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NZDJPY Weekly Outlook For Jan 28 – Feb 1

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zealand
  • NZDJPY Weekly Outlook For Jan 28 – Feb 1

The New Zealand currency rebounded above key resistance last week to close at 74.88 against the Yen following better than expected consumer prices.

New Zealand’s consumer price index rose to 1.9 percent year-on-year, slightly below the midpoint of 1%-3% target.

However, with the confidence in Japanese Yen waning after the Bank of Japan lowered its 2019 projection for inflation and suggested a hard road ahead, NZDJPY is likely to sustain its bullish momentum in the main time.

Read AUDJPY outlook for the week here

NZDJPY has been on a bearish run since July 2017, dropping a total of 809 pips as shown by the descending channel. The weaker than expected commodity outlook since U.S-China trade war started weighed on Kiwi outlook despite reasonable fundamentals.

NZDJPY Weekly Outlook For Jan 28 - Feb 1But with the U.S-China representatives meeting this week on trade, Yen losing its attractiveness, and NZDJPY closing substantially above the 73.96 price level, I will expect a continuation of the rebound started earlier in the year.

Therefore, I remain bearish on NZDJPY as long as the price stays above 73.96 support and will buy for 75.55 targets. Please note that a negative trade outcome is expected to weigh on the NZDJPY outlook in the main time and vice versa.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Naira

Gap Between Naira-Dollar Exchange Rates Widen in Black, Official FX Markets

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New Naira notes

The Naira depreciated against the US Dollar in the black market but appreciated in the official market on Tuesday on improved FX supply.

In the black market, the Naira lost N15.02 against the greenback to close at N1,714.35 to the US Dollar compared to N1,699.33/$1 it closed on Monday.

The Naira appreciated against the US Dollar pulling a 2.4 percent gain in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) as it gained a value of N40.20 to close the closing session at N1,630.45/$1 at the official window.

According to data obtained from the FMDQ Securities Exchange, compared to N1,670.65/$1 published in the preceding session on Monday.

This indicated a wider gap of N83 between both values at the different segments.

Turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $242.59 million indicating that the session’s turnover rose by 198.9 percent, indicating that there was a decrease of $161.42 million compared to $8.17 million published the previous day.

However, the domestic currency headed south against the British currency during the session as the Naira made a depreciation of N34.26 to wrap the session at N2,161.97/£1 from N2,127.71/£1 that it sold at the previous session.

The local currency also dropped against the Euro as it closed at N1,800.97/€1 versus N1,774.13/€1, indicating a N26.84 depreciation.

The local currency also declined in its value against the British currency in the black market as it dropped by N19.32 to sell at N2,225.24/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,205.92/£1 and followed the same pattern against the Euro as it depreciated N15.38 to quote at N1,856.79/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,841.41/€1.

The local currency dropped N2.31 to close at N1,233.56 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Monday’s N1,231.25 per CAD.

The FX market will be expecting a boost after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) said it has signed an agreement with the International Finance Corporation (IFC) to boost local currency financing for Nigerian businesses, a move that can boost FX supply.

The apex bank disclosed that the collaboration is set to channel over $1 billion in financing across the coming years to drive economic growth, job creation, and diversification across Nigeria.

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Naira

Naira Loses N70.65 Against the US Dollar as FX Supply Weakens

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Naira to Dollar Exchange- Investors King Rate - Investors King

The Naira declined N70.65 against the US Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to exchange at N1,670.65/$1 on Monday after Dollar liquidity in the currency market slid heavily.

The domestic currency depreciated by 4.4 percent versus N1,600.00/$1 it closed in the previous session on Friday.

The Naira has seen volatile levels this year as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has not been able to constantly sell FX to the market. In the last two months, the apex bank has erratically supplied FX sales to the market.

The CBN has announced plans to fix this as the governor of the apex bank, Olayemi Cardoso, has said Nigeria will attract $1 billion in diaspora remittances in 2025.

The apex bank said the concerns raised by international money transfer operators have been addressed and also introduced other banking products that would help in “increasing the inflows to $1 billion monthly,”

Cardoso also said monthly inflows from this channel have risen from $250 million in April to $600 million in September.

Data showed a slump in supply as the turnover published on the FMDQ Group website stood at $81.17 million indicating that the session’s turnover dropped 71.5 per cent, suggesting that there was a decline of $203.76 million compared to the $284.93 million that was published in the last trading session.

However, the Naira witnessed gains against the Pound Sterling and the Euro. It rose N4.58 on the British currency to wrap the session at N2,127.71/£1 from N2,132.29/£1 that it sold at the previous session. In the same trend, against the Euro, the Nigerian currency gained N5.95 and closed at N1,774.13/€1 versus N1,768.18/€1.

In the black market, the Naira lost N10.02 against the greenback to close at N1,699.63 to the US Dollar compared to N1,689.61/$1 it closed on Friday.

The local currency also dropped in value against the British currency in the black market as it slid by N1.77 to sell at N2,205.92/£1 compared with the preceding session’s N2,204.15/£1 and followed the same pattern against the Euro as it depreciated N1.07 to quote at N1,841.41/€1 versus the previous day’s rate of N1,840.34/€1.

However, the local currency gained N3.91 to close at N1,231.15 per Canadian Dollar, compared to Friday’s N1,235.06 per CAD.

 

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Forex

Nigeria Targets $1 Billion Monthly in Diaspora Remittances as CBN Eases Transfer Barriers

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Money Transfer - Investors King

The governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Olayemi Cardoso, has said Africa’s largest economy Nigeria will attract $1 billion in diaspora remittances in 2025.

The apex bank said the concerns raised by international money transfer operators have been addressed and also introduced other banking products that would help in “increasing the inflows to $1 billion monthly,” ThisDay stated.

The West African nation’s central bank governor spoke on Saturday at an engagement with Nigerians in the diaspora, at the end of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Annual Meetings in Washington.

“In the earlier stages of the reforms, IMTOs were having issues transferring money back to Nigeria, and we felt it was important to engage them,” Cardoso said, adding that resolving outstanding issues has led to monthly inflows rising from $250 in April to $600 million in September.

Despite rising economic uncertainties amid a series of reforms that are yet to crystalise and put an end to the falling local currency, rising inflation rate, low earnings, and weak consumer spending, Cardoso is optimistic of hitting the $1 billion target by next year.

“I would be surprised if we are not there by this time next year,” Cardoso stated.

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