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Naira to a Dollar Exchange Rate Dips to N462 at Black Market Amid Social Unrest

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Naira Notes - Investors King

Youth Protests Weigh on Naira to a Dollar Exchange Rate on Black Market

The ongoing youth protest in Nigeria continues to weigh on the economic outlook and investors’ sentiment across the board.

The Nigerian Naira to a US dollar exchange rate declined by N1 from N461 on Tuesday to N462 on Wednesday and in the early hours of Thursday at the black market.

Against the British Pounds, the Naira exchanged at N600, down from the N592 it traded on Tuesday. This decline continues against Europe’s common currency as the Naira dipped against the Euro by N2 from N538 to N540 on the black market.

The nationwide protest by the Nigerian youth to curb police brutality and harassment on daily basis continues to disrupt business activities in Africa’s largest economy.

Nigerian youths are saying enough is enough after the death of several youths by the law enforcement agency, Special Anti-Robbery Squad (SARS), that was constituted to curb robbery but gone rogue and made extortions, harassments and in some cases killing of innocent citizens their means of livelihood.

Despite the government disbanding the unit and promise to redeploy officers to other existing units, commands and formations, the youths are saying they want a total discharge of corrupt officers and the entire reform of the Nigerian Police Force (NPF) before they will even consider backing down on the ongoing protest, especially after politicians started sponsoring thugs to attack peaceful protesters in Lagos and Abuja.

The Nigerian Stock Exchange closed flat on Wednesday amid rising uncertainty surrounding the government’s ability to de-escalate the situation given the fact that the youths no longer trust the administration or Nigerian government.

The Naira remained weak against global counterparts and expected to plunge further once the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) release third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report expected by many experts to plunge the nation into its second recession in four years.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Naira

Naira Weakens to N1,635/$1 at NAFEM, Sells N1,681/$1 at Black Market

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Naira to Dollar Exchange- Investors King Rate - Investors King

The Naira depreciated against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Monday, October 7 to N1,635.15/$1.

Analysis done by Investors King showed that the local currency lost 0.24 percent or N3.94 at the specialised window, according to data obtained from the FMDQ Securities Exchange.

This is compared to N1,631.21/$1 published in the preceding session on Friday.

This coincided with a drop in the turnover on Monday as secondary data showed an aggregate of $126.24 million on record, compared to the $239.36 million turnover reported on Friday.

This represents a drop of $113.12 million or 47.3 percent.

Last week, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) announced that it sold $543.5 million to authorised dealers and deposit money banks (DMBs) to reduce observed market volatility caused by demand from importers and seasoned demand for FX between September 6 and 30, 2024.

According to a statement issued by Omolara Duke, the Director of Financial Markets Department of the CBN, the transaction was through a two-way quote at the Nigeria Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) on 11 dealing days.

In a different pattern, the local currency closed flat against the Pound Sterling and appreciated on the Euro at the week’s opening session.

Trading against the British pound, the local currency closed at N2,175.44/£1 while it closed at the rate of N1,788.96 per Euro, a gain of N41.15 from N1,830.11.

The Naira also dropped against the US Dollar at the unofficial black market as it closed at N1,681.67 from N1,676.56 quoted on Friday. This signified a N5.11.

It followed the same pattern against the Pound Sterling and the Euro trading at N2,156.23/£1 and N1,852.75/€1 respectively, losing N2.40 and 60 Kobo from N2,153.83/£1 and N1,852.15/€1.

The local currency also declined by N5.37 on the Canadian Dollar as it fell to N1,207.55/CAD1 from N1,202.18/CAD1

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BDC Operators Blame Forex Shortage for Continued Naira Depreciation

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Bureau Of Engraving And Printing Prints New Anti-Counterfeit 100 Dollar Bills

Bureau De Change (BDC) operators in Nigeria have said that the value of Naira has continued to depreciate in the parallel market because of the scarcity of forex in the sector as major sources become drastically reduced.

This was disclosed by the Chairman of the Association of Bureau De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), Aminu Gwadabe.

Gwadabe said sources of forex to that segment of the forex market have been severely impacted by the recent policies of the Central Bank of Nigeria.

He averred that members of the Association no longer get as much forex from relevant sources such as exports and external remittances and now rely on irregular intervention from the apex bank.

Blaming the International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOs), Gwadabe said the liberalisation of the market has prevented supply inflow which is being reduced and has made it difficult for BDCs.

According to him, IMT0s have ambushed the international remittance payment as most remittance payment now go their direction.

He added that non-oil exports, which is another source of FX for BDCs have also been reduced and the CBN intervention is not regular.

In the past, he noted that BDCs used to do up to $40k weekly but now, it is not more than $20k.

Gwadabe declared that the Naira will continue to depreciate in the parallel market except there is regular intervention by the CBN.

Describing the BDCs as the language of the invisible players in the retail end of the market, he stated that any sentiment of scarcity by buyers as well as sellers would affect the value of the Naira.

Recall that the Naira fell to N1,700/$ in the parallel market in September, its lowest in seven months but recovered marginally on the 2nd of October. However, the official market section saw a wide depreciation of up to 8%.

The CBN in the past one year has sought to regulate the IMTOs and enable them to play a more prominent role in attracting foreign exchange into official channels from international sources.

In 2023, Nigeria received around $19.5 billion- around 35% of total remittances to Africa according to the World Bank.

However, Taiwo Oyedele, the Chairman of the Presidential Committee on fiscal policy and tax reforms stated that only about 10% of the nearly $20 billion remittance entered the official forex exchange market as the parallel market swallowed up almost 90% of remittance inflows.

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Naira

Naira Strengthens Against Dollar at Official, Black Market in Final Session

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Naira to Dollar Exchange- Investors King Rate - Investors King

The Naira continued to strong-arm the US Dollar as it made a 1.7 percent gain in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, October 4 as the local currency gained a value of N28.05 to close the closing session at N1,631.21/$1 at the official window.

According to data obtained from the FMDQ Securities Exchange, compared to N1,659.26/$1 published in the preceding session on Thursday.

Turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $239.36 million indicating that the session’s turnover slid by 46.9 percent, indicating that there was a decrease of $211.03 million compared to $450.39 million published the previous day.

Equally, the domestic currency also witnessed gains against the British currency and the Euro in the week’s final session.

On the Pound Sterling, the local currency made an appreciation of N24.21 to wrap the session at N2,175.44/£1 from N2,199.65/£1 that it sold at the previous session.

Also, against the Euro, the Nigerian currency closed at N1,830.11/€1 versus N1,830.89/€1, indicating a 78 Kobo appreciation.

In the black market, the Naira also gained on the American currency by N5.23 to close at N1,676.56 per Dollar from N1,681.79.

It also made the same movement against the British Pound as it rose by N17.10 to N2,153.83 against N2,170.93 and trading against the Euro, the local currency added N6.93 to N1,852.10 versus N1,859.03.

It equally recorded a positive end result against the Canadian Dollar as it gained N10.52 to end the last session at N1,202.18 from Wednesday’s N1,212.72.

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