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Refining, Regulatory Challenges Worry Oil Industry Stakeholders

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  • Refining, Regulatory Challenges Worry Oil Industry Stakeholders

After over 60 years of commercial production of crude oil and gas, the country is still grappling with low refining capacity and continues to depend largely on importation to meet its fuel needs.

Many Nigerians, including industry stakeholders, have over the years lamented the ailing government-owned refineries, which were built between 1965 and 1989.

The refineries, which are located in Port Harcourt, Kaduna and Warri, have a combined installed capacity of 445,000 barrels per day, but have continued to operate far below the installed capacity for many years.

The proposed rehabilitation of the refineries by the current government has suffered delays as the third-party financiers for the project have yet to be announced, more than a year after the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation said 28 firms had expressed interest in their financing.

The refineries lost N96.34bn in the first nine months of last year, compared to a loss of N95.09bn recorded in the whole of 2017, according to the NNPC.

Kaduna refinery, which only processed crude oil at 4.7 per cent capacity utilisation in January last year, was idle from February to September, 2018.

The Warri refinery was idle in January and September, but processed crude oil in seven other months, while the Port Harcourt refinery was idle in March, July, August and September but processed crude in the other months.

“We just have to look for ways to ensure adequate internal refining. The advantage of internal refining is that we will have sufficient petroleum products. There is no reason why a litre of kerosene or diesel should cost above N200,” a petroleum expert, Mr Bala Zakka, told our correspondent in a telephone interview.

He said the country had been relying on fuel imports for many years, adding that adequate domestic refining would help the country free itself from foreign currency pressure.

“The pressure on our external reserves will also be minimised,” he added.

According to Zakka, the global oil and gas industry is becoming highly competitive, and energy demand is increasing with nations now coming up with innovative ways of making sure they reduce their dependence on other countries for their sources of energy.

He said, “The United States is looking for innovative ways to make sure they take advantage of their shale oil and make it suitable for refineries. Asian countries like China and India are thinking in the same direction.

“So, for Nigeria, what is going to happen is that there is going to be much less demand for the Nigerian crude oil, and global demand may even go down because countries are looking inwards for innovative sources of energy apart from the other sources of energy that we call renewable energy.”

An energy analyst and Partner at Bloomfield Law Practice, Mr Ayodele Oni, also noted that despite the abundant oil and gas reserves in the country, “we are not doing enough in terms of value addition in the country.”

He said, “A major worry for me is the uncertainty created by the non-passage of the Petroleum Industry Bill. It is important government says it is not passing any new law for another five years than for the uncertainty to exist.

“Most times, investments in the oil and gas industry are long-term projects. So, if the rules change midway, it can be a big problem. I think it is better to have harsh laws with certainty and consistency than to have uncertainty and inconsistency because businesspeople plan on the basis of laws and policies.”

A key obstacle to the growth of the industry has been widely described as the regulatory uncertainty caused by the delay in the passage of the PIB.

The PIB, which has been in the works since 2008 when it was first introduced to the legislature, suffered setbacks in the 6th and 7th National Assembly.

The bill seeks to change the organisational structure and fiscal terms governing the industry.

Currently, before the 8th National Assembly, it was split into four parts — Petroleum Industry Governance Bill, Petroleum Industry Administration Bill, Petroleum Industry Fiscal Bill and Petroleum Host Community Bill — to fast-track its passage into law.

The Senate on May 25, 2017, passed the PIGB, which seeks to unbundle the NNPC and merged its subsidiaries into an entity.

After its passage by both the Senate and the House of Representatives, the PIGB was transmitted to President Muhammadu Buhari for assent in July last year to enable it to become law but it emerged in August that Buhari declined to assent to it.

The Senior Special Assistant to the President on National Assembly Matters (Senate), Ita Enang, identified the provision of the PIGB permitting the Petroleum Regulatory Commission to retain as much as 10 per cent of the revenue generated as one of the reasons Buhari declined to assent to the bill.

A former President of the International Association for Energy Economics, Prof. Wumi Iledare, stressed the need to address the uncertainty surrounding the industry’s governance and institutional framework.

“We all thought the PIGB would be passed but it wasn’t. I think if we want 2019 to start on a good note for the industry, we need to remove the cloud of this uncertainty with respect to the governance of the industry,” he told our correspondent.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

NNPC and Newcross Set to Boost Awoba Unit Field Production to 12,000 bpd

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NNPC - Investors King

NNPC and Newcross Exploration and Production Ltd are working together to increase production at the Awoba Unit Field to 12,000 barrels per day (bpd) within the next 30 days.

This initiative, aimed at optimizing hydrocarbon asset production, follows the recent restart of operations at the Awoba field, which commenced this month after a hiatus.

The field, located in the mangrove swamp south of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, ceased production in 2021 due to logistical challenges and crude oil theft.

The joint venture between NNPC and Newcross is poised to bolster national revenue and meet OPEC production quotas, contributing significantly to Nigeria’s energy sector.

Mele Kyari, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, attributes this achievement to a conducive operating environment fostered by the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The endeavor underscores a collective effort involving stakeholders from various sectors, including staff, operators, host communities, and security agencies, aimed at revitalizing Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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Gold

Gold Prices Slide Below $2,300 as Investors Digest Fed’s Rate Outlook

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Amidst a backdrop of global economic shifts and geopolitical recalibration, gold prices dipped below the $2,300 price level.

The decline comes as investors carefully analyse signals from the Federal Reserve regarding its future interest rate policies.

After reaching record highs earlier this month, gold suffered its most daily decline in nearly two years, shedding 2.7% on Monday.

The recent retreat reflects a multifaceted landscape where concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East have eased, coupled with indications that the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for a prolonged period.

Richard Grace, a senior currency analyst and international economist at ITC Markets, noted that tactical short-selling likely contributed to the decline, especially given the rapid surge in gold prices witnessed recently.

Despite this setback, bullion remains up approximately 15% since mid-February, supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, central bank purchases, and robust demand from Chinese consumers.

The shift in focus among investors now turns toward forthcoming US economic data, including key inflation metrics favored by the Federal Reserve.

These data points are anticipated to provide further insights into the central bank’s monetary policy trajectory.

Over recent weeks, policymakers have adopted a more hawkish tone in response to consistently strong inflation reports, leading market participants to adjust their expectations regarding the timing of future interest rate adjustments.

As markets recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy, the prospect of a higher-for-longer interest rate environment poses challenges for gold, which traditionally does not offer interest-bearing returns.

Spot gold prices dropped by 1.2% to $2,298.67 an ounce, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index remaining relatively stable. Silver, palladium, and platinum also experienced declines following gold’s retreat.

The ongoing interplay between economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and central bank policies continues to shape the trajectory of precious metal markets.

While gold faces near-term headwinds, its status as a safe-haven asset and store of value ensures that it remains a focal point for investors navigating uncertain global dynamics.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Hold Firm Despite Middle East Tensions

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Despite ongoing tensions in the Middle East, oil prices remained resilient, holding steady above key levels on Tuesday.

Brent crude oil traded above $87 a barrel after a slight dip of 0.3% on the previous trading day, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hovered around $82 a barrel.

The stability in oil prices comes amidst a backdrop of positive sentiment across global markets, with signs of strength in various sectors countering concerns about geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

One of the factors supporting oil prices is the weakening of the US dollar, which makes commodities priced in the currency more attractive to international investors.

Concurrently, equities experienced gains, contributing to the overall positive market sentiment.

However, geopolitical risks persist as Israel intensifies efforts to eliminate what it claims is the last stronghold of Hamas in Gaza and secure the release of remaining hostages.

These actions are expected to keep tensions elevated in the region, adding uncertainty to oil markets.

Despite the geopolitical tensions, options markets have shown a more optimistic outlook in recent days regarding the potential for a spike in oil prices. This suggests that market participants are cautiously optimistic about the resolution of conflicts in the region.

Despite the lingering risks, oil prices have remained below the $90 per barrel price level, a level that many analysts consider significant, particularly as the summer months approach, typically known as the peak demand season for oil.

While prices have experienced some volatility, they have yet to reach the $90 threshold, prompting expectations of further increases later in the year.

Jeff Currie, chief strategy officer of energy pathways at Carlyle Group, expressed confidence in the potential for oil prices to surpass $100 per barrel, citing tight market conditions indicated by timespreads.

However, he also noted the importance of monitoring OPEC’s response to rising prices, as the organization may adjust production levels to stabilize the market.

Overall, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to pose risks to oil markets, the resilience of oil prices amidst these challenges underscores the complex interplay of global factors influencing commodity markets.

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