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NNPC Shifts 40 Billion Oil Reserves Target to 2025

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  • NNPC Shifts 40 Billion Oil Reserves Target to 2025

The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation has said it seeks to increase the nation’s crude oil reserves to 40 billion barrels and production capacity to four million barrels per day by 2025.

The Federal Government in 2010 set the target of 40 billion barrels of crude oil reserves and production of four million barrels per day at 2020.

The Group Managing Director, NNPC, Dr Maikanti Baru, on Thursday, gave the indication that the corporation was seeking to attract necessary funding from the capital market for the development of the nation’s oil and gas resources.

In his address on the state of the industry, titled ‘Moving Nigeria towards energy self-sufficiency,’ at the Society of Petroleum Engineers’ Oloibiri Lecture Series and Energy Forum 2019, Baru said, “There is increasing global competition on Nigerian crude oil due to the rise of new production centres across the globe particularly in Africa and Argentina. These portend a new dimension for the Nigerian oil and gas industry.

“Nigeria, therefore, needs to unlock new barrels as quickly as possible to stay relevant in the new emerging world. Without adequate funding, we cannot meet the targets.”

Baru stated that evolving new funding mechanisms for the Joint Venture operations was part of the focus of the reforms undertaken by the government to eliminate the often difficult cash call regime, enhance the efficiency of the management of oil and gas resources and guarantee growth.

He observed that to encourage the existing players in the industry, particularly the traditional JV partners, “we undertook to settle all outstanding cash call arrears amounting to a negotiated sum of a little over $5bn.

“This has restored confidence in the Nigeria oil and gas industry. We have signed third-party financing deals with several international and local banks on new oil and gas developments worth over $3bn despite the depression in 2016/201 7. This demonstrates the faith in our industry and the potential we can unlock.”

He further stated that the oil firm was on the move to attract funding from the capital market.

“For our IOC partners, we would continue to leverage the strong credit rating of partners, identify key quick-win projects that are easy to mature with strong cash flow projections and attract the necessary funding from the capital market,” Baru said.

He added, “These alternative financing approaches to fund NNPC’s JV obligations have helped to renew investors’ confidence and stimulate further foreign direct investments. In particular, this has deepened local banks’ participation in financing the upstream sector as the financing are syndicated from local banks and international lenders.”

The GMD said the country’s petroleum product demand was expected to grow from 13.2 million metric tonnes in 2015, 15.1 million metric tonnes in 2020 and 17.3 million metric tonnes by 2025, while the population growth corresponding to the demand was 182 million in 2015, projected to be 207 million in 2020 and 234 million in 2025.

“The average population growth rate is three per cent per annum,” Baru stated.

He noted that Nigeria needed a refining capacity of 1.52 million barrels per day of crude oil in order to meet its Premium Motor Spirit requirement by 2025.

According to him, this capacity requirement includes Dangote’s 650,000 barrels per day refinery and NNPC’s current nameplate capacity of 445,000 barrels per day for its three refineries in Warri, Kaduna and Port Harcourt.

He said, “This leaves a shortfall of 20 million litres which is equivalent to 427,000 bpsd. In order to address this shortfall in PMS demand, NNPC is adding 215,000 bpsd of refining capacity through private- sector driven collocation at our existing facilities in Port Harcourt Refining Company (100,000 bpsd) and Warri Refining and Petrochemicals Company (115,000 bpsd).”

On measures put in place to ensure full energy sufficiency for Nigeria, Baru stated that NNPC was focusing on developing the nation’s gas resources.

He said the seven critical gas development projects targeted to deliver about three billion standard cubic feet of gas per day resources to the gas market by 2020 were at different stages of development in conjunction with the NNPC joint venture partners.

Baru said “The Assa North-Ohaji South Gas Development Project is ahead of the other projects. We have completed the Front End Engineering Design for facilities and pipelines for ANOH and have taken the Final Investment Decision for the project in December 2018 after lingering for many years.”

The GMD also noted that there had been an emerging class of new producers within the oil and gas Industry who were primarily local independents with a non- diversified portfolio and lean balance sheet or required track record to raise substantial funds.

“They have become important because approximately 15 per cent of both crude oil and gas reserves and national production lie in their hands. They also require substantial capital for growth. The Nigerian oil and gas landscape is fast changing from IOC-dominated to a much more diversified cocktail of influences involving locals, independents and the national oil company (NNPC),” he stated.

He added that it was quite an exciting time ahead for the Nigeria oil and gas industry, as the industry was funding both development and infrastructure through alternative means.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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