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Minimum Wage: Buhari, Govs May Clash as FG Sets up Advisory Panel

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  • Minimum Wage: Buhari, Govs May Clash as FG Sets up Advisory Panel

Indications emerged in Abuja on Wednesday that President Muhammadu Buhari might clash with governors if he presented a bill to the National Assembly, proposing N30,000 as the national minimum wage without considering the states’ ability to pay.

Buhari had while inaugurating a Technical Advisory Committee on National Minimum Wage in Abuja on Wednesday said there would be negotiations with workers already earning above N30,000 to help the Federal Government and the states to implement a new wage increase smoothly.

A new proposal of N30,000 is now before the President, which will be forwarded to the National Assembly on January 23 as a bill.

But the governors said they had already told the President the financial crisis the proposed N30,000 minimum wage would bring to their states if approved.

A governor, who spoke on condition of anonymity, told one of our correspondents that the Nigeria Governors’ Forum, as a body, had sent to the President financial analysis of how the increment would affect 30 states.

It was gathered that the governors had earlier submitted a report carried out on six states to measure the impact of the increase in minimum wage from N18,000 to either N22,500, N24,000 or N30,000 on states’ finances.

The governor listed states that were covered in the first report to include “Kebbi, Ondo, Edo, Ebonyi, Bauchi and Plateau.”

It was gathered that some states had agreed to pay more than N30,000 but the governors were said to have collectively said the minimum wage should be pegged at N22,500 in order to help some states that were not financially viable.

Such states, it was gathered, included Kogi, Osun and Benue.

It was gathered that Jigawa State even offered to pay as much as N44,000 if the minimum wage was left at N22,500.

The governor, who spoke on condition of anonymity, added, “So, what we did was to help states that can’t pay N18,000 now to struggle and pay the N22,500 while those paying now should be able to manage the increment without much problems.

“Now, if the President goes ahead to send a bill that will contain N30,000 to the National Assembly without considering what we have told him, there will be crisis in the country. We will wait to see what will happen. I’m sure that the National Assembly will not pass the bill this year.

“I’m also sure that the President may still scale down the minimum wage to what we have agreed to pay or the N24,000 that the Federal Government suggested.

“We will expect the President to appeal to the sensibilities of workers on this matter. If you listened to the President in his interview two days ago, he said that it was better to get the N18,000 than not to get at all.

“In the interview, the President also said he was aware that there were states that owe salaries up to six months.”

We’ll negotiate with workers earning above N30,000 – Buhari

However, Buhari stated that for easy implementation, the government would have to negotiate the wage earned by those already taking salaries above the minimum wage home monthly.

Renowned financial and economic expert, Mr Bismarck Rewane, heads the technical committee, which among others, has the primary role of advising the government on how to implement a new minimum wage, particularly the consequential increases for other categories of workers.

However, for the minimum wage paid the least worker, the President disclosed that there was adequate provision for it in the 2019 budget.

Buhari added, “Therefore, we will be able to meet the additional costs that will be incurred in moving up all personnel who are currently earning below the new minimum wage.

“However, we anticipate that after the new minimum wage has been passed into law, we will be going into negotiations for salary review for all the workers who are already earning above the new minimum wage. It is therefore important that we are properly prepared to meet these demands.

“We must therefore look at ways of implementing these consequential wage adjustments in a manner that does not have adverse effects on our national development plans, as laid out in the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan.”

Rewane panel won’t hinder new minimum wage bill timeline –TUC

Also, the National Chairman of the Trade Union Congress in Nigeria, Kaigama Bobboi, on Wednesday said the Rewane panel would not affect the report of the tripartite committee that deliberated on the issue and its implementation.

The TUC chairman said the 30 days the Rewane panel was given to submit its report would not affect the January 23 timeline for the transmission of the bill to the National Assembly or the N30,000 already agreed on as the new national minimum wage.

He also explained that the proposed negotiation by the FG with those who were already earning above N30,000 was procedural as it was done in 2011 when the present minimum wage was negotiated.

Bobboi said, “The Federal Government has captured the projection in the 2019 budget. What the committee is doing is to ensure the source of the fund… The FG has taken a step by including it in its budget… The state governments will need supplementary budget to accommodate it as the case may be. We do not control the NASS but we are in synergy with them and they have promised to expedite action on it. We will not be surprised if this is done within a month.”

Bring bill on Tuesday, Saraki tells Buhari

When contacted, the Senate President, Bukola Saraki, said the National Assembly could pass the wage bill within one week, before going on recess, only if the Presidency sent it to the legislature by Tuesday.

Saraki’s Special Adviser on Media and Publicity, Mr Yusuph Olaniyonu, said, “The Federal Government should not wait until 23rd January before bringing it. They should bring it on the first day of resumption. If they do so, by the 17th or 18th, work will be concluded on it – within the week.

“We are also interested in it because we are labour-friendly and we want the demand of labour to be met very quickly.”

President alone can’t decide percentage of increment – ASCSN

Responding to the Federal Government’s declaration to negotiate with workers earning above N30,000 per month, the Association of Senior Civil Servants of Nigeria said Buhari would not be the only one to determine the percentage of increment in the proposed review of the minimum wage.

The Secretary-General, ASCSN, Alade Lawal, who spoke with one of our correspondents, said, “What the President is saying is that the minimum wage of N30,000 has been agreed. But consequential adjustment has to be negotiated and he is correct.

“We have submitted a memo and we are going to negotiate it and how it is going to affect other workers earning more than the minimum wage.

“That is the salary review aspect of it, and the President cannot just unilaterally decide it. We have to agree, we have to discuss it with the joint negotiating council because our memo is with them already.

“It has to be done sector by sector. We submitted the memo to the Federal Government in respect of the civil service. So, once this N30,000 minimum wage is agreed, they will invite us and negotiation will start.”

Rewane heads advisory panel on minimum wage

Buhari, however, said the technical committee would advise the government on how to implement the increases for other categories of workers already earning above the minimum wage “in a sustained manner.”

The Rewane committee has members knowledgeable in finance, economy and administration from both the public and private sectors.

The President said the terms of reference to the panel included, “To develop and advise government on how to successfully bring about a smooth implementation of impending wage increases.

“Identify new revenue sources, as well as areas of existing expenditure from where some savings could be made in order to fund the wage increases without adversely impacting negatively on the nation’s development goals as set out in the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan.

“Propose a work plan and modalities for the implementation of the salary increases.

“Any other suggestions that will assist in the implementation of this, and future wage increases.

“Given the urgency of this exercise, the committee is expected to complete its deliberations and submit its report and recommendations within one month today.”

Other members from the private sector are a former Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service , Mrs Ifueko Omoigui-Okauru; Sulieman Barry; Dr Ayo Teriba, and Prof. Akpan Ekpo.

There are also the Chairman FIRS, Dr Babatunde Fowler; Director General of Budget Office, Mr Ben Akabueze, who is the secretary of the committee; representative of the Nigeria Governors’ Forum, Chairman of the National Salaries, Incomes and Wages Commission; Richard Egbule and others representing the public sector.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

IMF Warns of Challenges as Nigeria’s Economic Growth Barely Matches Population Expansion

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said Nigeria’s growth prospects will barely exceed its population expansion despite recent economic reforms.

Axel Schimmelpfennig, the IMF’s mission chief to Nigeria, who explained the risks to the nation’s economic outlook during a virtual briefing, acknowledged the strides made in implementing tough economic reforms but stressed that significant challenges persist.

The IMF reaffirmed its forecast of 3.3% economic growth for Nigeria in the current year, slightly up from 2.9% in 2023.

However, Schimmelpfennig revealed that this growth rate merely surpasses population dynamics and signaled a need for accelerated progress to enhance living standards significantly.

While Nigeria has received commendation for measures such as abolishing fuel subsidies and reforming the foreign-exchange regime under President Bola Tinubu’s administration, these reforms have not come without costs.

The drastic depreciation of the naira by 65% has fueled inflation to its highest level in nearly three decades, exacerbating the cost of living for many Nigerians.

The IMF anticipates a moderation of Nigeria’s annual inflation rate to 24% by the year’s end, down from the current 33.2% recorded in March.

However, the organization cautioned that substantial challenges persist, particularly in addressing acute food insecurity affecting millions of Nigerians with up to 19 million categorized as food insecure and a poverty rate of 46% in 2023.

Moreover, the IMF emphasized the importance of maintaining a tight monetary policy stance to curb inflation, preserve exchange rate flexibility, and bolster reserves.

It raised concerns about proposed amendments to the law governing the central bank, fearing that such changes could undermine its autonomy and weaken the institutional framework.

Looking ahead, Nigeria faces several risks, including potential shocks to agriculture and global food prices, which could exacerbate food insecurity.

Also, any decline in oil production would not only impact economic growth but also strain government finances, trade, and inflationary pressures.

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Nigeria’s Cash Transfer Scheme Shows Little Impact on Household Consumption, Says World Bank

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The World Bank has said Nigeria’s conditional cash transfer scheme aimed at bolstering household consumption and financial inclusion is largely ineffective.

Despite significant investment and efforts by the Nigerian government, the program has shown minimal impact on the lives of its beneficiaries.

Launched in collaboration with the World Bank in 2016, the cash transfer initiative was designed to provide financial support to vulnerable Nigerians as part of the National Social Safety Nets Project.

However, the latest findings suggest that the program has fallen short of its intended goals.

The World Bank’s research revealed that the cash transfer scheme had little effect on household consumption, financial inclusion, or employment among beneficiaries.

Also, the program’s impact on women’s employment was noted to be minimal, highlighting systemic challenges in achieving gender parity in economic opportunities.

Despite funding a significant portion of the cash transfer program, the World Bank found no statistical evidence to support claims of improved financial inclusion or household consumption.

The report underscored the need for complementary interventions to generate sustainable improvements in households’ self-sufficiency.

According to the document, while there were some positive outcomes associated with the cash transfer program, such as increased household savings and food security, its overall impact remained limited.

Beneficiary households reported improvements in decision-making autonomy and freedom of movement but failed to see substantial gains in key economic indicators.

The findings come amid ongoing scrutiny of Nigeria’s social intervention programs, with concerns raised about transparency, accountability, and effectiveness.

The cash transfer scheme, once hailed as a critical tool in poverty alleviation, now faces renewed scrutiny as stakeholders call for comprehensive reforms to address its shortcomings.

In response to the World Bank’s report, government officials have emphasized their commitment to enhancing social safety nets and improving the effectiveness of cash transfer programs.

Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, reaffirmed the government’s intention to restart social intervention programs soon, following the completion of beneficiary verification processes.

As Nigeria grapples with economic challenges exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and other structural issues, the need for impactful social welfare initiatives has become increasingly urgent.

The World Bank’s assessment underscores the importance of evidence-based policy-making and targeted interventions to address poverty and inequality in the country.

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DR Congo-China Deal: $324 Million Annually for Infrastructure Hinges on Copper Prices

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In a significant development for the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), a newly revealed contract sheds light on a revamped minerals-for-infrastructure deal with China, signaling billions of dollars in financing contingent upon the price of copper.

This pivotal agreement, signed in March as an extension to a 2008 pact, underscores the intricate interplay between commodity markets and infrastructure development in resource-rich nations.

Under the terms of the updated contract, the DRC stands to receive a substantial injection of $324 million annually for infrastructure projects from its Chinese partners through 2040.

However, there’s a catch: this funding stream is directly linked to the price of copper. As long as the price of copper remains above $8,000 per ton, the DRC is entitled to this considerable sum to bolster its infrastructure.

The latest data indicates that copper is currently trading at $9,910 per ton, well above the threshold specified in the contract.

This bodes well for the DRC’s ambitious infrastructure plans, as the nation seeks to rebuild its road network, which has suffered from decades of neglect and conflict.

However, the contract also outlines a dynamic mechanism that adjusts funding levels based on copper price fluctuations.

Should the price exceed $12,000 per ton, the DRC stands to benefit further, with 30% of the additional profit earmarked for additional infrastructure projects.

Conversely, if copper prices fall below $8,000, the funding will diminish, ceasing altogether if prices dip below $5,200 per ton.

One of the most striking aspects of the contract is the extensive tax exemptions granted to the project, providing a significant financial incentive for both parties involved.

The contract stipulates a total exemption from all indirect or direct taxes, duties, fees, customs, and royalties through the year 2040, further enhancing the attractiveness of the deal for both the DRC and its Chinese partners.

This minerals-for-infrastructure deal, centered around the joint mining venture known as Sicomines, underscores the DRC’s strategic partnership with China, a key player in global commodity markets.

With China Railway Group Ltd., Power Construction Corp. of China (PowerChina), and Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co. holding a majority stake in Sicomines, the project represents a significant collaboration between the DRC and Chinese entities.

According to the contract, the total value of infrastructure loans under the deal amounts to a staggering $7 billion between 2008 and 2040, with a substantial portion already disbursed.

This infusion of capital is expected to drive socio-economic development in the DRC, leveraging its vast mineral resources to fund much-needed infrastructure projects.

As the DRC navigates the intricacies of global commodity markets, particularly the volatile copper market, this minerals-for-infrastructure deal with China presents both opportunities and challenges.

While it offers a vital lifeline for infrastructure development, the nation must remain vigilant to ensure that its long-term interests are safeguarded in the face of evolving market dynamics.

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