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Why China Won’t Write Off Debt for Nigeria, Other Sub-Saharan Countries

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China's President Xi Jinping

Why China Won’t Write Off Debt for Nigeria, Other Sub-Saharan Countries

After years of defaults and debt write-offs by several multilateral and bilateral institutions, China, Africa’s now largest bilateral creditor, entered Africa’s loan market with a unique model that will ensure African nations do not get away with procured loans even if their leaders squandered it.

In early 2000, President Xi Jinping announced an African Infrastructure loan project to support and open up the African economy. A vision most African leaders keyed into because of its seemingly easy process and approval when compared to the process and scrutiny involved in securing loans from the likes of World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and other top financial institutions.

However, underneath the quick response and fast approval is a complex model that ensures these African nations are indebted to China, even in certain situations like COVID-19.

To avoid unnecessary requests for debt write-offs, defaults, and reliefs, the Chinese government had limited its African loans to infrastructural projects executed by Chinese owned companies and in most cases with Chinese labour.

Deborah Brautigam, Head of the China Africa Research Initiative at JHU’s School of Advanced International Studies, put loans made by the Chinese government to African nations between 2000 and 2018 at about $152 billion.

“The Chinese have always done their lending on the idea that individual projects contribute to structural transformation and economic development,” said Deborah Brautigam, who heads the China Africa Research Initiative at JHU’s School of Advanced International Studies. The thinking is, “those projects might be good projects and viable projects to get countries to a new stage where they might be in a position to repay the loans,” she said.

However, while the World Bank and other global financial institutions may offer debt reliefs and total write off in certain situations like the world is currently experiencing with COVID-19, China is unlikely to write off any debt given the fact that those infrastructural projects are expected to get yield results in future as the economy expands.

Also, the loans are visible projects either under construction or completed, therefore, China may offer moratorium and reduce interest rates but not write off loans as experienced in April during calls for debt relief. China was the last to join and has turned down a similar request by the International Monetary Fund to write off part of the debt owed by the Republic of Congo in 2019.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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House of Reps Warns Tinubu Against Multiple Tax Burdens on Nigerians

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Company Income Tax (CIT) - Investors King

The House of Representatives has warned President Bola Tinubu against imposing multiple taxes, levies, and charges on Nigerians already struggling with subsidy removal and higher electricity bills.

During Thursday’s plenary session, the member representing Anambra East/Anambra West Federal Constituency, Mr. Peter Aniekwe, called for the adoption of a motion on urgent public importance.

Investors King reported that the motion was co-sponsored by the House Minority Leader, Rep. Kingsley Chinda, and four others.

In defense of the motion, Aniekwe noted that the government’s introduction of additional taxes, which he described as sometimes unnecessary, only adds an undue burden on Nigerians.

He emphasized the need for the government to strike a balance when imposing taxes that are essential for revenue generation.

Aniekwe said, “The imposition of multiple taxes, levies, and charges at various levels of government only serves to exacerbate the financial strain on citizens, particularly those in low-income brackets, many of whom are already struggling to meet basic needs such as food, healthcare, housing, and education.

“The introduction of additional and sometimes unnecessary taxes, including consumption taxes, service taxes, and levies on essential goods and services, places an undue burden on the masses, further widening the inequality gap.

“While taxation is necessary for government revenue, a balance must be struck between revenue generation and the economic well-being of citizens, particularly at a time when many families and businesses are still recovering from the economic impact of global and local challenges.

“The government’s primary responsibility is to alleviate the economic challenges faced by the masses, ensuring policies that promote economic development, social welfare, and prosperity for all citizens.”

After Aniekwe’s defense, the House of Representatives adopted the motion.

The House cautioned the Federal Government against multiple taxation and mandated the committees on Finance and FIRS to, within three weeks, conduct a thorough review of existing tax laws and policies to streamline tax collection processes and eliminate redundant or overlapping taxes.

The committee was also tasked with identifying areas of double taxation at all levels for necessary action.

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Boosting Nigeria’s Digital Future: STEM Education and AI Could Add $15 Billion to Economy by 2030

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If Nigeria can enhance its Science, Technology, Engineering, and Math (STEM) education and prepare its workforce for future opportunities in the digital space, the economy could expand by an additional $15 billion, a new report has revealed.

The report, issued by consultancy Public First on Thursday, also indicated that Nigeria reaped an estimated $1.8 billion in economic benefits from Google’s tools and services in 2023.

Presenting the report in Lagos State, the Nigeria Digital Opportunity study highlighted the financial value contributed to the nation’s economy through services such as Google Search, Ads, Google Play, YouTube, and Google Cloud.

These services have played a significant role in boosting the productivity of Nigerian businesses, content creators, and workers.

It is no secret that a large number of young Nigerians have become tech-savvy, with many venturing into the thriving world of technology and content creation on social media platforms.

According to Google, its digital skills programs and career certificates are key drivers of Nigeria’s digital transformation, with over 1.5 million young Nigerians acquiring new digital skills in 2023.

Google’s Director for West Africa, Olumide Balogun, expressed the company’s satisfaction with the positive impact that digital technology is having on Nigeria’s economy.

He emphasized that the findings highlight the importance of continued investment in digital skills and infrastructure to unlock the full potential of Nigeria’s growing digital economy.

Balogun noted that with rapid digital advancements, particularly in areas such as cloud computing, connectivity, and artificial intelligence (AI), Nigeria is well-positioned to solidify its standing as a leading digital economy in Africa.

He advised the country to strengthen its technology policies, stating that Nigeria’s economic future will largely depend on its ability to harness technology. Balogun added that Google remains committed to supporting Nigeria’s journey through strategic investments and partnerships.

The report underscored the significant role digital technology plays in Nigeria’s economy, with Balogun noting that for every $1 invested in digital technology, the country generates over $8 in economic value.

Meanwhile, Google has called on Nigerian policymakers to prioritize STEM education to maximize the economic benefits of technology.

The report also projected that AI could contribute $15 billion to Nigeria’s economy by 2030.

Balogun highlighted Google’s efforts in promoting responsible AI development, noting that in 2021, the company committed $1 billion to support Africa’s digital economy.

He added that this initiative included the 2022 landing of the Equiano fiber-optic cable in Nigeria, which is expected to boost internet penetration by seven percent by 2025, significantly enhancing internet access and reliability.

Google also recommended that Nigerian policymakers adopt cloud-first strategies and strengthen the country’s digital infrastructure to harness the full potential of AI, while emphasizing the need for improved STEM education to prepare the workforce for future opportunities.

Amy Price, Director and Head of Technology Policy at Public First, praised Nigeria as a digital leader in Africa. She emphasized that tech investment will serve as a catalyst for further growth and development across the nation.

Price further highlighted the critical role AI will play in shaping Nigeria’s future economy, with the report estimating that AI could add $15 billion to the country’s GDP by 2030. She stressed that the nation must focus on building strong digital infrastructure and investing in STEM education to prepare its workforce for the jobs of tomorrow.

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Lawmakers to Deliberate on Nigerian Tax Reform Bills, Change of FIRS to NIRS

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Value added tax - Investors King

The National Assembly is set to begin deliberations after receiving President Bola Tinubu’s communication seeking consideration and passage of the proposed Fiscal Policy and Tax Reform Bill to align with ongoing financial reforms of the Federal Government and enhance efficiency in tax compliance.

In addition to the Senate, the House of Representatives received four bills forwarded by the President. They include the Nigeria Tax Bill, the Nigeria Tax Administration Bill, the Nigeria Revenue Establishment Bill and the Joint Revenue Board Establishment Bill.

The Nigeria Revenue Service (Establishment) Bill seeks to repeal the Federal Inland Revenue Service (Establishment) Act, No. 13, 2007, and establishes the Nigeria Revenue Service, to assess, collect, and account for revenue accruable to the government of the federation.

The Transmission of Fiscal Policy and Tax Reform Bills to the National Assembly is The Nigeria Tax Bill, which seeks to provide a consolidated fiscal framework for taxation in Nigeria.

The Nigeria Tax Administration Bill seeks to provide a clear and concise legal framework for the fair, consistent and efficient administration of all the tax laws to facilitate ease of tax compliance, reduce tax disputes and optimize revenue.

Meanwhile, the Joint Revenue Board (Establishment) Bill aims to establish the Joint Revenue Board, the Tax Appeal Tribunal and the Office of the Tax Ombudsman for the harmonization, coordination and settlement of disputes arising from revenue administration in Nigeria.

This comes after President Tinubu during his speech on Nigeria’s 64th Independence Anniversary on Tuesday (October 1) said some Economic Stabilisation Bills would be transmitted to the National Assembly.

“We are moving ahead with our fiscal policy reforms. To stimulate our productive capacity and create more jobs and prosperity, the Federal Executive Council approved the Economic Stabilisation Bills, which will now be transmitted to the National Assembly.

“These transformative bills will make our business environment more friendly, stimulate investment and reduce the tax burden on businesses and workers once they are passed into law,” he said.

Recently, the Chairman of the Presidential Taskforce on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, said the Withholding Tax Regulations 2024 has been gazetted.

“I do have some good news, the good news is that the withholding tax regulation has now been gazetted. So, the only reason it hasn’t been published today is because it is public holiday, so first thing tomorrow you will see a copy of the gazette and that provides a lot of relief not just for manufacturers but also every other business in terms of taking away some of the burdens of funding their working capital,” Mr Oyedele said.

Nigeria has been seeking to harmonise its tax base as it has a tax-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of 10.8 percent; comparatively, the average tax-to-GDP ratio for Africa is about 18 percent.

 

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