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FG to Cut Stakes in JV With Shell, Chevron, Others

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Shell
  • FG to Cut Stakes in JV With Shell, Chevron, Others

The Federal Government plans to cut its stakes in joint oil ventures with international oil companies to 40 per cent this year, the Minister of Budget and National Planning, Senator Udo Udoma, has said.

The government is pushing ahead with efforts to boost revenue to grow an economy recovering from a recession.

The President Muhammadu Buhari-led administration had in its Economic Recovery and Growth Plan released in 2017, said it would reduce its stakes in JV oil assets, refineries and other downstream subsidiaries such as pipelines and depots.

Oil companies including Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron and ExxonMobil, operate in Nigeria through JVs with the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation.

The NNPC owns 55 per cent stake in its JV with Shell and 60 per cent stakes with others.

The government has considered reducing its majority stakes in these joint ventures for more than a decade but was under little pressure as higher oil prices boosted state coffers.

Udoma was quoted by Reuters as saying in a statement that the government would intensify efforts to improve its finances including the “immediate commencement of the restructuring of the joint venture oil assets so as to reduce government shareholding to 40 per cent.”

He added during a presentation to lawmakers that Buhari wanted the oil restructuring completed this year.

In 2017, the debt office said the government wanted to raise N710bn ($2.32bn) via restructuring of its equity in JV oil assets and that it had captured the proposals in the 2018 budget.

In the past, Nigeria had held talks with oil companies regarding financing agreements for JVs after it struggled to fund its portion of such partnerships through cash calls, which had often been delayed in parliament.

The government has asked the Department of Petroleum Resources to collect past-due oil license charges and royalties, within three months.

The country has also ordered oil majors to pay nearly $20bn in taxes it says are owed to states.

Buhari has presented an N8.83tn budget for 2019, laying out plans to drive growth. He has directed the NNPC to take measures to achieve the targeted oil production of 2.3 million barrels per day this year, Udoma said.

The NNPC said on Wednesday that the oil industry would achieve the 2.3 million bpd target for the 2019 budget, adding that measures had been taken to attain it.

In his presentation to the Senate Committee on Finance on the 2019-2021 Medium Term Expenditure Framework, the Group Managing Director, NNPC, Dr Maikanti Baru, stated that with improved security in oil-bearing communities as a result of sustainable community partnership, the industry was confident of attaining the production target.

Baru, who was represented by the corporation’s Group General Manager, Corporate Planning and Strategy, Mr Bala Wunti, said although the country had a production capacity of over 2.5 million bpd, the unfortunate security situation of the past in areas of operation made it difficult to achieve desired production targets.

He was quoted in a statement from the corporation as saying, “Thankfully, the current administration is strongly focused on engagement and sustainable community partnership, which has resulted in improved security and production.”

On the possible impact of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries’ quota on the country’s production target, Baru explained that the production target of 2.3 million bpd was a combination of liquid hydrocarbon production, comprising of crude oil and condensate, noting that the OPEC quota only covered crude oil production.

He further stated that with condensate production currently oscillating between 400,000 to 600,000 bpd, the country was in a good position to attain the overall production target.

Baru said the corporation was working assiduously with other relevant agencies to ensure the attainment of the 2019 budget assumptions.

Meanwhile, energy and financial experts, who spoke with our correspondents in separate interviews, have hailed the move by the government to sell some of its stakes in JV oil assets.

The Managing Director, Financial Derivatives Company, Mr Bismarck Rewane, said, “I think it is a good thing because I have always championed the cause of government exiting. But who are they going to sell their interest to?

“The fact that it would create some more liquidity so that we can use that to fund infrastructure is good. We should have done it five years ago. The earlier we sell those assets, the better. If we had sold them when oil price was higher, we could have got a better return. But it is better late than never.”

The Chairman/Chief Executive Officer, International Energy Services Limited, Dr Diran Fawibe, noted that the proposed sale of oil and gas assets had been an issue over the past two to three years, saying, “It appears the government is determined to push it through instead of going to borrow money. The level of domestic and external loans has been very much criticised.”

The Chief Executive Officer, Economist Associates, Dr Ayo Teriba, said, “Instead of borrowing money and piling up debt that is difficult to stand, it is better to sell assets to attract equity.

“Debt is a liability, equity is also a liability; debt you have to service and repay, which is not so with equity. So, it makes great sense if the Federal Government does more of it – relies more on equity and less on debt.”

Noting that Nigeria only owns 49 per cent in the Nigeria LNG Limited while foreign investors own 51 per cent, he said, “There are similar valuable assets that the government owns 100 per cent like the Pipelines and Product Marketing Company, the Nigerian Gas Company, and the Transmission Company of Nigeria.

“Instead of talking about reducing the 49 per cent in the NLNG, we should talk about reducing the 100 per cent in those valuable assets to cut it to 49 per cent to raise money to bring in competent foreign technical partners to run them and make sure that the assets work.”

The Director, Emerald Energy Institute, University of Port Harcourt, Prof. Wumi Iledare, said, “I think it is long overdue; we suggested that before the price of oil collapsed. My advice is that the government should be selective of who they sell the assets to; there should be a public offering.

“I am also concerned about the proceeds from the sale. It should not be used for recurrent expenditure; it should be used for infrastructure.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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