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Stakeholders Laud FG’s Investment Plan for Nigeria Air

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Nigeria Air
  • Stakeholders Laud FG’s Investment Plan for Nigeria Air

Stakeholders in the aviation industry have commended the Federal Government for the renewed interest in bringing the national carrier project to fruition.

Some of the stakeholders said the Federal Government had taken the right step by including the viability gap funding for the project in the 2019 budget.

Aviation industry consultant, Dr Al-Hameeda Fraser, said there was no reason funds should not be allocated for the realisation of the national carrier project in the 2019 budget, adding that the status of the project was that of an ongoing one which was only placed on hold due to gap funding issues.

According to her, due process stipulates a budget application and allocation for any funding requirement within the government ministries.

“The allocation of funds to ensure the implementation of the project is justifiable. The amount of N47bn is only over a $100m and that is not much in the aviation sector for government ‘s commitment and contribution towards the establishment of a national carrier. It signifies a very small percentage of the funding requirement which would be generated from investors and would provide the much needed confidence to encourage investors on the project,” she stated.

The Federal Government had last week approved N47.43bn for the Nigeria Air project in the 2019 budget, as a viability gap funding of $155m, which the Minister of State for Aviation, Senator Hadi Sirika, had explained was in line with the Outline Business Case that would enable the airline to start operations before the introduction of private equity funds.

Fraser said the most important aspect of the allocation was the fact that an OBC had been prepared for the project and the amount was based on the financial dimension and costing model which determined the total cost of funding including generating outline cash flow statements covering the project life.

She noted that the national carrier remained a laudable project and ought to receive the support of all Nigerians.

“It symbolises a gesture of our national rebranding besides justifiable reasons based on facts and figures of the huge traffic of travellers in and out of Nigeria since we are steadily becoming the economic hub of black Africa. So the project is worth whatever the government can afford to contribute towards its immediate implementation and realisation,” she added.

Aviation security expert, Group Capt. John Ojikutu (retd), said the Federal Government had said it would not have more than 10 per cent share in the airline, adding that the budgeted amount would be appropriate as the government’s contribution to the national carrier.

Ojikutu said, “N47bn is just about $130m and that can only fetch you not more than three fairly used medium-size modern aircraft. The minister said government would not have more than 10 per cent share, so I don’t think the amount is too much as the government’s share contribution.

“According to the minister, we are at the procurement stage where the participant should buy into it; foreign technical investors, Nigerian investors and later the public. Government must drive it not private. However, it is not a government airline but a national airline.”

Industry expert, Mr Tayo Ojuri, said the process was imperative to getting reputable investors with the technical and financial clout to invest in the Nigeria Air project.

He stated that there was still the need to develop a full business case and financial closure process in line with best international practice in Private Public Partnership implementation steps.

The Chairman of the defunct Air Nigeria Limited, Mr Jimoh Ibrahim, however, said the Federal Government should have a rethink on the proposed Nigeria Air project.

Ibrahim, in an interview said the only way for the national carrier project to be successful would be for the Federal Government to put systems and structures in place and not to make the airline government-owned or allow the government to lead it.

According to him, if the Federal Government must have an airline, it should consult with the few people who had operated airlines before to know the challenges they faced.

“I will not advise the Nigerian government, a developing country with a debt ratio of that magnitude, servicing 50 per cent of our gross income on debt to start an airline. I mean, that will be very difficult,” he said.

He stated that the idea of a national carrier would only become viable if the government allowed the private sector to drive the entire process.

He said, “The government cannot run an airline, it is not possible. Dubai Emirates airline remunerates about 20 per cent profit to the government. It is owned by the government but managed by the private sector. In this collaborative effort, the private sector takes 70 per cent of the profit and returns 20 per cent to the Dubai government and retains 10 as capital.

“If you do that in Nigeria, people will kill you. If President Muhammadu Buhari says I create Air Nigeria and put $5bn in it. At the end of the month, I make a profit of $1bn, I take $800m and give government $200m; what do you think will happen? They will burn down the place. They don’t want that. That’s why I said the government cannot run an airline.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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