat mood takes over the markets.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Stock Market Rises by N398 Billion Last Week as Investors Target Key Sectors

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In a holiday-shortened trading week ending on Friday, June 14, Nigeria’s equities market saw a notable increase, rising by 0.71% or N398 billion.

This boost came as investors focused their buying on key sectors such as oil & gas, banking, insurance, and consumer goods.

The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) increased from the previous week’s 99,221.14 points to 99,925.29 points, while the Market Capitalisation rose from N56.128 trillion to N56.526 trillion.

This surge pushed the year-to-date (YtD) return higher to 33.64%, with a month-to-date (MtD) increase of 0.62%.

Leading the sector gains was the NGX Oil & Gas Index, which jumped by 5.28%, reflecting robust investor interest in the sector.

The NGX Banking Index followed with a 3.63% rise, demonstrating confidence in the financial sector.

Similarly, the NGX Insurance Index climbed by 3.42%, and the NGX Consumer Goods Index saw a 1.05% increase. The NGX Industrial Index also edged up slightly by 0.27%.

This upward movement in the stock market comes amid a backdrop of cautious optimism.

The holiday-shortened trading week provided a condensed period for trading, yet investors were keen to seize opportunities, particularly in sectors that have shown resilience and potential for growth.

Analysts suggest that the targeted investments in these key sectors indicate a strategic approach by investors to balance portfolios and capitalize on sectors poised for growth.

The oil & gas sector, in particular, has been buoyed by fluctuating global oil prices and local policies aimed at boosting production and refining capacity.

The banking sector’s performance reflects ongoing reforms and the potential for increased financial activities as the economy continues to stabilize.

The rise in the stock market is a positive signal for Nigeria’s economic outlook, indicating renewed investor confidence.

However, experts caution that sustained growth will depend on continued economic reforms, political stability, and global market conditions.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Equity Market Rebounds by N144bn, Led by Nigerian Breweries and NEM Insurance

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The Nigerian equity market surged by N144 billion on Thursday, largely on the strong performances of key players like Nigerian Breweries and NEM Insurance.

This recovery comes after the market experienced a dip earlier in the week.

The market indices closed with the All Share Index (ASI) rising by 0.2% to settle at 99,832.25 points, while market capitalization increased to N56.47 trillion.

Despite lower trading volumes and values compared to previous sessions, the market saw increased activity in terms of the number of deals, which rose by 20% to 9,686.

Market Activity and Performance

Trading on Thursday resumed following the Democracy Day holiday, with 502.6 million shares exchanged in various deals valued at N8.65 billion.

The bullish trend was evident with 30 gainers outnumbering 18 losers, highlighting the positive sentiment that dominated trading.

Top Gainers and Losers

Nigerian Breweries emerged as a top performer with a significant 10% increase in its share price to close at N31.90. Unity Bank followed closely with a 9.91% gain, closing at N1.22 per share, while NEM Insurance recorded a 9.77% increase, ending the trading session at N9.55 per share.

Conversely, Ecobank Transnational led the losers’ chart with a 9.92% decline, closing at N21.35 per share. Daar Communications and C&I Leasing also experienced losses, shedding 8.77% and 7.14% respectively.

Trading Insights

Zenith Bank emerged as the most traded stock by volume, with 71.2 million shares exchanged, followed by AIICO Insurance with 67.3 million shares and Access Holdings with 58.5 million shares.

The trading activities were spread across various sectors, with notable gains observed in the insurance, banking, pension, and consumer goods industries.

Market Outlook

The rebound in the equity market reflects renewed investor confidence following recent downturns. Analysts anticipate continued volatility amid global economic uncertainties but remain optimistic about the resilience of Nigerian stocks in the long term.

Overall, the market’s recovery by N144 billion underscores the dynamism of Nigeria’s financial landscape and the strategic positioning of key market players like Nigerian Breweries and NEM Insurance in driving positive market sentiment and performance.

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Nigerian Exchange Limited

Nigerian Equity Market Sees N92.32bn Loss Amid Declines in Key Stocks

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The Nigerian equity market experienced a significant downturn on Tuesday, losing N92.32 billion in market value.

This decline was largely driven by drops in the share prices of key companies, including National Salt Company, Thomas Wyatt Nigeria, and May and Baker Nigeria.

The market capitalisation and the All-Share Index (ASI) decreased by 0.16 per cent, closing at N56.36 trillion and 99,630.51 points, respectively. This downturn affected the year-to-date return, which fell from 33.5 per cent to 33.24 per cent.

Despite the overall market decline, market breadth remained positive, with 29 stocks advancing against 19 that declined, across 8,064 deals. This indicates a mixed sentiment among investors, with some stocks seeing substantial gains.

Key Gainers and Losers

Total Nigeria led the list of gainers with a 9.98 percent increase to close at N388.90. Presco followed closely with a 9.97 percent rise to N323.30, and UPDC leveraged a 9.92 percent gain to end the day at N1.33.

Conversely, National Salt Company recorded a significant drop of 9.91 percent to close at N36.80. Thomas Wyatt Nigeria saw a 9.66 percent decrease to N1.59, and May and Baker Nigeria fell by 7.13 percent to close at N5.60.

Trading Volume Leaders

In terms of trading volume, Fidelity Bank led the market with 293.18 million shares exchanged in 340 deals. Nigerian Breweries followed, trading 101.584 million shares in 145 deals, reflecting strong investor interest in these companies.

Market Dynamics

The losses come on the heels of a robust performance on Monday, where the equity market gained N323 billion, buoyed by appreciations in stocks like Flour Mills Nigeria, Total Nigeria, and Access Holding.

The contrasting performance over two consecutive days underscores the volatility in the market.

Investor Sentiment

The decline in the equity market highlights the fluctuating investor sentiment influenced by various macroeconomic factors and corporate performance. Despite the losses, the positive market breadth indicates underlying resilience, as a larger number of stocks posted gains than losses.

Economic Context

The broader economic environment continues to pose challenges, with inflationary pressures and currency devaluation impacting investor confidence. However, strategic moves by companies and expectations of economic reforms provide some optimism for market recovery.

Outlook

Analysts suggest that the market could see further fluctuations in the short term, with investor focus likely to remain on corporate earnings reports and economic policy developments. The ability of companies to navigate the current economic landscape will be crucial in determining future market performance.

As the market adjusts to these dynamics, stakeholders remain hopeful that strategic investments and economic reforms will foster a more stable and growth-oriented environment for the Nigerian equity market.

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