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COVID-19 Disrupts Manufacturing Sector in March, Growth Slows to Record Low

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Manufacturing Sector - Investors King
  • COVID-19 Disrupts Manufacturing Sector in March, Growth Slows to Record Low

The manufacturing sector expanded at a slower pace in the month of March following a decline in raw material inventories and supplier delivery time as disruption in global logistics due to ravaging coronavirus weighed on the sector.

In the report released by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Tuesday, the manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) stood at 51.1 index points in March, down from 58.3 index points recorded in the month of February before the coronavirus pandemic.manufacturing 1While the index has now expanded for 36 consecutive months, the drop in the rate of growth from 58.3 to 51.1 was the largest in recent years.

Accordingly, out of the 14 subsectors surveyed by the CBN, only 7 subsectors recorded growth above 50 percent in March. The seven subsectors are transportation equipment; petroleum & coal products; furniture & related products; food, beverage & tobacco products; cement; fabricated metal
products and plastics & rubber products.

However, electrical equipment; primary metal; nonmetallic mineral products; paper products; textile, apparel, leather and footwear; printing & related support activities and chemical & pharmaceutical products subsectors all recorded declines in the month of March.

Similarly, production in the sector declined from 58.9 index points achieved in the month of February to 54.1 index points in the review month. Again, while index points above 50 levels indicate growth, the degree of decline from 58.9 to 54.1 shows the effect of coronavirus on the sector that depends largely on China for most of its raw materials.

According to the report, only 7 of the 14 subsectors surveyed recorded growth while the remaining 7 subsectors experience declines in production level. This was despite the production level in the sector expanding for the 37th consecutive month in March.

Demand also moderated in the manufacturing sector from 59.1 index points posted in February to 52.3 points in March, suggesting that growing shut down and disruption of global logistics are weighing on new orders. Five of the subsectors reported growth with two subsectors remaining unchanged during the month. Activities in the remaining seven subsectors declined in the month of March.

The gauge of supplier delivery time shows due to global restrictions that led to the disruption of global logistics, suppliers are finding it hard to meet demand. Therefore, delivery time contracted during the month to 49.4 index points, down from 58.4 index points achieved in the month of February. Making it the first month of contraction after 33 consecutive months of growth.

Employment in the manufacturing sector also contracted for the first time in 34 months in March. Job creation in the sector dropped from 56.4 index points to 47.1 points, suggesting that weak business activities in the sector have started hurting new job creation barely a month after the coronavirus hits the country.

Only three subsectors experienced improved employment in the month under review while ten of the 14 subsectors surveyed experienced declined in employment level. One subsector was unchanged.

In a similar manner, the raw material inventories contracted for the first time to 49.4 basis points in March, down from 58.5 points reported in the month of February. Just three of the 14 subsectors recorded growth, three subsectors were unchanged while eight subsectors reported lower raw material inventories due to the pandemic.

The global economy has started to record significant slow down in growth as stated by the International Monetary Fund on Monday. The fund said global growth is currently negative and that the world should be prepared for a repeat of the 2008 economic crisis or something worse.

South Africa on Monday announced a 21-day lockdown to curb the spread of the virus after the total number of confirmed cases jumped to 554. That is a nation already in recession with little to zero fiscal space to cushion the economy.

The story is not different in Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy. The government was forced to cut the 2020 budget of N10.59 trillion by N1.5 trillion and also adjusted the foreign exchange rate of local Naira to reflect the current economic fundamentals.

While the number of confirmed cases (44)  were fewer than South Africa, the rate of increase remains a concern as more than 32 of that number were reported in the last 6 days.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Climbs to 28-Year High at 33.69% in April

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Nigeria's Inflation Rate - Investors King

Nigeria is grappling with soaring inflation as data from the statistics agency revealed that the country’s headline inflation surged to a new 28-year high in April.

The consumer price index, which measures the inflation rate, rose to 33.69% year-on-year, up from 33.20% in March.

This surge in inflation comes amid a series of economic challenges, including subsidy cuts on petrol and electricity and twice devaluing the local naira currency by the administration of President Bola Tinubu.

The sharp rise in inflation has been a pressing concern for policymakers, leading the central bank to take measures to address the growing price pressures.

The central bank has raised interest rates twice this year, including its largest hike in around 17 years, in an attempt to contain inflationary pressures.

Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria has indicated that interest rates will remain high for as long as necessary to bring down inflation.

The bank is set to hold another rate-setting meeting next week to review its policy stance.

A report by the National Bureau of Statistics highlighted that the food and non-alcoholic beverages category continued to be the biggest contributor to inflation in April.

Food inflation, which accounts for the bulk of the inflation basket, rose to 40.53% in annual terms, up from 40.01% in March.

In response to the economic challenges posed by soaring inflation, President Tinubu’s administration has announced a salary hike of up to 35% for civil servants to ease the pressure on government workers.

Also, to support vulnerable households, the government has restarted a direct cash transfer program and distributed at least 42,000 tons of grains such as corn and millet.

The rising inflation rate presents significant challenges for Nigeria’s economy, impacting the purchasing power of consumers and adding strains to household budgets.

As the government continues to grapple with inflationary pressures, policymakers are faced with the task of implementing measures to stabilize prices and mitigate the adverse effects on the economy and livelihoods of citizens.

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FG Acknowledges Labour’s Protest, Assures Continued Dialogue

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Power - Investors King

The Federal Government through the Ministry of Power has acknowledged the organised Labour request for a reduction in electric tariff.

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC) had picketed offices of the National Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) and Distribution Companies nationwide over the hike in electricity tariff.

The unions had described the upward review, demanding outright cancellation.

Addressing State House correspondents after the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting on Tuesday, Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, said labour had the right to protest.

“We cannot stop them from organizing peaceful protest or laying down their demands. Let me make that clear. President Bola Tinubu’s administration is also a listening government.”

“We have heard their demands, we’re going to look at it, we’ll make further engagements and I believe we’re going to reach a peaceful resolution with the labor because no government can succeed without the cooperation, collaboration and partnership with the Labour unions. So we welcome the peaceful protest and I’m happy that it was not a violent protest. They’ve made their positions known and government has taken in their demands and we’re looking at it.

“But one thing that I want to state here is from the statistics of those affected by the hike in tariff, the people on the road yesterday, who embarked on the peaceful protests, more than 95% of them are not affected by the increase in the tariff of electricity. They still enjoy almost 70% government subsidy in the tariff they pay because the average costs of generating, transmitting and distributing electricity is not less than N180 today.

“A lot of them are paying below N60 so they still enjoy government’s subsidy. So when they say we should reverse the recently increased tariff, sincerely it’s not affecting them. That’s one position.

“My appeal again is that they should please not derail or distract our transformation plan for the industry. We have a clearly documented reform roadmap to take us to our desired destination, where we’re going to have reliable, functional, cost-effective and affordable electricity in Nigeria. It cannot be achieved overnight because this is a decay of almost 60 years, which we are trying to correct.”

He said there was the need for sacrifice from everybody, “from the government’s side, from the people’s side, from the private sector side. So we must bear this sacrifice for us to have a permanent gain”.

“I don’t want us to go back to the situation we were in February and March, where we had very low generation. We all felt the impact of this whereby electricity supply was very low and every household, every company, every institution, felt it. From the little reform that we’ve embarked upon since the beginning of April, we have seen the impact that electricity has improved and it can only get better.”

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Nigeria, China Collaborate to Bridge $18 Billion Trade Gap Through Agricultural Exports

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Institute of Chartered Shipbrokers

In a concerted effort to address the $18 billion trade deficit between Nigeria and China, both nations have embarked on a collaborative endeavor aimed at bolstering agricultural exports from Nigeria to China.

This strategic partnership, heralded as a landmark initiative in bilateral trade relations, seeks to narrow the trade gap and foster more balanced economic exchanges between the two countries.

The Executive Director of the Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC), Nonye Ayeni, revealed this collaboration during a joint meeting between the Council and the Department of Commerce of Hunan province, China, held in Abuja on Monday.

Addressing the trade imbalance, Ayeni said collaborative efforts will help close the gap and stimulate more equitable trade relations between the two nations.

With Nigeria importing approximately $20.4 billion worth of goods from China, while its exports to China stood at around $2 billion, representing a $18 billion in trade deficit.

This significant imbalance has prompted officials from both countries to strategize on how to rebalance trade dynamics and promote mutually beneficial economic exchanges.

The collaborative effort between Nigeria and China focuses on leveraging the vast potential of Nigeria’s agricultural sector to expand export opportunities to the Chinese market.

Ayeni highlighted Nigeria’s abundant supply of over 1,000 exportable products, emphasizing the need to identify and promote the top 20 products with high demand in global markets, particularly in China.

“We have over 1,000 products in large quantities, and we expect that the collaboration will help us improve. The NEPC is focused on a 12-18 month target, focusing on the top 20 products based on global demand in the markets in which China is a top destination,” Ayeni explained, outlining the strategic objectives of the collaboration.

The initiative not only aims to reduce the trade deficit but also seeks to capitalize on China’s growing appetite for agricultural products. Nigeria, with its diverse agricultural landscape, sees an opportunity to expand its export market and capitalize on China’s increasing demand for agricultural imports.

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